NFL week 7 betting continues with a trip to London for the NFL International Series with the Buffalo Bills openeing as four-point favorites over the Jacksonville Jaguars. With sight-seeing the furthest thing from their minds the game kicks off this Sunday October 25th at 9:30 AM ET. This game will be availale to stream only via Yahoo.
A Closer Look At Buffalo Bills at Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Week 7 Odds & My Betting Analysis
What: Buffalo Bills (3-3) at Jacksonville Jaguars (1-5)
When: Sunday, October 25, 2015
Kickoff: 9:30 AM ET
Stadium: Wembley Stadium
Weather: 54° F | Morning Clouds
Spread: Bills -4
Moneyline: Buffalo -220 vs Jacksonville +180
Game Total: 41
Watch/Stream: Yahoo Only
Listen: Buffalo vs Jacksonville
If You Are Betting On The Buffalo Bills Odds At -4 Over The Jags
The Buffalo Bills are 3-3 straight up and against the spread. The Bills average 24.2 points (9th), 209.5 passing yards (28th) and 125.3 rushing yards (3rd) per game. Last week they lost an ugly home to the undefeated Bengals by a 34-21 score.
“We got to flush the toilet, so to speak, on one game,” Ryan said. “There’s no question about it. We got to get better.”
Backup QB EJ Manuel (263 yards, 1 TD & 1 INT) will start his second straight game with QB Tyrod Taylor (1097 yards, 9 TDs, 4 INTS) sidelined with a sprained knee ligament. Taylor was completing 70.1 percent of his passes and had been preparing to play before being ruled out Thursday.
“He still has some soreness in that knee. That means basically when you touch it and it’s still sore, that it hasn’t healed all the way,” Ryan said. “We’re not going force this young man out there, put him out there, when he’s really not 100 percent.”
WR Sammy Watkins (11 rec, 147 yards, 2 TDs) will be joining Taylor on the sidelines at Wembley. Watkins is dealing with a sprained ankle and was ruled out this Thursday. WR Percy Harvin (19 rec, 87 yards, 1 TD) also won’t be playing. Reports indicate he is considering retirement due to a hip injury. TE Charles Clay (31 rec, 324 yards, 2 TDs) is the only one who will be catching the ball down the field this Sunday for the Bills. He had 62 yards against the Bengals last week.
RB LeSean McCoy (60 att, 236 yards, 1 TD) returned to action from a bum hammy last week against the Bengals. He posted 17 carries, 90 yards, and one touchdown. Rookie rusher Karlos Williams (42 att, 226 yards, 3 TDs) has yet to practice after leaving their week 5 game with a concussion.
Rumblings from the highly talented defense are a cause for concern. The Bills are the owners of the highest paid defensive line in the NFL. They have a combined nine sacks in six games. Mario Williams, Jerry Hughes and Marcell Dareus have questioned their roles. Ryan doubled down that the unit will figure out its early-season struggles.
“I know where it’s going to end up,” Ryan said, repeating a line that he used Oct. 7 when he faced questions about the production of the Bills’ defense. “I’d be willing to bet anyone that wants to bet.”
Buffalo’s defense gives up 23.2 points (16th), 269.0 passing yards (22nd) and 87.2 rushing yards (5th) per game. Corey Graham leads the Bills with 55 tackles, Mario Williams has two sacks and Stephon Gilmore has 12 pass deflections.
— NFL (@NFL) October 18, 2015
If You Are Betting On The Jacksonville Jaguars Odds At +4 Over The Bills
The Jacksonville Jaguars, while suprisingly competitve, are 1-5 straight up and 2-4 against the spread. They average 18.8 points (30th), 258.0 passing yards (12th), 92.7 rushing yards (24th) per game. Last week they lost at home to the MUCH more talented Texans. Good news for the Jaguars is that this is their third game in London while this is the Bills first.
Sophomore QB Blake Bortles has thrown for 1630 yards, 13 TDs & 7 INTs while completing 57.0% of his passes. Bortles has posted an 83.5 passer rating so far this season. Last week he threw for 331 yards and three TDs. He was als0 picked off three times while the Jaguars allowed at least 30 points for the third time in four games last Sunday.
WR Allen Robinson (28 rec, 488 yards, 5 TDs) and WR Allen Hurns (29 rec, 460 yards, 4 TDs) are two towering targets for Bortles. The return of TE Julius Thomas (9 rec, 98 yards, 1 TD) last week adds another weapon in the Jags arsenal.
Rookie RB TJ Yeldon (81 att, 291 yards, 0 TD) has been dealing with a groin injury and is listed questionable for Sunday. Backup rushers Toby Gerhart and Denard Robinson are likely share the backfield workload again. Last week the two players combined for 45 yards on 16 carries while Bortles gained a team-high 37 on four.
Jacksonville’s defense allows 29.3 points (30th), 265.0 passing yards (20th) and 101.7 rushing yards (14th) per game. Telvin Smith leads the Jaguars with 59 tackles, Ryan Davis has 2.5 sacks and Davon House has 10 pass deflections.
Betting Trends Related To This Matchup:
- Buffalo Bills 8-3 On Road or Neutral since last season
- Jacksonville Jaguars 1-2 On Road or Neutral this season
- Jacksonville Jaguars 5-7 On Road or Neutral since last season
- Jacksonville Jaguars 2-3 As Underdog or PK this season
- Jacksonville Jaguars 8-12 As Underdog or PK since last season
- Jacksonville Jaguars 1-2 As Road Underdog this season
- Jacksonville Jaguars 5-7 As Road Underdog since last season
- Buffalo Bills 3-8 O-U On Road or Neutral since last season
- Buffalo Bills 4-12 O-U When Line is <45 since last season
- Jacksonville Jaguars 5-7-2 O-U When Line is <45 since last season
- Buffalo Bills 2-4 O-U When Line was 39.5 to 42.5 since last season
- Jacksonville Jaguars 1-3-1 O-U When Line was 39.5 to 42.5 since last season
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Buffalo’s last 22 games. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo’s last seven games when playing Jacksonville.
Jacksonville is 1-6 SU in its last seven games, 8-15-2 ATS in its last 25 games and 1-4 ATS in its last five games when playing Buffalo. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville’s last seven games when playing Buffalo
My NFL Week 7 Betting Pick: Bills -4 over the Jags
PLAYERS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:
- Buffalo: Tyrod Taylor, Karlos Williams, Percy Harvin, Sammy Watkins, Aaron Williams, Kyle Williams, MarQueis Gray, Leodis McKelvin.
- Jacksonville: Rashad Greene, James-Michael Johnson.