The 9-6 San Diego Super Chargers and the 8-7 Kansas City Chiefs are both fighting for the same final AFC playoff spot when they meet at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 17. While San Diego controls their own destiny, Kansas City needs the win, lady luck and a lot of help to flip the script and take the final AFC wild-card spot from the mouths of the Chargers.
— SundayNight Football (@SNFonNBC) December 23, 2014
The Super Chargers currently hold the No. 6 and final seed in the AFC. A win guarantees them a game against the No. 3 seed (currently the Bengals) in the first round of the playoffs. If the Super Chargers fail, their season is over and they can start their New Year’s Eve party early while leaving the Chiefs a huge opportunity to make the postseason for a second straight year.
The Chiefs are 2.5 point favorites agaisnt the Chargers and if they win, they’ll need favorable outcomes in two other games. They need the Cleveland Browns to beat the Baltimore Ravens AND the Jacksonville Jaguars to beat the Houston Texans. The Ravens are nine-point favorites and the Texans are giving the three-win Jaguars 9.5 points.
Matchup: San Diego Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs
Date: Dec. 28, 2014
Start Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Location: Kansas City, Missouri
Stadium: Arrowhead Stadium
TV Info: CBS
Radio: San Diego Vs Kansas City
Point Spread: Chiefs -2.5
Analyzing The San Diego Vs Kansas City NFL Week 17 Odds & Pick
The San Diego Super Chargers could of packed it in and started Christmas early this year when they were trailing the 49ers 28-7 at halftime. However, on the pure strength of Phillip Rivers will, the Chargers came back from 21-point deficit to win 38-35 in overtime on Saturday. Rivers completed 33 of his 54 passes for 356 yards 4 TDs & 3 INTs; he orchestrated the final 4th-quarter drive that pushed the game to overtime.
Rivers, who previously played through injuries that would end other players seasons, is also reportedly battling through back and rib injuries, proving again that not only is he the heart of the Super Chargers, but the toughest SOB in the league.
San Diego has gone 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 road games, winning seven of them, and they have also won four of the past five meetings with Kansas City, even though they lost the first game between the teams this season.
San Diego owns the 9th ranked passing offense in the league but are lagging in rushing where they rank 29th. Rivers has thrown for 3995 yards, 31 TDs & 16 INTs in 2014 with a 95.8 passer rating. WR Malcom Floyd leads the team with 827 receiving yards on 49 receptions with 6 TDs but TE Antonio Gates has been the money with 12 TDs this season.
The Chargers ground game is averaging 3.4 yards per carry with pint-sized Branden Oliver leading the way with 511 rushing yards and two touchdowns.
Defensively, the San Diego Chargers are allowing 21.9 points, 344.1 yards, and they’ve forced 22 sacks and 18 turnovers. Eric Weddle leads San Diego with 109 tackles and Corey Liuget has 11 tackles for loss.
Now this Chargers team faces Kansas City wo has the 2nd ranked pass defense and the 28th ranked run defense. Throw in the loudest home crowd in the NFL and Rivers and his offensive line will have a long afternoon.
— San Diego Chargers (@Chargers) December 24, 2014
The Kansas City Chiefs have lost four of their last five games and need a win to give themselves a shot at the playoffs. They beat the Chargers by a score of 23-20 when they visting San Diego earlier this season as three-point dogs. They have gone 5-1 straight up and ATS in their past six home games.
The KC offesne is built around RB Jamaal Charles who has had an offseason with a few minor injuries, finishing the season with 979 rushing yards and nine touchdowns.
QB Alex Smith has thrown 3265 yards, 18 TDs & 6 INTs this season and manages the game well. He won’t win head-coach Andy Ried this or any game, but he won’t lose the game either.
The Kansas City Chiefs are 28th in passing yards and 10th rushing, with RB Jamaal Charles as their best offensive player, recording 979 yards, & 9 TDs.
Defensively, the Kansas City Chiefs are allowing 18.3 points, 328.5 yards, and they’ve forced 39 sacks and 10 turnovers. Josh Mauga leads KC with 95 tackles and Justin Houston has 18 sacks.
— PFTonNBCSN (@PFTonNBCSN) December 23, 2014
San Diego is 4-2 SU in its last six games, 4-2 SU in its last six games on the road, 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games. Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last five games, 5-1 SU in its last six games at home, and 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
Kansas City is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against San Diego, but 2-5 SU in its last seven games when playing at home against San Diego.