Atlanta Vs Tampa Bay Expert Betting Pick

NFL Week 13 Expert Pick - Cincinnati Vs Tampa Bay

Atlanta Vs Tampa Bay Expert Betting Pick

Little did the Atlanta Falcons (2-6, 3rd in NFC South) know that their 56-14 curb stomping of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-7, 4th in NFC South) would be thier only highlight of the 2014 NFL betting season to date. It was also their last win of the season. The Bucs are 1-7 and are considered the worse team in the NFL despite their talent.

Had either team played up to expectations, this rematch would of been a great game featuring storylines of revenge and redemption, but instead Falcons coach Mike Smith brings his team to Raymond James Stadium in hopes of righting their 2-6 ship.

Matchup: Atlanta Falcons vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Date: November 9
Kick Off: 1 pm ET
Location: Tampa, Fla.
Stadium: Raymond James Stadium
TV Info: Fox
Live Stream: NFL.com
Radio: AtlantaTampa Bay
Point Spread: Falcons -1.5
Total: 45.5

Atlanta (2-6) has dropped five straight and Tampa Bay (1-7) four in a row. The Falcons have lost seven straight away from home while the Buccaneers are seeking to avoid starting 0-5 at home for the first time since the 1983 club began 0-6 in Tampa.

Bucs coach Lovie Smith has opted to turn back to McCown over Mike Glennon, who started the last five games. McCown has been out since suffering an injured thumb in a 56-14 loss at Atlanta on Sept. 18.

"Josh was the starter before he got hurt. He’s healthy and he’s back in," said Smith before later conceding the Bucs need more than they’ve been getting from their quarterbacks."

McCown went 0-3 with a 65.8 passer rating, two touchdowns and four interceptions in his three starts. His last one was one of the biggest debacles in Tampa Bay’s history: the aforementioned curb stomping.

Atlanta Vs Tampa Bay Expert Betting Pick

With the Falcons and Buccaneers pass defenses ranked 30th and 31st, respectively, expect both teams to come out of the opening whistle throwing the ball down the field to both squads of talented wide outs. The problem is, that this strategy will benefit Matt Ryan, Roddy White and Juilo Jones. Tampa Bay QB Josh McCown will have to work on his chemistry with WRs Mike Evans and Vincent Jackson.

The Falcons have lost five straight and have yet to win a road game. Luckily they are just two games behind the Saints in the NFC South chase and can return to the post season conversation with a convincing win and facing the Bucs, who are 31st in points scored, is just what the doctor ordered.

However the NFL betting trends do not support my supposition. Atlanta is 2-4-1 ATS in its last seven games when playing on the road against Tampa.
and the total has gone under in four of Tampa’s last six games at home.

Based on that, I predict the Bucs winning 21-14 covering the 1.5 point spread and the game total dropping under the 45.5