Should You Bet On Chicago Bears In The 2014 NFL Season?

Chicago Hosts Green Bay - NFL North Against The Spread Week 4 Picks

Should You Bet On Chicago Bears In The 2014 NFL Season?

Should you bet on the Chicago Bears (8-8 SU, 4-11-1 ATS, 12-4 O/U) during the 2014 NFL regular season?

The Bears will enter the 2014 regular season looking to build on their solid, but not overly impressive .500 campaign in head coach Marc Trestman’s first season in 2013.

This season, the Bears will try to address their issues and take a step forward in the hopes of reaching the postseason for the first time since losing the conference final to Green Bay back in 2010.

First, we’ll take a look at Chicago ‘s chances of cashing in on their Super Bowl 49 Futures Odds, before looking at their division prospects and Week 1 regular season opener.

With the start of the annual preseason period set to get underway this coming week, let’s get started.

Betting On the Chicago Bears to Win the 2015 Super Bowl

Chicago Bears +1600 To Win

The Bears went 8-8 last season and that was pretty good seeing as how it was Trestman’s first season in the Windy City. However, things look a lot worse when you consider the fact that the Bears fired Lovie Smith he led them to a fine 10-6 record in 2012.

Not only that, but Chicago has a bit of problems on both sides of the ball heading into the 2014 regular season. While the Bears finished fifth in rushing thanks to Matt Forte’s Pro Bowl campaign (1,339 yds, 4.6 ypc), Chicago finished just 16th in passing and still has questions at quarterback in my mind.

To expect the Bears to fix all of their issues in one offseason, while morphing into some kind of Super Bowl title contender the caliber of teams like Seattle or San Francisco may be asking a bit too much.

The Bears might be a value-packed +1600, but they aren’t worthy of a Super Bowl 49 bet, even as a long shot, so I say skip Chicago on the Super Bowl Futures Odds, for reasons you’ll continue to find out about.

Chicago Bears Projected 2014 Starters

Offense

Defense

QB

Jay Cutler

DE

Jared Allen

RB

Matt Forte

DT

Stephen Paea  /  Ego Ferguson

WR1

Brandon Marshall

DT

Jeremiah Ratliff  /  Will Sutton

WR2

Alshon Jeffery

DE

Lamarr Houston

WR3

Marquess Wilson

SLB

D.J. Williams

TE

Martellus Bennett

WLB

Lance Briggs

LT

Jermon Bushrod

CB1

Charles Tillman

LG

Matt Slauson

CB2

Tim Jennings

C

Roberto Garza

CB3

Kyle Fuller

RG

Kyle Long

SS

Ryan Mundy

RT

Jordan Mills

FS

Chris Conte

Betting On the Chicago Bears to Win the NFC North

  • Green Bay -150
  • Chicago +250
  • Detroit +375
  • Minnesota +3000

Analysis: Despite their modest 8-8 record last season, the Bears nearly won the NFC North, falling just a half-game short of tying Green Bay for the division win, (though they would have lost on the head-to-head tie-breaker anyway). This time around however, I think Chicago will have an even tougher time trying to win a division crown they won three times in eight years under Smith.

The once uncontrollable Detroit Lions still have a ton of athletic talent, but now they’ll also have some poise and leadership thanks to the arrival of new head coach Jim Caldwell, so I expect their play to improve.

The Minnesota Vikings also should be a bit better this season, if for no other reason than they have nowhere to go but up after last season’s five-win campaign.

Last but not least, I also expect the division-winning Packers to be improved, thanks to their offseason haul and return of Aaron Rodgers full health.

Chicago went 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS against their NFC North division rivals last season, but drafted three defensive players in the first three rounds of the draft that they expect to contribute right away, including cornerback Kyle Fuller (no. 14 overall).

I like the Packers to get the division win and I think the odds for Detroit and Chicago should be the opposite of what they currently are. The Bears’ once perennial powerful defense under Smith, regressed in a big way in 2013, finishing dead last against the run and a middling 15th against the pass.

I don’t like the Bears to win the NFC North in 2014, but I wouldn’t say they not worth wagering on, particularly seeing as how every team in this division was mediocre at best last season. Throw a wager on them…the bears could win it…somehow.

My Pick: Green Bay Packers

Betting On the Chicago Bears To Win In Week One

  • Buffalo Bills at Chicago Bears -6
  • Over/Under 48

The rebuilding Buffalo Bills will be in town for a Week 1 matchup and history says the Bills are toast! Chicago has gone 4-0 SU and ATS in their last four home dates against the Bills, though they haven’t met since 2006.

Having said that, Chicago has also gone 1-4 ATS in its last five home games and just 2-2 SU over their last four dates at Soldier Field. Despite those dreary numbers I still the Bears to get the emotional win in their home opener against a Bills team that is still trying to find its way.

Even though I like the direction Buffalo is headed in under rookie signal-caller E.J. Manuel they were just 1-3 SU and ATS in their last four games as an underdog of six points or less last season. Chicago has also won three of its last five matchups against AFC East opponents while compiling a fine 3-1-1 ATS mark over the span.

I think the best bet for this season opener may be to simply take the Over 48 Total points. Chicago finished tied for second in points per game last season (27.8) while Buffalo ranked 22nd in scoring (21.2 ppg). More importantly, these two teams combined to give up a whopping 54.2 points per game last season, with Chicago finishing next to last, allowing a whopping 29.9 points per contest.

My ‘exacta’ here then is to take the Bears to cover the ATS spread in a wild one that plays Over the set O/U Total.

My Pick: Chicago -6 Points/Over 48 Total Points

Random Chicago Bears Betting Tips

The Bears were a terrible team to back – or a great team to wager against – as an underdog last season, going 2-8 SU and ATS in their last 10 games as a puppy dating back to 2012. Things aren’t much better when you consider the Bears went 3-6-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.

The Bears have won four of their last five games as a favorite of four points or less but are just 2-2-1 ATS over the stretch.

I think the Bears could get involved in high-scoring shootouts against the Bills, Falcons, Vikings, Lions and Saints while getting held to low scoring figures against Carolina, San Francisco and New England.

In the end…while I do believe that the offensive-minded Trestman is quite capable of leading an NFL offense, the problem I have is that Chicago is starting a quarterback in Jay Cutler that I believe is going to go down in history as a career underachiever.

In 11 games last season, Cutler threw just 19 touchdown passes – that were pretty much negated by the whopping 12 interceptions he tossed. Throw in 19 sacks and Cutler ends up with a dismal 89.2 percent quarterback rating.

The sad part however is that backup quarterback Josh McCown played far better than Cutler did in the five starts he received, tossing 13 touchdown passes and just one interception while finishing the season with a stellar 109.0 quarterback rating.

Chicago may be staring at another 8-8 campaign, although I think they’ll only reach nine wins at best.