NFL Spread Betting Tips On QBs

NFL Christmas Week Betting Cheat Sheet

There are two weeks left in the NFL Season and that includes this week’s Christmas games. I’m going to try and make the most of it by hitting a picking your best ATS, Over/Under and Moneyline bets.

San Diego battles Oakland in a game that has absolutely no playoff implications. But, it’s a big rivalry game. Hot Kansas City will be looking for their ninth straight win while Green Bay and Arizona could be a playoff game preview. Keep reading for my best bets for Week 16!

NFL Christmas Week ATS Picks

San Diego at Oakland
When: Thursday, Dec. 24 at 8:25 pm ET
Odds: Oakland -4.5

Analysis: Although the Raiders have gone 2 and 5 straight up and 2 and 5 ATS in their last 7 games, they’ve shown some fight. But, San Diego appears to be the team on the upswing. The Chargers have gone 2 and 3 straight up since their bye week. San Diego is an exceptional 4 and 2 ATS in their away games this season. The Chargers defense has started to play very well lately. It has given up 17 points to Denver, 10 to Kansas City and 14 to Miami in San Diego’s last 3 games. Don’t be surprised if San Diego wins this one outright.  

Pick: San Diego

Cleveland at Kansas City
When: Sunday, Dec. 27 at 1:00 pm ET
Odds: Kansas City -12.5  

Analysis: The Chiefs are an unstoppable force. Kansas City has won 8 games in a row. To prove how awesome the Chiefs have been in those 8 games, one needs only look at their 7 and 1 ATS record. Once the light switch went on, the Chiefs have been on a roll. It doesn’t look like the lights are going to go off any time soon. This team is laser focused. QB Alex Smith just doesn’t make mistakes. He’s thrown only 4 picks this season.

Pick: Kansas City

Dallas at Buffalo
When: Sunday, Dec. 27 at 1:00 pm ET
Odds: Buffalo -6

Analysis: Former Boise State star Kellen Moore gets his shot in Dallas’s final two games of the season. This is probably Moore’s last chance to make an impact in the NFL. He was a stud at Boise State. But, so far, his pro career hasn’t been very good. Buffalo’s once feared defense has fallen apart. It’s allowing 257.7 passing yards and 24 points per game. The Bills could make Moore look like a stand out because he’s got a lot of weapons, including future hall of fame TE Jason Witten and terrific WR Dez Bryant to throw the football too. Dallas is the way to go ATS in this.

Pick: Dallas

NFL Christmas Week Game Total Over/Under Picks

Pittsburgh at Baltimore
When: Sunday, Dec. 27 at 1:00 pm ET
Total: 47.5

Analysis: Pittsburgh has scored 30 points or more in 6 straight games including hanging 34 onto Denver’s number one ranked defense in Week 15. You can’t stop the Steelers’ offense. Baltimore’s offense isn’t great, but it plays a less than spectacular Steelers’ defense at home in this. Over it is.

Pick: Over

Jacksonville at New Orleans
When: Sunday, Dec. 27 at 4:05 pm ET
Total: 51.5

Analysis: Both of these teams have terrific offenses. Jacksonville’s offense averages 24.5 points per game but should get more in this battle since the Saints defense allows a ridiculous 30.5 points per game. Jacksonville’s defense will get shredded by a Saints offense that goes for 24.8 per game but that can easily score over 30 in this.  

Pick: Over

Green Bay at Arizona
When: Sunday, Dec. 27 at 4:25 pm ET
Total: 49.5

Analysis: This one has under written all over it. The Cardinals could easily score 30 to 40, but Green Bay is likely to play a much more conservative game than what handicappers are used to seeing from the Packers. The last thing that Green Bay wants to do is get into a shootout with the highest scoring team in the NFL. Expect QB Aaron Rodgers to be smart with the football and to try and keep Arizona’s offense on the sidelines.

Pick: Under

NFL Christmas Week Straight Up Moneyline Picks

New England at New York Jets
When: Sunday, Dec. 27 at 1:00 pm ET

Analysis: New England has looked good in their last few games. But, they haven’t looked as good as the New York Jets. The Jets have won 4 games in a row. New York has gone 3-0-1 ATS in those 4 games. The Patriots have QB Tom Brady. But, the Jets have two advantages over New England. The Jets slightly better rushing attack and slightly better defense should be what puts the game in their favor on the scoreboard.   

Pick: New York Jets

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