The short-handed Chicago Bears are will face the winless Detroit Lions in a NFC North matchup the 2015 NFL betting season hits week 6. The Bears are riding a two-game winning streak and will bring that swagger to Ford Field. Will the 0-5 Lions counter or stumble? Should you bet on Chicago or back Detroit? Answers to those questions and more…
A Closer Look At Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions NFL Week 6 Spread & My Betting Analysis
What: Chicago Bears (2-3) at Detroit Lions (0-5)
When: Sunday, October 18, 2015
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET
Where: Detroit, MI
Stadium: Ford Field
Spread: Lions -3
Moneyline: Chicago +130 vs Detroit -150
Game Total: 43
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: Chicago vs Detroit
If You Are Betting On The Chicago Bears Spread At +3 Over The Lions
The Chicago Bears are 2-3 straight up and against the spread so far this season. They are averaging 17.2 points (28th), 200.2 passing yards (27th) and 116.2 rushing yards (16th) per game. Last week they stole a one-point win over the Chiefs by an 18-17 score, pushing their win streak to two.
QB Jay Cutler has thrown for 878 yards, 6 TDs & and 3 INTs, while completing 60.2% of his passes for an 85.4 passer rating. He has battled a hamstring injury that has cost him two-plus games. Since sitting out a 26-0 loss at Seattle on Sept. 27, he’s thrown for 533 yards with four touchdowns and one pick.
Cutler has been working with a patch-work receiving corps.First-round pick Kevin White was lost for the year during the pre-season. Pro Bowler Alshon Jeffery (5 rec, 78 yards, 0 TD) and veteran Eddie Royal (18 rec, 120 yards, 1 TD) nursing injuries. Third-year WR Marquess Wilson (15 rec, 234 yards, 1 TD) and TE Martellus Bennett (28 rec, 233 yards, 2 TDs) have filled in.
Stalwart rusher Matt Forte (102 att, 438 yards, 1 TDs) leads the NFL in rushing yards and carries. He also has 18 catches for 171 yards and a TD
Chicago’s defense allows 28.4 points (28th), 186.0 passing yards (3rd), 118.0 rushing yards (24th) per game. Shea McClellin leads the Bears with 33 tackles, Pernell McPhee has three sacks and Alan Ball has two pass deflections.
If You Are Betting On The Detroit Lions Spread At -3 Over The Bears
Detroit is 0-5 straight up and 1-4 against the spread so far this season. They average 16.6 points (30th), 272.4 passing yards (9th) and 48.8 rushing yards (32nd) per game. Last week they were embarassed in front of a home crowd by the Cardinals by a 42-17 score.
The usually reliable QB, Matthew Stafford, is having one of his worst seasons of his career. He has thrown for 1205 yards, 6 TDs & 8 INTs, while posting a 74.8 passer rating. There are thirty two QBs with a better passer rating. He’s thrown just two touchdown passes to go with five picks over his last three games.
WR Calvin Johnson (32 rec, 322 yards, 1 TDs) is back from an injury plauged season last year only to have his QB get the yips. Fellow WR Golden Tate (26 rec, 264 yards, 0 TDs) has also seen a huge dip in production after leading the team in receiving yards last season.
Rookie RB Ameer Abdullah (40 att, 131 yards, 1 TDs) was benched last week after fumbling the ball twice. Joique Bell, who has 22 yards on 20 carries this season, expects to play after missing two games with an ankle injury. The Lions need to get their rush attach going after averaging a league last 49.0 yards per game through five weeks.
Detroit’s defense allows 27.6 points (26th), 249.0 passing yards (17th) and 126.6 rushing yards (27th) per game. Stephen Tulloch leads the Lions with 36 tackles, Ezekiel Ansah has five sacks and Glover Quin has two interceptions.
Betting Trends Related To This Matchup:
- Chicago Bears 2-3 As Underdog or PK this season
- Chicago Bears 7-10 As Underdog or PK since last season
- Chicago Bears 3-5 When Line was 42 to 45 since last season
- Detroit Lions 5-3 As Home Favorite since last season
- Chicago Bears 2-3 O-U All Games this season
- Detroit Lions 2-3 O-U All Games this season
- Chicago Bears 4-6 O-U On Road since last season
- Detroit Lions 4-5-1 O-U At Home since last season
- Chicago Bears 0-3 O-U When Line is <45 this season
- Detroit Lions 0-3 O-U When Line is <45 this season
- Chicago Bears 0-3 O-U When Line was 42 to 45 this season
- Detroit Lions 0-3 O-U When Line was 42 to 45 this season
The Bears are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following a S.U. win, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 6, 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS win, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in October, 10-26 ATS in their last 36 vs. NFC, 4-12 ATS in their last 16 vs. NFC North, and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog of 0.5-3.0.
The Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 6, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home, 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0, 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in October, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC North.
My NFL Week 6 Betting Pick: Lions -3 over the Bears
PLAYERS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:
- Chicago: Jacquizz Rodgers, Shea McClellin.
- Detroit: Eric Ebron, DeAndre Levy, Alex Carter.