My NFL Week 1 Betting Trends Cheet Sheet

Before You Bet Read My NFL Week 1 Betting Trends Cheet Sheet

Welcome back NFL.

The long awaited arrive of the best sport in the world is finally over.

The schedule makers weren’t horsing around, with the season kicking off Thursday night with the Green Bay Packers taking on the defending Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks.

Like ever week there are a few games that are definite locks, but ever gambler needs an edge and here is yours.

My NFL Week 1 Betting Trends Cheet Sheet

Green Bay Packers +7 | Money line: +220
Seattle Seahawks -7 | Money line: -260
Game Total: 46.5
When: Thursday, September 4, 8:30 PM ET
Stadium: CenturyLink Field

  • The Super Bowl XLVIII-champion Seattle Seahawks have a 15-1 record at CenturyLink Field the past two seasons. The Seahawks are also tied for the third-longest active winning streak in home openers (five).
  • The NFC North champion Green Bay Packers hold the record for the most wins in road openers (53) in the NFL and the fourth-best winning percentage in openers on the road (.582, 53-38-2).

Tennessee Titans +3.5 | ML: +165
Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 | ML: -190
Game Total: 43
When: Sunday September 7, 1 PM ET
Stadium: Arrowhead Stadium

  • Since 2011, Kansas City QB Alex Smith is 30-9-1 (.763) as starter & has passed for 8,194 yards with 53 TDs vs. 17 INTs for 92.5 rating.
  • Titans QB Jake Locker won 4 of 7 starts in 2013, passing for 1,256 yards & 8 TDs in those games with 86.7 rating.

New Orleans Saints -2.5 | ML: -155
Atlanta Falcons +2.5 | ML: +135
Game Total: 51
When: Sunday September 7, 1 PM ET
Stadium: Georgia Dome
TV: Fox

  • Falcons QB Matt Ryan is 36-10 (.783) at home on his career, but 2-3 when playing the Saints at home.
  • Saints RB Mark Ingram is expected to have a lot of touches this season; New Orleans is 8-1 (.889) when Ingram has 14+ attempts.

Minnesota Vikings +3.5 | ML +170
St. Louis Rams -3.5 | ML -200
Game total: 43.5
When: Sunday September 7, 1 PM ET
Stadium: Edward Jones Dome

  • QB Matt Cassel has won both career starts vs. St. Louis.
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis’s last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Cleveland Browns +7 | ML: +245
Pittsburgh Steelers -7 | -290
Game Total: 41.5
When: Sunday September 7, 1 PM ET
Stadium: Heinz Field

  • Pittsburgh is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games when playing Cleveland
  • In 3 starts with Cleveland in 2013, QB Brian Hoyer passed for 615 yards & 5 TDs with 82.6 rating. Hoyer is only Browns QB to win each of his 1st 3 starts with team.

Jacksonville Jaguars +11.5 | ML: +415
Philadelphia Eagles -11.5 | ML: -525
Game Total: 52
When: Sunday September 7, 1 PM ET
Stadium: Lincoln Financial Field

  • The Jacksonville Jaguars begin the year at Philadelphia with an 11-7 (.611) record on Kickoff Weekend, the third-best mark in the AFC.
  • The Eagles set franchise records for points scored (442), total net yards (6,676) & touchdowns (53) in 2013.

Oakland Raiders +5.5 | ML: +215
NY Jets -5.5 | ML: -255
Game Total: 40
When: Sunday September 7, 1 PM ET
Stadium: MetLife Stadium

  • NY Jets are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing Oakland
  • In last game vs. NYJ (9/25/11), RB Darren Mc Fadden had career-high 171 rush yards on 19 att. (9 avg.) with 2 TDs, including career-long 70-yard run.
  • In preseason Raiders QB Derek Carr had a 67 percent completion percentage with four touchdown passes. QB Matt Schaub completed only 51 percent of his pass attempts and did not throw for a touchdown.

Cincinnati Bengals +1 | ML +110
Baltimore Ravens -1 | ML -130
Game Total: 43
When: Sunday September 7, 1 PM ET
Stadium: M&T Bank Stadium

  • QB Andy Dalton is 1st Bengals QB to lead team to playoffs in 3 consecutive seasons (2011-13). He has 30-18 (.625) record, highest win pct. of any QB in club history (min. 20 starts).
  • Ravens QB Joe Flacco has 11-0 career home record in September, tied with Jay Schroeder for best among Super Bowl-era QBs (min. 10 att. per start).

Buffalo Bills +7.5 | ML +250
Chicago Bears -7.5 | ML -300
Game Total: 47
When: Sunday September 7, 1 PM ET
Stadium: Soldier Field

  • The Chicago Bears (65-25-4) on Kickoff Weekend have a .722 winning percentage in home openers, the second-best mark in the NFL.
  • Rookie Bills wide reciever Sammy Watkins is the 19th WR drafted in the top five in the Common Draft Era. The previous 18 averaged just 38 catches for 569 yards and 3.5 touchdowns as rookies. Only one of them had 1,000 yards as a rookie: A.J. Green – 1,057 yards in 2011. 

Washington Redskins +2.5 | ML +125
Houston Texans -2.5 | ML-145
Game total: 45
When: Sunday September 7, 1 PM ET
Stadium: Reliant Stadium

  • Since 2012, RGIII is the only player in NFL with 6,000+ pass yards, 90+ rating & 1,300+ rush yards.
  • Since 2012, Texans defensive end J.J. Watt leads NFL with 31 sacks. He had 7.5 sacks in past 8 games vs. NFC.

New England Patriots -5 | ML: -225
Miami Dolphins +5 | ML +185
Game Total: 47
When: Sunday September 7, 1 PM ET
Stadium: Sun Life Stadium

  • The AFC East champion New England Patriots begin the year at Miami having won 10 consecutive openers. With a win on Kickoff Weekend, the Patriots can become just the third franchise to win 11 or more consecutive season-opening games in NFL history.
  • The Miami Dolphins have the fourth-best winning percentage in openers at home (.702, 33-14-1). The Dolphins have won their past two home openers.

Carolina Panthers +1 | ML +113
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1 | ML -133
Game Total: 39
When: Sunday September 7, 4:25 PM ET
Stadium: Raymond James Stadium

  • Carolina is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing Tampa Bay.
  • Tampa Bay is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Carolina.

San Francisco 49ers -4.5 | ML -220
Dallas Cowboys +4.5 | +180
Game Total: 52
When: Sunday September 7, 4:25 PM ET
Stadium: AT&T Stadium

  • Cowboys LB Sean Lee is out of the season. Since his 2010 rookie season, Lee is the Cowboys’ leader in tackles (281) and interceptions (11). Lee’s 11 interceptions over the last four seasons lead all linebackers.
  • 49ers QB Colin Kaepernick completed 61 percent of his passes in the pocket last season, a regression from his first year as a starter in 2012.

Indianapolis Colts +9 | ML +300
Denver Broncos -9 | ML -360
Game Total 55
When: Sunday September 7, 8:30 PM ET
Stadium: Sports Authority Field at Mile High

  • Broncos WR Wes Welker will be missed in the slot. He led the NFL with 89 targets out of the slot last season, ranked third in receptions with 57, second in receiving yards with 688 and tied for second in receiving touchdowns out of the slot with seven. Welker tied for eighth in the NFL in total times targeted over the past two seasons, despite missing three games in that span.
  • Colts QB Andrew Luck was at his best late in games last season, his 10 game-winning drives since 2012 are the most of any quarterback.

NY Giants +5.5 | ML: +205
Detroit Lions -5.5 | ML: -245
Game Total: 47
When: Monday September 8, 7:10 PM ET
Stadium: Ford Field

  • The NY Giants have the second-most (49) wins in road openers in the NFL.
  • In 2013, QB Eli Manning threw a career-high and an NFL-high 27 interceptions in 2013, his third time leading the league in interceptions. It was the most interceptions thrown by any player in a season since Brett Favre in 2005

San Diego Chargers +3 | ML: +140
Arizona Cardinals -3 | ML: -160
Game total: 45
When: Monday September 8, 10:20 PM ET
Stadium: U of Phoenix Stadium

  • San Diego has won its past two road openers, the fourth-longest active streak in the league.
  • Since 2006, QB Philip Rivers has 32,221 pass yards, 2nd most in NFL (Drew Brees, 38,733).
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