Minnesota Vs Detroit Spread & ATS Pick

Chicago Vs Detroit NFL Thanksgiving Day Betting Pick

Jay Cutler, Brandon Marshall and the Chicago Bears face fellow NFC North rivals, Mark Stafford, Reggie Bush, Megatron the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving Day at Ford Field this Thursday.

The Thanksgiving Day NFL betting lines list the Lions as 6.5 point favorites over the Bears and the game total is currently at 47 points.

Matchup: Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions
Date: Nov. 27, 2014
Start Time: 12:30 p.m. ET
Location: Detroit, Michigan
Stadium:Ford Field
TV Info: CBS
Radio: Chicago Vs Detroit
Point Spread: Lions (-6.5)
Game Total: 47

Analyzing My Chicago Bears at Detroit Lions NFL Thanksgiving Day Betting Pick

The Lions have lost their last two games in a row and are no longer the top team in the NFC North; with their 34-9 loss to the New England Patriots on Sunday they dropped to 7-4 and are one game behind the surging Green Bay Packers.

Detroit has the 20th ranked offense in the NFL, 10th passing and 30th rushing. QB Matthew Stafford has thrown 2943 yards, 13 TDs and 10 INTs this season for an 81.0 passer rating, but he went 18 of 46 for 264 yards 0 TDs & 1 INTs against the Patriots. WR Golden Tate leads the team with 72 receptions and 1047 yards along with 3 TDs. RB Joique Bell has 490 yards in 141 touches and 3 TDs.

Detroit’s defense that dominated so many teams in the first 10 weeks of the season is no longer the number one ranked defense in the NFL after allowing 439 yards from the Patriots and 34 points. The Lions are first at stopping the run allowing 70.7 yards per game and 10th best defending the pass.

The Chicago Bears have won two games in a row, beating the Tampa Bay Buccaneers 21-13 at home, but with a 5-6 record they are still way out of the playoff picture. Chicago’s offense is 15th best in the league; 14th passing the ball and 20th running it. QB Jay Cutler has completed 267 of his 400 attempts for 1825 yards, 22 TDs & 12 INTs for a 93.0 passer rating. WR Alshon Jeffery now leads the team with 58 receptions, 783 yards, and 5 TDs.

The Bears defense is 22nd in the league allowing 367.3 yards & 27.5 points per game, and after allowing more than 50 games against the Patriots and Green Bay Packers, they have held teams with less offensive talent, Minnesota Vikings and Tampa Bay Buccaneers to 13 points each on consecutive weeks.

Chicago is 5-6 ATS, 8-16 ATS in its last 24 games, 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Detroit, and 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit, but 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing the Lions and 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing the Lions on the road.

Detroit is 5-6 ATS, 1-4 ATS in its last five games, BUT 4-1 SU in its last five games at home. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago’s last six games, and in 9 of Detroit’s last ten games. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit’s last five games when playing at home against Chicago.

NFL Thanksgiving Day Betting Pick: Lions -6.5

Posted in NFL