Cash in On NFL 2014 Preseason Week 1 PicksJosh Bailey
The 2014 NFL regular season is almost exactly one month away from getting started NFL gridiron gambling enthusiasts!
Of course, before that happens, the annual month-long preseason period takes place as players across the league try to both, make their team’s roster – and get prepared for the real deal.
Now, if you don’t now, betting on preseason NFL action is definitely a bit different from betting on regular season action, mostly because teams don’t play their expected starters very much as they try to figure out just what they have in the form of the younger players trying to make their rosters.
Tonight: Indy at NYJ, 7:00 PM. NE at Wash, 7:30 PM SF at Balt, 7:30 PM. Cinc at KC, 8:00 PM Sea at Den, 9:00 PM Dal at SD 10:00 PM.
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) August 7, 2014
With that thought in mind, this trio of expert Thursday night NFL preseason picks will help you get your 2014 NFL betting off to a positive start.
NFL 2014 Preseason Week 1 Picks
Indianapolis Colts an NY Jets 7: 00 PM ET
When: 7:00 PM ET, Thursday, August 7, 2014
Where: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, New Jersey
Analysis: This preseason contest should be one of the better Week 1 games on the docket, mostly because both of these AFC hopefuls have accomplished veteran quarterbacks.
The New York Jets will start Geno Smith before giving way to veteran Mike Vick while Indianapolis counters with starter Andrew Luck and backup matt Hasselbeck.
The Jets went 3-1 SU and ATS in its four preseason games last season while the Colts went 2-2 SU and ATS last preseason. New York played Over their O/U Totals in all four of their preseason games a year ago while Indy went 2-2 O/U.
For this contest, I like the Over to play out as the Jets have played Over their O/U Total in three of their last five home games while Indianapolis has gone 4-1 against the O/U Total in their last five road dates.
Keep it simple here as Vick and Hasselbeck lead their teams to a couple of scores apiece to play Over this low Total.
My Pick: Over 36.5 Total Points
Seattle Seahawks at Denver Broncos
When: 9:00 PM ET, Thursday, August 7, 2014
Where: Sports Authority Field at Mile High, Denver, Colorado
Some Seahawks generating some camp buzz: DE Greg Scruggs, CB Tharold Simon, WR Phil Bates. Don't know names now, but real chance you will.
— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) August 6, 2014
Analysis: Sure, elite signal-callers Russell and Peyton Manning will start this contest for their respective teams, but then they’ll give way to their respective backups – and I don’t think things look very promising for the Broncos as they’ll turn to strong-armed, but inconsistent backup Brock Osweiler.
Seattle will turn to veteran backup Tavaris Jackson who will then give way to athletic, but still young, third-stringer, Terrelle Pryor.
The Broncos went 2-2 SU and 1-4 ATS in its four preseason games last season while the Seahawks compiled a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS mark in its four preseason games last season.
Having said all of this, I fully expect the Seahawks to get the outright road win and accompanying ATS cover, mostly because they’ve got better backup quarterbacks than the Broncos.
Besides, Denver is just 2-3 ATS in its L/5 home games while Seattle has gone 4-0 ATS in its last four road tilts.
My Pick: Take the Seahawks minus the points, to deliver another message to Peyton Manning and the Broncos, even if it isn’t quite as forceful as their huge Super Bowl 48 rout over Denver.
Dallas Cowboys at San Diego Chargers
When: 10:00 PM ET, Thursday, August 7, 2014
Where: Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, California
San Diego -3
Analysis: The san Diego Chargers will enter the 2014 season with a Mount Rushmore-sized chip on their collective shoulders as they try to really contend for a berth in the AFC title game at the very least.
The Dallas Cowboys are simply looking to avoid become the first team in league history to record four consecutive 8-8 seasons while getting back into the postseason for the first time since 2009.
Having said that…I’m going to urge you to back the mediocre Dallas Cowboys in this contest despite the fact that they’re playing on the road against a ‘better’ team. After opening the game with uninspiring starter Tony Romo, Dallas will turn to backups Brandon Weeden and Caleb Hanie while San Diego counters backup Kellen Clemens once starter Philip Rivers departs.
Dallas went 2-3 SU and ATS in its five preseason games a year ago and while that’s not very impressive, the Chargers were even more mediocre in the preseason, going 1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS in its four preseason games a year ago.
My Pick: The Cowboys are desperate and they’ve got the better backup quarterbacks, one of whom could be better than Romo if you ask me. Take Dallas and the points people!