Colts Vs Packers Line & Expert Pick

Colts Vs Packers Line & Expert Pick

Colts Vs Packers Line & Expert Pick

Both the Indianapolis Colts and the Green Bay Packers will seek to bounce back from week 8 losses when they meet this Sunday. The NFL Week 9 line favors the Packers by 7.5-points. This game could be a turning point for the winner.

The game kicks-off on CBS this Sunday, November 6th at 4:25 PM ET from Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin.

Colts Vs Packers Line & Expert Pick

The NFL week 9 odds opened with the Packers as 7-point favorites to beat the Colts. The odds have slightly ticked up to 7.5 since then. If you want to bet the O/U the game total is 54. The money favors the Packers at -330 while you can cash in at +270 if you back the Colts.

What: Indianapolis Colts at Green Bay Packers
When: Sunday, November 6, 2016
Start Time: 4:25 PM ET  
Where: Green Bay, WI
Stadium: Lambeau Field
Spread: Packers -7.5
Moneyline: Indianapolis +270 vs Green Bay -330
Game Total: 54
Watch: CBS
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Indianapolis vs Green Bay

Why Bet The Indianapolis Colts To Beat The Packers

The Indianapolis Colts have dropped two of their last three games. Last week, their 30-14 home loss to Kansas City put their record at 3-5 SU and 3-4-1 ATS this season. Indy averages 26.0 points per game (9th) and allows 28.8 points per game (28th).

“It feels like we moved backward this weekend. We’re sick of it. It’s on us. There’s no one else to blame”, said QB Andrew Luck after the loss to Kansas City.

The Colts average 260.9 passing yards per game (12th). QB Andrew Luck (2284 yards, 16 TD & 5 INTs) completed 19 of 35 passes for 210 yards against Kansas City last week. He threw two touchdowns and one interception. WR TY Hilton (43 rec, 709 yards, 4 TDs) had his worst game of the season with a single reception for 20 yards. They average 99.6 rushing yards per game (22nd). Frank Gore (126 car, 532 yards, 2 TDs) recorded 37 yards on nine carries last week.

Indianapolis owns the 29th-ranked total defense in the NFL. The Colts allow 288.0 passing yards per game (30th) and the 114.8 rushing yards per game (21st). They have recorded 14 sacks this season (21st). D’Qwell Jackson has 51 tackles, and Erik Walden has 6.0 sacks.

Why Bet The Green Bay Packers To Beat The Colts

The Green Bay Packers are coming off a last-minute 33-32 loss to the Falcons. They are 4-3 SU and 3-3-1 ATS this season. They average 24.6 points per game (11th) and allow 22.3 points per game (15th).

The Packers average 237.0 passing yards per game (22nd). QB Aaron Rodgers (1742 yards, 17 TDs & 4 INTs) had quite a game against the Falcons despite the loss. Rodgers completed 28 of 38 passes for 246 yards and four touchdowns. WR Davante Adams (40 rec, 424 yards, 5 TDs) now leads the team in reception and yards. WR Jordy Nelson (31 rec, 415 yards, 6 TDs) is the team’s touchdown leader. Green Bay averages 105.3 rushing yards per game (19th). With James Starks and Eddie Lacy on the sidelines, WR Ty Montgomery (14 car, 66 yards, 1 TD) was shifted to RB.

"He [Montgomery] pretty much spends most of his time with me in my meeting room," Packers running backs coach Ben Sirmans said.

Green Bay has the 4th best total defense in the league. They allow 247.0 passing yards per game (16th) and 74.4 rushing yards per game (2nd). The Packers have recorded 19 sacks this season (12th). Jake Ryan has 47 tackles and 5.5 sacks this season.

Betting Trends for this Matchup:

  • Indianapolis is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
  • Indianapolis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
  • Green Bay is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
  • Green Bay is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home

Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction

The public is on the Packers by a lot even though they did cover in their 33-32 loss at Atlanta. The sharps were with the public in betting this line from Green Bay -7 to -7.5, but they are now split at this number.

My final score prediction is Indianapolis 20, Green Bay 30.