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Should You Bet On The 2014 Green Bay Packers?

The Green Bay Packers will enter the 2014 regular season looking to compliment their stellar offense with some competent defense after floundering immensely on that side of the ball last season.

The Packers would like nothing better than to get back into legitimate Super Bowl title contention this coming season and if all goes right with their mini-rebuilding plan, I believe it could very well happen.

Let’s explore what the Packers face as we move closer to the start of the 2014 NFL regular season.

Betting On the Green Bay Packers to Win the 2015 Super Bowl

Analysis: At a value-packed +1200, I think the Packers are one of the ‘must-bet’ teams, seeing as how there are only a handful of NFC teams that can possibly be classified as ‘legitimate’ title contenders outside of the reigning Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers.

I mean…let’s be honest about it…when you have one of the game’s most elite quarterback like Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady or Drew Brees, your team is pretty much going to have a chance every single season.

Now, don’t get me wrong…I still like the Seahawks and Niners to finish first and second in the conference, but the Packers are one of the few teams that could potentially upset both teams if they can improve in a few areas, mostly on defense.

As it stands right now, the Packers need to shore up their 24th-ranked pass defense and 25th-ranked run defense in the worst way. To that end, Green Bay added veteran defensive lineman Julius Peppers and drafted athletic safety Ha-Ha Clinton-Dix with the 21st-pick in the draft before going on to use four of their top six draft picks on defensive players.

Depending on how fast they can improve their defense to match their top 10 offense…Green Bay could get right back in the mix to contend for a berth in the NFC title tilt – and possibly Super Bowl 49.

Betting On the Green Bay Packers to Win the NFC North

  • Green Bay Packers -150
  • Chicago Bears +250
  • Detroit Lions +375
  • Minnesota Vikings +3000

Analysis: If you want to bet on the Packers to win the NFC North, then I say go right ahead…quickly!

Green Bay is the clear-cut favorite in the division for several reasons, though I will admit that both Chicago – and a talent-laden Lions team – -could surprise.

The Packers ranked a fantastic sixth in passing and a surprising seventh in rushing as Aaron Rodgers had another fine season despite playing in just nine games. Green Bay ‘s real revelation came from exciting young rookie running back Eddie Lacy as the former Alabama star rushed for 1,178 yards on 284 carries for a solid 4.1-yard average. Veteran running back James Starks also had a fine season in rushing for 493 yards while averaging a whopping 5.5 yards per carry.

Green Bay went 3-2-1 in the division last season but that was with Rodgers missing almost three full games. If Rodgers stays healthy, I like the Packers to improve on their division and overall SU record.

In the end, the Packers should win this division based on the fact that they’ve got the best head coach and quarterback in the NFC North, not to mention the most franchise and locker room stability which, starts at the very top of any sports franchise.

Green Bay has gone 6-3-1 SU and 6-4 ATS in its last 10 games against its NFC North division rivals and an even more impressive 16-3-1 SU and 15-5 ATS in its L/20 division battles.

My Pick: Green Bay, first, followed by Detroit , Chicago and Minnesota

Betting On the Green Bay Packers to Win In Week One

  • Green Bay at Seattle -5.5
  • Over/Under 44.5

Analysis: The Packers are on the road at Seattle in Week 1 and I think they’ll get their 2014 NFL regular season started off with a loss to the defending league champs.

By now, everyone knows that Seattle is arguably the toughest place in the entire league to play at and that’s not simply because of their rabid fans either. No, the fact of the matter is that Seattle ‘s stingy defense has mostly pummeled the opposition at home, helping the once beleaguered Seahawks franchise record a mind-boggling 18-2 SU mark in their last 20 home games. Making matters worse – or better if you’re a Seahawks betting backer – is the fact that Seattle has also gone 15-5 ATS over the same 20-game home span.

Seattle is a far more complete team on both sides of the ball and I suspect it’s going to take a bit of time for Green Bay’s to gel into the kind of unit they want to become.

The Packers are just 3-7 SU and 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog between 4.0 and 6.0 points and just 4-6 SU and ATS in its last 10 road games.

In the end, Seattle is the better and more complete team at this point and I think they’ll find a way to win and narrowly cover the spread against a Packers team that is going to need a few games at the least to give their defense time to grow and improve.

My Pick: Seattle Seahawks -5.5 Points

Green Bay Packers Betting Tips

When the Packers are favored…they’re an almost virtual ‘lock’ to win the game SU – and cash in more often than not.

Green Bay has gone 7-2-1 SU and 6-4 ATS in their L/10 games as a favorite and an even more impressive 15-4-1 SU and 13-7 ATS over their last 20 games as a fave. The Packers’ numbers get even more impressive when you start looking at specific point spreads, such as the fact that the Pack are 14-6 ATS in their L/20 games as a favorite between 4.0-6.0 points.

However, if Green Bay is favored between 6.0-8.0 points you might want to stay away from them as they’ve gone just 11-9 ATS in their L/20 games as an approximate touchdown favorite.

I like the Packers to get in high-scoring affairs against Detroit , Chicago , New Orleans and Atlanta . I’m also expecting Green Bay to get involved in tight, low-scoring affairs against Miami , Carolina and New England while possibly routing the Jets, Vikings (twice), Bills and Buccaneers.

In the end, I expect Green Bay to win the NFC North and end up as one of six NFC teams in the postseason with a shot to take Seattle ‘s conference and league crowns.

Green Bay Packers Projected 2014 Starters

 

Offense

Defense

QB

Aaron Rodgers

DE

Datone Jones

RB

Eddie Lacy

NT

B.J. Raji

WR1

Jordy Nelson

DE

Mike Daniels

WR2

Randall Cobb

OLB

Clay Matthews

WR3

Jarrett Boykin  /  Davante Adams

ILB

A.J. Hawk  /  Brad Jones

TE

Andrew Quarless

OLB

Julius Peppers

LT

David Bakhtiari

CB1

Sam Shields

LG

Josh Sitton

CB2

Tramon Williams

C

JC Tretter

CB3

Casey Hayward

RG

T.J. Lang

SS

Morgan Burnett

RT

Bryan Bulaga

FS

Ha Ha Clinton-Dix

Complete Super Bowl 49 Odds

  • Seattle Seahawks +525
  • Denver Broncos +640
  • San Francisco 49ers +700
  • New England Patriots +900
  • Green Bay Packers +1200
  • New Orleans Saints +1600
  • Indianapolis Colts +2000
  • Philadelphia Eagles +2700
  • Cincinnati Bengals +3100
  • Pittsburgh Steelers +3500
  • Baltimore Ravens +3700
  • Atlanta Falcons +3800
  • Chicago Bears +3800
  • NY Giants +4000
  • Arizona Cardinals +4200
  • Carolina Panthers +4400
  • Kansas City Chiefs +4400
  • San Diego Chargers +4500
  • St. Louis Rams +5000
  • Detroit Lions +5000
  • Washington Redskins +5200
  • Dallas Cowboys +6000
  • Houston Texans +6000
  • Miami Dolphins +6000
  • NY Jets +7500
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7500
  • Cleveland Browns +9000
  • Minnesota Vikings +1100
  • Buffalo Bills +12500
  • Tennessee Titans +20000
  • Oakland Raiders +25000
  • Jacksonville Jaguars +30000
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