The Buffalo Bills and the Houston Texans will both be looking to get back in the win column when they square off in a Week 4 under the radar affair that is offering as much value as any contest on the Week 4 schedule.
Buffalo at Houston
Date: Sept. 28
Start Time: 1 p.m. Eastern
Stadium: NRG Stadium
TV Info: CBS
Live Stream: NFL Sunday Ticket
Radio: Sirius XM Radio
Spread: Houston -3
The Bills went down at home to San Diego last week 22-10, while the Texans got mauled at the New York Giants 30-17 in a game that wasn’t as close as that score indicates. It’s a big game of sorts for Texans quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick, who was the starter in Buffalo for four seasons.
The teams last met in 2012, with Houston taking a 21-9 win at home. The all-time series is tied 3-3, although the Texans have won the last two meetings.
— Houston Texans (@HoustonTexans) September 25, 2014
Bills Vs Texans Week 4 NFL Lines & Predictions
Houston (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) was on the wrong end of a 30-17 loss to the New York Giants in Week 3 and never came close to covering the spread as a 1.5-point rod dog.
Buffalo (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) was mostly man-handled in its 22-10 Week 3 loss to San Diego and also never had a chance to cover the spread as a 2.5-point home favorite.
Both teams will try to get back in the win column after suffering their first losses of the season the last time out.
Former Bills and current Texans QB, Ryan Fitzpatrick tossed three interceptions against the previously winless Giants and knows he needs to be better for the Texans moving forward.
"It’s definitely about being steady. Not letting what’s going on outside or not letting last week’s performance kind of affect the work you put in for this week," Fitzpatrick said. "… Not allowing anything that happened in the past affect the way you go about your business."
— Buffalo Bills (@buffalobills) September 23, 2014
Buffalo quarterback E.J. Manuel also struggled in his last performance, though not nearly as bad as Fitzpatrick. Manuel completed 23 of 39 passes for 238 yards but was just 7 of 21 to his wide receivers.
"We’re not where we want to be," said Bills running back C.J. Spiller, who held to 25 yards on 10 carries.
Analysis: I like the way both of these teams have put together apparently competent rebuilding plans and I think this contest has the look of a classic field goal contest that is decided by three points one way or the other.
Having said that, I am going to urge you to back the Buffalo Bills, mostly because they have the better defense in this matchup.
I like the fact that the Bills are 9-3 ATS in their last dozen games following an SU loss and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss.
I like the way the Buffalo’s defensive line has played up front this season, generally getting after every quarterback they’ve played so far and I believe they’re going to harass Ryan Fitzpatrick into at least one costly turnover en route to the narrow win and ATS cover.