Cincinnati Bengals at Buffalo Bills Line, Predictions, Pick & Betting PreviewNoah Williams
I along with Bengals-nation have gulped down the Orange Crush ®. I am on the Red Rifle train as it invades New York State. The NFL week 6 odds have the Cincinnati Bengals as 3.5-point road favorites when they face the Buffalo Bills. The game kicks off on CBS this Sunday, October 18th at 1:00 PM from Ralph Wilson Stadium.
Will Cinci continue to roll and win their 6th game in a row this season? Or will the Bills spoil the Begnals season? Should you bet on Cincinnati or Buffalo in their week 6 tilt? Answers to these questions and more…
A Closer Look At My Cincinnati Bengals at Buffalo Bills NFL Week 6 Betting Preview
What: Cincinnati Bengals (5-0) at Buffalo Bills (3-2)
When: Sunday, October 18, 2015
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET
Where: Buffalo, NY
Stadium: Ralph Wilson Stadium
Weather: 45° F | Partly Cloud
Spread: Bengals -3.5
Moneyline: Cincinnati -145 vs Buffalo +125
Game Total: 44.5
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Cincinnati vs Buffalo
If You Are Betting On The Cincinnati Bengals Line At -3.5 Over The Bills
The Cincinnati Bengals are 5-0 straight up and 4-0-1 against the spread so far this season. They average 29.6 points (4th), 297.2 passing yards (5th) and 124.2 rushing yards (10th) per game. The Bengals offense is ranked 2nd behind the mighty Patriots.
Last week, Cinci enjoyed perhaps its most impressive win of the season. They used a late rally to come back from a 17-point second-half deficit against the defending NFC Champion Seahawks.
QB Andy Dalton aka The Red Rifle has looked fantastic after five games. He has thrown for 1518 yards, 11 TDs & 2 INTs, while completing 67.2% of his passes. Dalton has showed immense poise and leadership, both qualities that he was criticized for lacking in years past. Through five games he is averaging 303.6 yards per game with 11 scores and only two picks. His 115.6 passer rating that ranks third in the NFL behind New England’s Tom Brady (121.5) and Green Bay’s Aaron Rodgers (117.4).
Bengals QB Andy Dalton is looking an awful lot like another Cincinnati QB that took his team to the Super Bowl. pic.twitter.com/1aafc53JTw
— NFL on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) October 14, 2015
“When you want people talking about you, you don’t want them talking negatively about you,” Dalton said. “Obviously I’ve had to bear a lot of it. But we’re 5-0 right now, hopefully at the end of the year they’re still talking the same way.”
Giving him a helping hand is a healthy pass-catching corps. WR AJ Green (31 rec, 492 yards, 3 TDs) continues to be the top target in the passing game. Tyler Eifert (24 rec, 312 yards, 5 TDs) is now a top five tight end in the league and has gives Dalton a big red-zone target. Green is fourth in the NFL with his 495 receiving yards, while Eifert is tied for second with his five touchdown catches.
The Bengals rushing game has been a rollercoaster this season with RB Giovani Bernard (69 att, 377 yards, 1 TD) and Jeremy Hill (58 att, 176 yards, 5 TDs) sharing carries. Hill’s two lost fumbles has limited his carries.
Cincinnati’s defense allows 20.2 points (10th), 263.0 passing yards (22nd) and 108.6 rushing yards (18th) per game. Vincent Rey leads the Bengals with 49 tackles, Carlos Dunlap has five sacks and Adam Jones has two interceptions.
If You Are Betting On The Buffalo Bills Line At +3.5 Over The Bengals
The Buffalo Bills are 3-2 both straight up and against the spread so far this season. They average 24.8 points (9th), 200.2 passing yards (27th), and 128.0 rushing yards (6th) per game. Last week they stole a 14-13 win from the Titans grasp even while shorthanded on offense. The Bills trailed 10-0 late into the third quarter and won the game due to late heroics from QB Tyrod Taylor.
Taylor was in his third NFL season with Baltimore and only played a single pro game before signing with the Bills during the off-season. He beat out EJ Manuel and Matt Cassel for the starting job late in the pre-season. Since then he has thrown for 1097 yards, 9 TDs & 4 INTs this season. He is questionable to start this week with a knee injury. Reports out of Buffalo are that backup QB EJ Manuel has been getting the majority of the first team reps this week.
“As long as I can sit back there and throw I feel like I can be productive,” Taylor told the team’s official website. “It’s definitely a stability thing, but as far as moving around we’ll see how that goes and if it’s feeling better. It hasn’t limited me much.”
The offensive pieces are coming back together. ? pic.twitter.com/ihPYLoMsMP
— Buffalo Bills (@buffalobills) October 15, 2015
WR Sammy Watkins (7 rec, 99 yards, 1 TD) led the team last year in receiving yards will be back in limited action for this game after missing two games with a calf strain. TE Charles Clay (22 rec, 262 yards, 2 TDs) has been the team’s most reliable pass catcher. The Bills are still waiting for WR Percy Harvin (19 rec, 218 yards, 1 TD) to find the mojo that made him a household name early in his career.
Newly acquired rusher LeSean McCoy (43 att, 416 yards, 0 TDs) has be dogged with a bum hamstring since preseason. Rookie RB Karlos Williams (42 att, 226 yards, 3 TDs) has filled in admirably for McCoy, but he is likely to miss his second straight game with concussion symptoms. Now perennial third-stringer Bobbie Dixon (9 att, 28 yards, 0 TD) and newly signed, former Colt Daniel Herron (15 att, 28 yards, 0 TDs) are the only two rushers on the roster for this game.
Buffalo’s defense gives up 21.0 points against (13th), 274.0 passing yards (24th) and 82.2 rushing yards (3rd) per game. Corey Graham leads the Bills with 48 tackles, Mario Williams has two sacks and Ronald Darby has two interceptions.
Betting Trends Related To This Matchup:
- Buffalo Bills 1-2 At Home this season
- Buffalo Bills 4-6 At Home since last season
- Cincinnati Bengals 3-0-1 As Favorite this season
- Cincinnati Bengals 3-0-1 When Line was 41 to 44 this season
- Cincinnati Bengals 3-1-1 When Line was 41 to 44 since last season
- Buffalo Bills 2-3 When Line was 41 to 44 since last season
- Cincinnati Bengals 3-8 O-U On Road since last season
- Buffalo Bills 1-2 O-U At Home this season
- Buffalo Bills 2-8 O-U At Home since last season
- Buffalo Bills 1-2 O-U When Line is <45 this season
- Buffalo Bills 3-12 O-U When Line is <45 since last season
- Cincinnati Bengals 3-5 O-U When Line was 41 to 44 since last season
- Buffalo Bills 2-11 O-U When Line was 41 to 44 since last season
The Bengals are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0 points, 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 6, 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win, 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games overall, and 4-0 ATS in their last four vs. AFC.
The Bills are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog, 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 games following a S.U. win, 9-21-1 ATS in their last 31 games following a ATS win, 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.
My NFL Week 6 Betting Pick: Bengals +3.5 over The Bills
PLAYERS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:
- Cincinnati: Vontaze Burfict, Sean Porter.
- Buffalo: Tyrod Taylor, LeSean McCoy, Karlos Williams, Aaron Williams, MarQueis Gray, Leodis McKelvin.