Cardinals Vs 49ers TNF Spread & ATS Pick

Cardinals Vs 49ers TNF Spread & ATS Pick

NFL Week 5 opens with an NFC West division battle between the Arizona Cardinals and the San Francisco 49ers. The betting spread favors the Cards by a field-goal to beat the 49ers. Kick-off is scheduled for this Thursday, October 9th at 8:25 PM ET on CBS live from Levi’s Stadium, in Santa Clara, California.

Arizona Cardinals Vs San Francisco 49ers TNF Odds & Final Score Prediction

Arizona is desperate for a victory after a rough 1-3 start to the season while the 49ers need a big prime time victory in order to snap a three-game losing streak and prove they belong in the NFL.

What: Arizona Cardinals (1-3) at San Francisco 49ers (1-3)
When: Thursday October 6, 2016
Start Time: 8:25 PM ET  
Where: Santa Clara, CA
Stadium: Levi’s Stadium
Spread: Cardinals -3
Moneyline: Arizona -170 vs San Francisco +150
Game Total: 42.5
Watch: CBS
Stream: Twitter
Listen: Arizona vs San Francisco

Why Bet The Arizona Cardinals To Beat The 49ers

The Arizona Cardinals lost their second game in a row and dropped to 1-3 SU and 1-3 ATS this season. Their 17-13 loss to the LA Rams at home was their second defeat at home in four weeks. The loss is surprising after the Cards out-gained the Rams 420-288 in total yards. You have to score TDs to win.

"We are not panicking." — Cardinals coach Bruce Arians said after on Sunday.

Arizona averages 23.0 points per game (14th) and gives up 20.0 points per game (11th). They have the 7th best passing offense in the NFL, averaging 281.3 passing yards per game.

Even with QB Carson Palmer (1150 yards, 6 TDs & 5 INTs) struggling to find his form, the team can put up yards. Palmer entered the week in concussion protocol after taking a shot to the head last week. Backup QB Drew Stanton is completing 33.3 percent of his passes for 48 yards, zero touchdowns and two interceptions. He will get the start if Palmer has to sit.

WR Larry Fitzgerald (25 rec, 280 yards, 3 TDs) had five receptions for 62 yards in the loss against Los Angeles. WR John Brown (18 rec, 236 yards, 0 TD) was targeted 16 times last week and caught ten passes for 144.

The Cardinals average 100.8 rushing yards per game (15th). RB David Johnson (64 car, 300 yards, 3 TDs) hasn’t broken a 100-yards game yet this season.

Arizona has the 9th best total defense in the NFL. They average 204.0 passing yards per game (7th) and 110.0 rushing yards per game (20th). They have sacked opposite quarterbacks 11 times this season (6th). Tony Jefferson leads the team with 39 tackles. Chandler Jones and Markus Golden each have recorded four sacks.

Why Bet The San Francisco To Beat The Cardinals

The Niners have dropped three in a row. Last week they dropped a home game to the Cowboys by a 24-17 score. San Francisco is 1-3 SU and 1-3 ATS. They average 22.5 points per game (15th) and allow 26.8 points per game (23rd).

“I don’t think our guys did a good job [to help Gabbert[ out there,” Niners head coach Chip Kelly said in the press conference. “I thought he made some good decisions in the run game, but we didn’t block up the guys that were coming who were responsible for the quarterback. We’ve got to do a little bit better job on that but that’s not Blaine’s issue."

Kelly’s passing offense is ranked dead last in the NFL. The 49ers average 178.8 passing yards (32nd) per game. Last week, QB Blaine Gabbert (728 yards, 4 TDs & 4 INTs) completed 16 of 23 passes for 196 yards, with one touchdown and one crucial interception.

WR Jeremy Kerley (18 rec, 202 yards, 1 TD) has been Gabbert’s favorite target this season. TE Garrett Celek (10 rec, 131 yards, 0 TD) is the second choice in the pasing game. While WR Torrey Smith (9 rec, 106 yards, 1 TD) has fallen out of favor in the Kelly regime.

The 49ers average 114.0 rushing yards per game (10th). RB Carlos Hyde (299 yards, 5 TDs) had 15 carries for 74 yards and one touchdown against Dallas.

San Francisco has the 26th-ranked total defense. They allow 250.0 passing yards (14th) and 140.5 rushing yards (32nd) per game. The Niners have seven sacks this season (19th). NaVorro Bowman led the team with 35 tackles. Bowman is out for the season with a torn left Achilles tendon.

Betting Trends for this Matchup:

  • Arizona is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
  • Arizona is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
  • Arizona is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
  • Arizona is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing San Francisco
  • Arizona is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games when playing San Francisco
  • San Francisco is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
  • San Francisco is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
  • San Francisco is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Expert ATS Pick

The 49ers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games and 3-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall. The Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings in San Francisco and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The under is 8-3 in Cardinals last 11 games overall and the under& is 19-7 in 49ers last 26 home games.

I am backing the 49ers at home against a banged up Cardinals team that is out of sync.

Posted in NFL