NFL Wild Card Weekend Parlay Picks

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers Spread, Predictions, Pick & Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Steelers will try to stay above water waiting for the return of Big Ben when they face AFC North rival Cleveland Browns.  Kicks off is scheduled for 1:00 PM ET this Sunday, November 15th at on CBS. The NFL week 10 point spread favors the Steelers by 4.5-points to beat the Browns. 

A Closer Look At Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers NFL Week 10 Odds & My Betting Analysis

What: Cleveland Browns (2-7) at Pittsburgh Steelers (5-4)
When: Sunday, November 15, 2015
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET 
Where: Pittsburgh, PA
Stadium: Heinz Field
Weather: 50° F | Scattered Clouds
Spread: Steelers -4.5
Moneyline: Cleveland +185 vs Pittsburgh -225
Game Total: 41
Watch: CBS
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Cleveland vs Pittsburgh

If You Are Betting On The Cleveland Browns Odds At +4.5

The Cleveland Browns are 2-7 straight up and 3-5-1 against the spread this season. They average 19.7 points (29th), 252.8 passing yards (15th), 82.3 rushing yards (31st) per game. Last week Cleveland dropped their fourth game in a row. This one was against another AFC North team, the Bengals. The final score was 31-10 score.

Johnny Manziel started the game with starter Josh McCown out with a sore shoulder and injured ribs.

“I’m pretty upset,” said Manziel, who finished 15 of 33 for 168 yards and was sacked three times, all in the fourth quarter. “We had momentum coming into the second half. We just didn’t do enough.”

Even though fans and analysts are calling head-coach Mike Pettine to turn the team over to Manziel, but McCown will return to the starting lineup this week. Over the last six games McCown has averaged 308 passing yards per game and on the season has completed 65.05 of his passes for 1897 yards, 11 touchdowns, and four interceptions.

“We’ve said all along that Josh McCown started the season as our No. 1 quarterback,” he said. “I get the call for `Hey, why not?’ but we’re tasked as coaches to put the roster out there that’s going to give us the best opportunity to win. I understand that as the year goes on those circumstances can change.”

After bolting out of the gate early in the season, WR Travis Benjamin (41 rec, 623 yards, 4 TDs) is averaging 24.0 receiving yards per game in their last two and hasn’t found the end zone since week three. Eighth year-breakout TE Gary Barnidge (42 rec, 602 yards, 6 TDs) is one of the best at his position in the red-zone.

The Browns rushing game is struggling to say the least. Leading the charge is RB Isaiah Crowell (101 att, 333 yards, 1 TD) who is averaging 23.2 rushing yards per game in the last four outings.

Cleveland’s defense allows 27.4 points (26th), 254.0 passing yards (21st) and 147.6 rushing yards (32nd) per game. Karlos Dansby leads the team with 73 tackles, and Tramon Williams five passes deflected.

If You Are Betting On The Pittsburgh Steelers Odds At -4.5

The Pittsburgh Steelers are 5-4 straight up and 4-3-2 against the spread so far this season. They average 22.9 points (17th), 243.2 passing yards (19th), 133.4 rushing yards per game. Last week they beat the Raiders by 38-35 score. The win came at too a high of a cost as Big Ben has been lost for at least two weeks due to a mid-foot sprain.

How many more injuries and suspensions can the Steelers take before they fold? The Steelers are already without running back Le’Veon Bell, center Maurkice Pouncey and starting left tackle Kelvin Beachum. Those losses they may be able to survive. Roethlisberger, however, is another matter.

Roethlisberger (1508 yards, 7 TDs & 6 INTs) was in the midst of a spectacular second half after coming off of a knee injury two weeks ago when Oakland defensive end Aldon Smith landed on Roethlisberger’s foot during a sack. Big Ben laid on the turf for several minutes then gingerly made his way to the sideline, careful not to put any pressure on the same leg that forced him to miss a month earlier in the year with a sprained left knee.

QB Landry Jones (456 yards, 3 TDs & 2 INTs) is slated to start his second game of the season. He started his first game of his career two weeks ago against the Chiefs, a loss. Coach Mike Tomlin said the team would leave the door “slightly ajar” Big Ben to play this week. It sounds like a pipe dream, but the three-time Pro Bowler is refusing to rule himself out as well.

“We’ve got to rally around Landry,” defensive end Cam Heyward said. “We expect there not to be a drop-off and we’re praying for Ben to get back healthy.”

WR Antonio Brown (69 rec, 1002 yards, 3 TDs) had 284 yards on 17 catches last week, but he has struggled without Big Ben under center. TE Heath Miller (30 rec, 305 yards, 1 TD) and Martavis Bryant (16 rec, 262 yards, 4 TDs) have also been reliable targets.

RB DeAngelo Williams (90 att, 480 yards, 5 TDs) will start in the place of Bell and is averaging 5.3 yards per carry this season. He had 170 yards and two touchdowns last week against the Oakland Raiders. The veteran running back will easily find the holes in the Browns defensive front that is allowing a league-high 147.6 yards per game on the ground.

“It’s all about production,” Williams said. “I go in and try not to let people out work me.”

Pittsburgh’s defense allows 20.2 points (8th), 273.0 passing yards, 101.7 rushing yards (12th) per game. Lawrence Timmons has 63 tackles, Bud Dupree has four sacks and Antwon Blake has nine passes deflected.

Betting Trends Related To This Matchup:

  • Cleveland Browns 2-3 On Road this season
  • Cleveland Browns 2-4-1 As Underdog or PK this season
  • Pittsburgh Steelers 6-4 When Line was 39.5 to 42.5 since last season
  • Cleveland Browns 2-3 As Road Underdog this season
  • Cleveland Browns 3-2 O-U On Road this season
  • Pittsburgh Steelers 9-5 O-U At Home since last season
  • Cleveland Browns 6-1 O-U When Line is <45 this season
  • Cleveland Browns 3-0 O-U When Line was 39.5 to 42.5 this season
  • Cleveland Browns 5-4 O-U When Line was 39.5 to 42.5 since last season
  • Pittsburgh Steelers 2-1 O-U When Line was 39.5 to 42.5 since last season
  • Cleveland Browns 4-0 O-U vs Teams Averaging 21 to 25 PPG this season

The Browns are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 10, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC North.

The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game, 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win, 1-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 10 and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in November.

My NFL Week 10 Betting Pick: Steelers -4.5

  • Cleveland: Rob Housler, Joe Haden, Ifo Ekpre-Olomu, Glenn Winston, Randall Telfer.
  • Pittsburgh: Ben Roethlisberger, Le`Veon Bell.
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