Chicago Hosts Green Bay – NFC North Against The Spread Week 4 PicksJosh Bailey
The Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears will square off in a huge Week 4 NFC North divisional showdown that could have playoff implications for both teams involved, even at this early juncture of the 2014 regular season.
If you’re looking to cash in on this contest, then you’re going to have a great chance to do just that thanks to this expert betting preview and analysis. Click here for more NFL week 5 against the spread odds.
— Green Bay Packers (@packers) September 27, 2014
Green Bay at Chicago
Where: Soldier Field
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET
Spread: Chicago -1.5
Against The Spread Week 4 Preview – Packers Vs Bears
Green Bay (1-2 SU, 0-2-1 ATS) got man-handled in their 19-7 Week 3 loss to Detroit while failing to cover the spread as a 1-point road dog.
Making matters worse is the fact that the Packers were held scoreless over the game’s final three quarters as Rodgers struggled in completing just 16 of 27 passes for one touchdown.
Green Bay was held scoreless over the game’s final three quarters and finished with just 223 yards of offense, a figure that is the team’s second-lowest total in the last six seasons. Rodgers’ passing total also were the second-fewest he’s thrown for when healthy.
"We haven’t been a sharp offense. I haven’t been as sharp," Rodgers said. "We’ve all got to do better."
The Packers are averaging just 18.0 points per game (27th) and are ranked in the middle third on every meaningful offensive statistical category. Green Bay has also struggled on defense this season and are ranked 30th against the run (156.0 ypg) and a dismal 28th in points allowed (26.3 ppg).
— Chicago Bears (@ChicagoBears) September 26, 2014
Chicago (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) has won two straight games and is coming off a convincing 27-19 win over the Jets in Week 3 while cashing in as a 1.5-point road dog.
Veteran quarterback Jay Cutler completed 23 of 38 passes for 225 yards and one touchdown, though the Bear’s rushing attack was nearly non-existent with the team gaining jus 60 yards on the ground on 21 carries.
The Bears and their newfound offense under respected head coach Marc Trestman are ranked ninth in coring (25.0 ppg) while the Bears’ sit just outside the top 10 in points allowed (20.7 ppg, 11th).
Game Analysis: While I really like the Packers and Aaron Rodgers far more than I do Cutler and the Chicago Bears, I’m going to urge you to back Chicago in this Week 4 matchup for a number of reasons.
While neither team has been able to run the ball effectively, Chicago has found a lot of success with their passing game and I think that success will translate into a confidence-boosting win for the Bears in this huge division showdown.
The Packers are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against their NFC counterparts and a discouraging 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
I know the Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings in this divisional series and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games against the Bears, but I like Chicago to bust those trends wide open by getting the outright home win against a Packers team that is just 1-4 ATS in their last five games against their NFC North division rivals.
This game could be one of the most entertaining affairs on the Week 4 docket, but in the end, I like the Bears to cover the NFL betting line, even though the majority of key trends are pointing to a Packers ATS cover.
With the Bears being well-rested and playing at home in this NFC North divisional battle, I like Chicago to cover the spread with the narrow home win.