Rookie number one overall pick Baker Mayfield and the Cleveland Browns are on the west coast to face Jon Gruden and the Oakland Raiders. The NFL Week 4 betting line favors Oakland by 2.5-points to beat Cleveland.
The Browns are 1-1-1 and the Raiders are winless. Can Cleveland win two in a row after breaking a two-year losing streak? Will Jon Gruden get his first win in 3,591 days or nine years and ten months? Is Baker Mayfield going to win his first NFL start? Should you bet on the Raiders to win their first game of 2018?
Cleveland Browns vs. Oakland Raiders Line & Betting Predictions NFL Week 4
What: NFL Week 4
Who: Cleveland Browns vs. Oakland Raiders
Where: Oakland Coliseum, Oakland
When: 4:05 PM ET, Sunday, September 30
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Spread: Raiders -2½
Moneyline: Cle +125/Oak -145
Why Bet On The Cleveland Browns
The Browns finally won a game. But should you bet on Cleveland to win two in a row? On the road? On the West Coast three time zones away?
Baker Mayfield is the 30th starting quarterback in Cleveland since 1999. Only two have won their first start, 26 lost and one tied. Mayfield is better than his predecessors by a high margin. He is also surrounded with immense talent including Jarvis Landry, David Njoku, Carlos Hyde, Nick Chubb, and a game-changing defense.
Speaking of the Browns’ defense. Opponents have scored 15.1 fewer points against Cleveland versus other all other opponents. This week the Browns D face a Raiders team that has been outscored 37-3 in the fourth quarter play through three weeks. David Carr’s five interceptions are tied for most in the league.
Why Bet On The Oakland Raiders
The Raiders are sixth in the NFL in total offense. But let’s break the numbers down. Oakland is outscoring opponents by a combined 35-17 in the first half so far this season. Then after half-time, the Raiders are being outscored 64-17. That makes the equally error-prone Browns a perfect opponent.
The last time a first overall pick QB to win his first start was David Carr in 2013. It’s a 0-10 SU and ATS run since.
Cleveland vs. Oakland Betting Predictions
The lack of a Raiders pass rush is the difference maker in this game. Cleveland’s defense will limit Carr and company. Oakland’s 18th-ranked combined defense won’t stop Mayfield, Landry, Njoku, Hyde…et al.
Bet the Browns and the over.