After dropping an overtime thriller against the Denver Browns, the Cleveland Browns travel to the Edward Jones Dome to face the St. Louis Rams. The NFL week 7 betting odds list the Rams, who are coming off of a bye week, as 4.5-point favorites to beat the Browns. The Game kicks off on CBS this Sunday, October 25th at 1:00 PM ET.
This matchup is four years in the making. The last time these two met, the Rams pulled out a 13-12 victory. But there is some good news for the Browns. This is the third straight year that Cleveland’s Josh McCown is set to face the Rams and he can provide his team with some insider info.
A Closer Look At Cleveland Browns at St. Louis Rams NFL Week 7 Spread & My Betting Analysis
What: Cleveland Browns (2-4) at St. Louis Rams (2-3)
When: Sunday, October 25, 2015
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET
Where: Saint Louis, MO
Stadium: Edward Jones Dome
Spread: Rams -4.5
Moneyline: Cleveland +190 vs St. Louis -230
Game Total: 42
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Cleveland vs St. Louis
If You Are Betting On The Cleveland Browns Odds At +4.5
The Cleveland Browns are 2-4 straight and 3-2-1 against the spread so far this season. They are averaging 23.5 points (12th), 272.3 passing yards (9th), 91.8 rushing yards (25th) per game. Last week lost 26-23 in overtime to the Broncos. Their 30th-ranked defense intercepted Peyton Manning three times, including one early in overtime.
QB Josh McCown has thrown 1416 yards, 8 TDs & 3 INTs while completing 64.4% of his passes this season. Last week McCown completed 20 of his 39 passes for 213 yards, with 2 TDs & 2 INTs against the Broncos.
The top two pass-catchers for the Browns are WR Travis Benjamin (31 rec, 528 yards, 4 TDs) and eighth-year breakout player TE Gary Barnidge (27 rec, 413 yards, 5 TDs). Barnidge played 92 games between 2008 and 2014. He caught a paltry 3 TDs during that span. He has 5 TDs in his last five games this season.
Gary Barnidge: 2008-2014: 92 games, 3 TD 2015: 5+ games, 5 TD pic.twitter.com/96u0Mmvb54
— NFLonCBS (@NFLonCBS) October 18, 2015
RB Isaiah Crowell (73 att, 272 yards, 1 TD) is averaging a disappointing 3.7 yards per game carry this season. Rookie rusher Duke Johnson (49 att, 159 yards, 0 TD) was hoped to improve the run game, but has yet to show signs of being a reliable starter.
Cleveland’s defense gives up 26.3 points (23rd), 258.0 passing yards (18th) and 149.8.4 rushing yards (32nd) per game. Karlos Dansby leads the Browns with 47 tackles, Armonty Bryant has 3.5 sacks and Tramon Williams has four pass deflections.
If You Are Betting On The St. Louis Rams Odds At -4.5
The St. Louis Rams are 2-3 straight up and against the spread so far this season. They average 16.8 points (31st), 183.2 passing yards (31st), and 113.8 rushing yards (13th) per game. They are coming off a bye week after losing to the Green Bay Packers 24-10 in their last outing.
QB Nick Foles has struggled on his transition to the St. Louis Rams after joining the team with a swap for Bradford with the Eagles. Foles has thrown 956 yards, 6 TDs & 5 INTs this season, completing 57.45 of his passes. Foles has a 77.6 passer rating so far this season.
WR Kenny Britt (11 rec, 183 yards, 1 TD) has been Foles’ number one weapon, but his numbers don’t lift him to the level of a threat. TE Jared Cook (15 rec, 169 yards, 0 TD) is the passing target.
Rookie RB Todd Gurley (55 att, 314 yards, 0 TDs) will start his first home game after breaking out on the road in two straight games. He posted 146 rushing yards against the Cardinals and 159 yards against the Packers. Now Gurley will faces the worst run defense in the league.
Todd Gurley can join Eric Dickerson as the only rookies in NFL history to rush for 140+ yards in 3 consecutive games pic.twitter.com/WigkKnMKVc
— Randall Liu (@RLiuNFL) October 21, 2015
Coach Jeff Fisher said Gurley is still not at 100 percent after he missed the first two games following knee surgery. Gurley has two rushes of at least 50 yards while the rest of the league has combined for six.
“It’s definitely coming along pretty well,” Gurley said. “Like I said, just the repetition, getting the reps, getting used to it, watching film, seeing how other teams are going to play the outside zone.”
St. Louis’ defense gives up 22.6 points (13th), 235.0 passing yards (10th), 113.4 rushing yards (21st) per game. Alec Ogletree leads the team with 42 tackles, Robert Quinn has four sacks and Trumaine Johnson has six passes deflated.
Betting Trends Related To This Matchup:
- Cleveland Browns 7-4 On Road since last season
- St. Louis Rams 4-6 At Home since last season
- Cleveland Browns 9-4-1 As Underdog or PK since last season
- St. Louis Rams 2-5 As Favorite since last season
- Cleveland Browns 5-0 When Line was 40.5 to 43.5 since last season
- St. Louis Rams 1-2 When Line was 40.5 to 43.5 since last season
- Cleveland Browns 7-3 As Road Underdog since last season
- Cleveland Browns 3-0 O-U On Road this season
- Cleveland Browns 6-5 O-U On Road since last season
- St. Louis Rams 6-4 O-U At Home since last season
- Cleveland Browns 6-0 O-U When Line is <45 this season
- St. Louis Rams 2-1 O-U When Line is <45 this season
- Cleveland Browns 4-0 O-U When Line was 40.5 to 43.5 this season
- Cleveland Browns 6-5 O-U When Line was 40.5 to 43.5 since last season
The Browns are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss, 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 7, 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
The Rams are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0 points, 4-11 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
I am picking the the Rams as the smart bet to beat the Browns. My final score prediction is Cleveland 19, St. Louis 24.
PLAYERS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:
- Cleveland: Scott Solomon, Ifo Ekpre-Olomu, Charles Gaines, Randall Telfer, Glenn Winston.
- St. Louis: Lance Kendricks, Nick Toon, Alec Ogletree