The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have played their best football on the road this season. This week they are seeking to extend their unlikely win streak to four games when they go west to face the San Diego Chargers. The Week 13 NFL Bucs Vs Chargers betting spread favors the Bolts by 3.5-points. Kick-off is this Sunday, December 4th at 1:00 PM ET on FOX from Qualcomm Stadium, in San Diego, California.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Vs San Diego Chargers Spread & ATS Pick
What: Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-5) at San Diego Chargers (5-6)
When: Sunday, December 4, 2016
Start Time: 4:25 PM ET
Where: San Diego, CA
Stadium: Qualcomm Stadium
Spread: Chargers -3.5
Moneyline: Tampa Bay +165 vs San Diego -190
Game Total: 47
Watch: FOX Sports
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: Tampa Bay vs San Diego
Why Bet The Tampa Bay Buccaneers To Beat The Chargers
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won three straight, the two against heavily favored teams. First, at Kansas City and Sunday they beat the mighty Seahawks 14-5 improving to 6-5 SU and ATS this season. They average 22.5 points per game (18th) and allow 24.0 points per game (18th). After only two takeaways in the first four games of the season — a 1/3 start for Tampa Bay — the Bucs recorded 18 takeaways in their last seven, and have a 5-2 mark to show for it.
Tampa Bay averages 256.4 passing yards per game (13th). QB Jameis Winston (2900 yards, 22 TDs & 11 INTs) has thrown eight touchdowns and just two interceptions in the last five games. Third year WR Mike Evans (73 rec, 1020 yards, 10 TDs) has exploded this year to join the likes of Antonio Brown and Odell Beckham Jr as a top wideout. Evans caught eight passes for 104 yards and two touchdowns against the Seahawks.
The Buccaneers average 107.1 rushing yards per game (16th). RB Jacquizz Rodgers (88 car, 393 yards, 1 TDs) leads the team with 4.5 yards per carry and will rejoin the team after missing several weeks with a high ankle sprain. With injuries plaguing the backfield, no Bucs rusher has scored more than a single touchdown this season.
The Bucs have the 23rd-ranked total defense in the NFL. They allow 253.0 passing yards per game (17th) and 115.8 rushing yards per game (22nd). Kwon Alexander has 90 tackles, and Gerald McCoy has 6.0 sacks this season.
Why Bet The San Diego Chargers To Beat The Buccaneers
The San Diego Chargers have won two of the last three games, including a 21-13 victory over the Houston Texans last week. They are 5-6 SU and 6-5 ATS this season. Their record should be better than it is as they’ve led in all six of their losses, and in the second half of five of them. The Bolts led the Chiefs 21-3 at one point, led the Saints by 13 with five minutes to play, but find themselves as the worst second-half defense in the NFL, giving up 16 points per game. They average 28.4 points per game (4th) and allow 26.5 points per game (26th).
The Chargers have the NFL’s No. 4 scoring offense and No. 5 passing game, led by QB Philip Rivers (3128 yards, 23 TDs & 12 INTs), who has 23 touchdowns despite missing some of his top targets this year. WR Tyrell Williams (51 rec, 790 yards, 5 TDs) is the team leader in receptions and touchdowns, but he’s dealing with a shoulder injury.
“This is something that he dealt with in the past before he got here in college,” Chargers head coach Mike McCoy said. “He’s played with this before, so he understands what he’s dealing with. He knows what he can and can’t do certain things, depending on how he plays in the game, and what we need to do to make sure he can go out and succeed, and help us win the game.”
The brightest spot in the Chargers offense is breakout rusher Melvin Gordon (234 car, 908 yards, 9 TDs) who was a bust last season. San Diego averages 99.7 rushing yards per game (20th).
San Diego has the 19th-ranked total defense in the NFL. The Chargers give 271.0 passing yards per (26th) and 89.8 rushing yards per game (6th). Jatavis Brown has 54 tackles, and Melvin Ingram has 6.0 sacks.
Betting Trends for this Matchup:
- Tampa Bay is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
- Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
- Tampa Bay is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
- Tampa Bay is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
- San Diego is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games
- San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
- San Diego is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games
Expert ATS Pick & Final Score Prediction
The public money is on the Buccaneers. Tampa has pulled out three straight upsets of the Bears (so could my grandma), Chiefs (I’m listening) and Seahawks (hell froze over). The Chargers are 7-4 ATS this season, but most bettors still don’t trust them in close games and rightfully so. Wiseguys are laying off this game.
My final score prediction is Tampa Bay 20, San Diego 28.