The NFL schedule makers are giving us snoozer to close out Thanksgiving weekend with the Kansas City Chiefs facing the Denver Broncos on Sunday Night Football. The NFL Week 12 Chiefs Vs Broncos betting line favors Denver by a 3.5-points. Kick-off is this Sunday, November 27th at 8:30 PM ET on NBC from the Sports Authority Field at Mile High, in Denver, Colorado.
Kansas City Chiefs Vs Denver Broncos Spread & ATS Pick
What: Kansas City Chiefs (7-3) at Denver Broncos (7-3)
When: Sunday, November 27, 2016
Start Time: 8:30 PM ET
Where: Denver, CO
Stadium: Sports Authority Field at Mile High
Spread: Broncos -3.5
Moneyline: Kansas City +150 vs Denver -170
Game Total: 39.5
Stream: NBC Sports Live
Listen: Kansas City vs Denver
Why Bet The Kansas City Chiefs To Beat The Broncos
Kansas City suffered a disappointing loss last week at Tampa Bay with a 19-17 score. The Chiefs are 7-3 SU and 4-6 ATS this season. The Chiefs average 22.2 points per game (19th) and allow 18.7 points per game (5th).
The Chiefs average 235.9 passing yards per game (22nd). QB Alex Smith (2077 yards, 9 TDs & 4 INTs) hasn’t been impressive this season. Smith went 24 of 31 for 261 yards with one touchdown and one interception last week against the Bucs.
“That’s kind of what the 24 hours after a game are [for]," Smith said. “You do critique hard on your play, especially fundamentals and things like that, areas you need to improve on. That quickly transitions to getting ready for that next opponent.
TE Travis Kelce (49 rec, 574 yards, 3 TDs) is coming off his best game of the season. Kelce caught seven balls for 108 yards against Tampa Bay. WR Jeremy Maclin will miss his third straight game with a groin injury. Kansas City averages 97.9 rushing yards per game (22nd). RB Spencer Ware (132 car, 641 yards, 2 TDs) averages 71.2 rushing yards per game.
Kansas City has the 20th-ranked total defense in the NFL. They allow 253.0 passing yards per game (17th) and 121.1 rushing yards per game (27th). Derrick Johnson leads the team with 73 tackles, and Dee Ford has 10.0 sacks.
Why Bet The Denver Broncos To Beat The Chiefs
The Denver Broncos are coming off a bye week. They are 7-3 SU and ATS this season. They average 23.9 points per game (14th) and allow 18.9 points per game (8th).
Denver averages 227.3 passing yards per game (23rd). Trevor Siemian (2028 yards, 12 TDs & 7 INTs) has done a pedestrian job in relief of the retired Peyton Manning. He is a game manager who with an 85.0 passer rating. WR Demaryius Thomas (55 rec, 678 yards, 5 TDs) has caught one touchdown in the last three games. WR Emmanuel Sanders (54 rec, 668 yards, 3 TDs) hasn’t caught a touchdown pass since week four against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Broncos average 97.4 rushing yards per game (23rd). Rookie RB Devontae Booker (104 car, 396 yards, 2 TD) is averaging 3.8 yards per carry since he took over the lead back job.
The Broncos has the 3rd-ranked total defense in the NFL. Denver gives up 194.0 passing yards per game (2nd) 123.7 rushing yards per game (29th). T.J. Ward has 66 tackles, and Von Miller has 9.5 sacks.
Betting Trends for this Matchup:
- Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
- Kansas City is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
- Kansas City is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
- Denver is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
- Denver is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games
Expert ATS Pick & Final Score Prediction
This game was flexed to the Sunday night spot in place of the Pats vs Jets tilt. The public is pretty much split between these two teams that have been paid out well for steady backers over the past one and a half years. The Chiefs have attracted slightly more support.
Sharp bets are also split on this game. The wiseguys preferring Denver snatching up lines of -3 that were available earlier.
My final score prediction is Kansas City 13, Denver 17.