Super Bowl XLVIII Should You Bet the Over or The Under?

Should You Bet the Over or The Under on Super Bowl XLVIII?

Led by outstanding cornerback Richard Sherman, the Seattle Seahawks fielded the best defense in the NFL this season, routinely shutting down opponents while limiting the opposition to a league-low, 14.4 points per game.

Led by Hall of Fame-bound signal-caller Peyton Manning, the Denver Broncos were the proud owners of the highest scoring offense in the league this season, averaging a whopping 37.9 points per game.

Super Bowl 48
The Denver Broncos are 2 point favorites over the Seattle Seahawks in Super Bowl XLVIII.
Starts: 02/02/2014 6:30PM
MetLife Stadium
East Rutherford, New Jersey

So, what’s going to happen as far as the Over/Under outcome of Super Bowl XLVIII?

Well…if you ask me, this pick is a lot easier than you may think. Here’s why.

Super Bowl XLVIII Over/Under 47 -110

The Scoop: The Seahawks have played Under the O/U Total in a whopping seven straight games while not combining to go Over 41 Total points during the stretch which included a pair of games against both, San Francisco and explosive New Orleans.

The Denver Broncos haven’t scored more than 26 points in either of their two playoff games this postseason and have played Under their own O/U Totals in five straight games. Denver has used a surprisingly active defense to not allow more than 17 points in any of their last four games.

Analysis: For me, this matchup is all about defense. Will Seattle be able to keep Peyton Manning and company from topping the 21-point plateau? Can they themselves score 21 points…a figure they will almost certainly have to reach if they want to win this contest?

I say, ‘Yes’ to both of the aforementioned queries.

I know the Broncos have an offense that can score almost at will, but I’ve also seen the San Diego Chargers and limit Denver to 24 points or less in each of their last two meetings this season, so I believe it’s fully possible that Seattle can and will do the same.

I also like Seattle to narrowly top the 21-point plateau en route to an outright win that barely plays Under the 47-point Super Bowl 48 O/U Total.

Total Points Scored By The Seattle Seahawks

Over 23 -110
Under 23 -120

Analysis: Seattle has scored an identical 23 points in each of their two playoff games this postseason and have only managed to top this figure once in their past half-dozen games overall. However, for this contest, I like the Seahawks to narrowly play just Over their 23-point team O/U Total. Lest anyone forget, Seattle did manage to top 27 points in fur straight games and five of six just prior to their last half-dozen games.

The Pick: Over 23 Total Points

Total Points Scored By The Denver Broncos

Over 24½ -115
Under 24½ -115

Analysis: The Broncos have scored 26points or less in three of their last five games overall while getting held to 24 points or less by AFC West division rival San Diego in two of those games. However, if you take a good look at the Broncos’ final scores this season, you will notice that as the season has progressed, Denver’s ability to put points on the board at will has waned quite a bit. Just twice during the regular season were the Broncos held under 27 points, but ironically, this has happened to Denver twice in back-to-back playoff games. Simply put, I like Seattle voracious defense to make it three straight games the Broncos don’t reach 27 points. I like the Broncos to narrowly play Under their team O/U Total.
The Pick: Under 24½ Points

Super Bowl XLVIII Game Total

My game Total Pick is simple. I like Seattle to win 24-21 for a grand total of 45 points and an Under outcome for Super Bowl 48.

Posted in NFL