Welcome to NFL week 4 betting action with Thursday Night Football. It will be an AFC North tilt with the 3-point favorites when they visit Heinz Field to face the Pittsburgh Steelers. This will be the first time since 2012 that the Ravens are favored in Pittsburgh. Coincidently, Ben Roethlisberger missed the 2012 game and will miss this game.
An In-Depth Look At The Baltimore Ravens Vs Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Week 4 Betting Tips, Trends & How To Watch
What: Baltimore Ravens (0-3) at Pittsburgh Steelers (2-1)
When: Thursday, October, 1, 2015
Kickoff: 8:25 PM ET
Where: Pittsburgh, PA
Stadium: Heinz Field
Weather: 61° F / Sprinkles Late
Spread: Ravens -3
Moneyline: Baltimore -133 vs Pittsburgh +113
Game Total: 44
Watch: CBS / NFL
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Baltimore vs Pittsburgh
The Ravens are 0-3 both straight up and against the spread for the first time under John Harbaugh. Last week, they failed to cover the spread as a 2 point favorite at home in the 28-24 loss against another AFC North rival, the Bengals.
Baltimore averages 23.3 points per game (16th), 282.0 passing yards per game (8th) and a paltry 72.7 rushing yards per game (27th). QB Joe Flacco is limited with the weapons around him, but he is still completing 65.1% of his passes for 4 TDs and 4 INTs.
— Sports Illustrated (@SInow) September 29, 2015
Flacco’s top target has been the ageless wonder WR Steve Smith Sr. (25 rec, 349 yards, 2 TDs). He is coming off an 150 yard receiving game against the Oakland Raiders two weeks ago and 186 yards/two TD game last week. The Ravens miss rookie Breshad Perriman. He was drafted to line up opposite Smith, but an injured knee has kept him from his NFL Debut. Flacco’s second top target has been TE Crocket Gilmore (10 rec, 151 yards & 2 TDs).
Their running game has been a disappointment after a big 2014. RB Justin Forsett (39 att, 124 yards 0 TD) is only averaging 3.2 yards per carry so far this year, down 2.2 yards per carry from last year (5.4).
Baltimore’s defense has been spotty at best since losing Terrell Suggs. They are allowing 28.0 points per game (27th), 291.5 passing yards per game (29 th ), and 84.0 yards per game against the run (8th). Daryl Smith leads the Ravens with 21 tackles, C.J. Mosley has two sacks and Jimmy Smith has two interceptions.
The Steelers are 2-1 straight up and 2-0-1 against the spread after beating the St. Louis Rams 12-6 and covered the spread as 1 point favorites away from home last week. That win came at the high price of Big Ben’s strained MCL and bone bruise — and not a torn ACL. Enter Michael Vick.
“This is a great opportunity for me because I don’t know if I’m going to have this opportunity ever again,” Vick said. “Just a month ago I wasn’t signed with a team. Now I feel like I have a chance to go out and play freely and go out and enjoy the game, enjoy this moment, enjoy being out there with my teammates.”
Pittsburgh’s offense averages 25.3 points per game (11th), 298.7 passing yards (3rd) and 93.3 rushing yards (21st). Those numbers will take a hit for 4-6 weeks which is the return time table for Big Ben. With the talent on the offensive side of the ball, this team is too good to lose.
WR Antonio Brown (29 rec, 436 yards, 2 TDs) is second in receiving yards this season, four measly yards behind Falcons WR Julio Jones. Even though he is saying all of the right things, Brown can’t be happy with the loss of Big Ben. It could put an end to Brown’s record streak of productivity.
“He’s a leader, and he’s been doing it for a long time,” Brown said this week when asked about Vick. “It’s not only about him. We’ve got to be able to help him, catching passes, got to be able to run the ball, protect the ball and help him out.”
Steelers are ready to start Michael Vick on Thursday. Take a look back at some of his most memorable games. http://t.co/C7yXLZuGb2
— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) September 30, 2015
WR Martavis Bryant is reportedly back with the team after a three-week stay in Houston at former NBA coach John Lucas’ counseling facility. He won’t play this week, as he still has one game left in his four-game suspension for multiple failed marijuana tests.
The good news is that Le’Veon Bell (19 att, 62 yards, 1 TD) hit the ground running last weekend after returning from his two-game suspension. There were no visible signs of rust and a combination of Bell, a few Vick runs, could mean doom for the Ravens.
Bell also missed last year’s 30-17 wild-card playoff loss to the Ravens and will be primed to show Steeler-nation their faith in him is not misplaced.
Pittsburgh defense allows 17.3 points per game (6th), 255.1 passing yards per game (20th) and 87.3 rushing yards per game (10th). Ryan Shazier leads the Steelers with 22 tackles, Stephon Tuitt has 2.5 sacks and Will Allen has an interception.
Betting Trends Related To This Matchup:
- Pittsburgh Steelers 6-4 At Home since last season
- Baltimore Ravens 5-9 As Favorite since last season
- Pittsburgh Steelers 5-2-1 As Underdog or PK since last season
- Baltimore Ravens 3-4 When Line was 43 to 46 since last season
- Pittsburgh Steelers 5-2 When Line was 43 to 46 since last season
- Baltimore Ravens 1-4 As Road Favorite since last season
- Pittsburgh Steelers 2-0 As Home Underdog since last season
- Baltimore Ravens 8-4 O-U On Road since last season
- Pittsburgh Steelers 8-2 O-U At Home since last season
- Pittsburgh Steelers 3-1 O-U When Line is <45 since last season
- Baltimore Ravens 5-4 O-U When Line was 43 to 46 since last season
- Pittsburgh Steelers 5-1 O-U When Line was 43 to 46 since last season
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games, 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games, 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road, 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Pittsburgh, 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh and 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh.
My NFL Week 4 Betting Pick: Steelers +2.5
Players Out or Doubtful:
- Baltimore: Breshad Perriman, Brent Urban.
- Pittsburgh: Ben Roethlisberger, Martavis Bryant.