It’s the tendency for the public lean on betting the over on NFL game totals because everyone loves to chear for a high scoring game.Everyone loves a good ol’ fashioned shootout.
But only betting over totals will lead to disappointment. Let’s take a look at what games are best suited for under the total wagers in Week 5 of the NFL.
Bet The Under – NFL Week 5 Low-Scoring Games
Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers, Total 45.5
Most football handicappers are likely to think that this game goes over because Chicago has a great offense and just an okay defense, but here’s the thing: the Panthers have absolutely no rushing attack and let’s be honest, QB Cam Newton hasn’t turned into a passer that’s going to throw for 400 yards and 5 touchdowns in any game.
Chicago’s defense could be very hard on the Panthers while the Bears might try to rush the ball more in order to keep their defense from tiring in the fourth quarter. Under all the way.
Trestman on #Bears offense: "We haven't scored the points we'd like to score over the first four games. That's No. 1."
— Chicago Bears (@ChicagoBears) October 1, 2014
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New Orleans Saints, Total 48
The trends say that this game goes under by a mile. The under is 13 and 4 in the Saints last 17 games versus an NFC opponent, 5 and 2 in the Saints’ last 7 versus the NFC South, and 7 and 3 in the Saints last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
The under has hit 9 times in the last 11 meetings between these two and 4 and 1 in the last 5 meetings in New Orleans.
— New Orleans Saints (@Saints) September 30, 2014
Arizona Cardinals at Denver Broncos, Total 49
The total seems very high for a team, the Cardinals, that only allows 15 points per game. In fact, Arizona’s defense is ranked fifth in the league. The Broncos aren’t going to be able to run the football against Arizona’s D, meaning that the Cardinals could think of all sorts of ways to get to Bronco QB Peyton Manning.
On offense, Arizona likes to take its time. The total score in this game should definitely reflect a tough, hard-fought contest between an undefeated squad based on an awesome defense, Arizona, and a one-dimensional offensive team with a decent defense.
"You don't throw that many touchdowns without a lot of help." – Manning on potential of 500 career TD passes pic.twitter.com/z3urnYIbzK
— Denver Broncos (@Broncos) October 1, 2014
Cincinnati Bengals at New England Patriots, Total 46
Cincinnati is averaging 26.7 points and 384 yards per game, but New England has a decent defense. The Patriots are ranked first against the pass. The Bengals figure to use their rushing game more than they usually do in this contest. That should take time off of the clock. When the Patriots get the ball, they’re going to be hard-pressed to score more than a couple of touchdowns against a stellar Cincinnati defense.
#Patriots CB Brandon Browner, WR Brian Tyms at practice for first time since coming off suspensions.
— Erik Scalavino (@E_Scal) October 1, 2014
The Cincy D allows only 11 points per game. Teams average 352.7 yards against it. The Bengals’ D will be even better on Sunday night against the Patriots’ offense because, surprisingly, New England has one of the worst offenses in the NFL this season. The offense is ranked twenty-ninth in the league. The Patriots rush for less than 100 yards and Tom Brady’s QB rating is an incredibly awful 79.1.