The undefeated Atlanta Falcons’ redemption tour comes home this Sunday when they host the Buffalo Bills. Atlanta has won its first three games by an average of seven points. The Falcons are 9.5-point favorites and the total is at 48.5 points. Kick-off is this Sunday, October 1st at 1:00 PM ET on CBS from the Mercedes-Benz Stadium, in Atlanta, Georgia.
The Falcons will play their second game at the brand new Mercedes-Benz Stadium after a grand-opening win over the Green Bay Packers on Sept. 17th. The Bills are 2-1 under first-year coach Sean McDermott, who has overseen wins over the Jets and Broncos.
Buffalo Bills Vs Atlanta Falcons NFL Week 4 Odds & Betting Tips
What: Buffalo Bills (2-1) at Atlanta Falcons (3-0)
When: Sunday, October 1, 2017
Start Time: 1:00 PM ET
Where: Atlanta, GA
Stadium: Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Spread: Falcons -9.5
Moneyline: Buffalo +325 vs Atlanta -400
Game Total: 48.5
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Buffalo vs Atlanta
Why Bet The Buffalo Bills To Beat The Falcons
The Bills defense is getting no respect. They are allowing just 12.3 points per game, the fewest in the league. Buffalo is the only team in the NFL that has not allowed a passing touchdown.
A solid defense alone will not be enough for the Buffalo to win. McDermott’s club will need to improve upon its season-to-date rankings in points per game (16.7, No. 25 in the NFL) and yards per game (285.3, No. 26). Going up against the Falcons won’t help those numbers.
Why Bet The Atlanta Falcons To Beat The Bills
Can Matt Ryan bounce back from a three pick performance against the Lions last week?
For the season, Ryan has passed for 867 yards, four touchdowns and three picks. Four different players have caught a TD passes from Ryan. WR Julio Jones isn’t one of those even with 265 recieving yards.
RB Devonta Freeman is averaging 4.4 yards per carry and has four touchdowns in three games.
Atlanta averages 29.0 points per game, which is the 5th best in the league.
If You Still Can’t Decide Who To Bet On
- Bills are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win.
- Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Falcons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Bills Vs. Falcons Week 4 Betting Analysis
The Falcons rank fifth in the NFL with 29 points per game and the Bills are No. 1 on the opposite side of the ball with only 12.3 points allowed per game.
Atlanta has won five of the last six games at home, and they are 4-1 against Buffalo in the previous five games overall. But they haven’t been as good when the spread is so high. The Falcons are 3-7 ATS in their last ten games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
The Falcons will win, but will NOT cover 9.5-point spread.