NFL Week 5 betting action opens with the 1-point underdog Indianapolis Colts head to NRG Stadium to face the Houston Texans. With both teams limping through the first month of the season, each just might be what the other needs.
The focus of this game will be on both squad’s QBs. The Colt’s 26-year-old general Andrew Luck has been dogged by inconsistent play this season. He missed the first game of his professional career last week with speculation that he had a partial shoulder subluxation. For the Texans, starting quarterback Ryan Mallett was pulled for veteran season-open starter Brian Hoyer in the third quarter. Mallet 12-for-27 for 150 yards and an interception over the course of nine possessions without a score.
Can either starting QB play up to expectations? Which side should you back? Should you betting on Indy or Houston? The over or under? Answers to those questions and more.
A Closer Look At My Indianapolis Colts At Houston Texans NFL Week 5 Thursday Night Football Betting Analysis
What: Indianapolis Colts (2-2) at Houston Texans (1-3)
When: Thursday, October 8, 2015
Kickoff: 8:25 PM ET
Where: Houston, TX
Stadium: NRG Stadium
Weather: 85° F | A Mixture of Sun and Clouds
Spread: Texans -1
Game Total: 44
Watch: CBS/NFL Network
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Indianapolis vs Houston
If You Are Betting On The Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis has won two games in a row after opening the season 0-2. They are 2-2 straight up and and abysmal 0-4 against the spread. The Colts average 18.0 points (27th), 250.2 passing yards (13th) and 87.5 rushing yards (26th) per game.
Last Sunday, vetern backup QB Matt Hasselbeck started for the Colts. He completed 30 of his 47 passes for 282 yards and one touchdown. But the Colts needed an Adam Vinatieri field goal to escape with a 16-13 overtime win at home.
Andrew Luck, Matt Hasselbeck both officially questionable http://t.co/UynZcoWC2V
— ProFootballTalk (@ProFootballTalk) October 7, 2015
Luck, a three-time Pro Bowler, has completed just 56 percent of his passes and has seven interceptions and is expected to start this game. In 2014, he threw 40 touchdown passes, and this season he only has five.
WRs TY Hilton (22 rec, 294 yards, 0 TD) and Donte Moncrief (23 rec, 275 yards, 3 TDs) are the top passing targets in this offense. Will this be the game when newly acquired, usually dependable, and former Texan WR Andre Johnson (7 rec, 51 yards 0 TD) breaks out for the Colts? Johnson set team records for receptions (1,012), receiving yards (13,597) and receiving touchdowns (64) during his 12 seasons in Houston, asked to be released after he was told his role would be limited in 2015. He signed with Indianapolis in March.
RB Frank Gore (54 att, 227 yards, 2 TDs) is top tailback but has forgot to bring his bruising, explosive style of running in the Bay. Last week, the thirty-two-year-old running back finished with 17 carries for 53 yards, ripped off a 22-yarder on his final run to get the ball to the Jacksonville 7-yard line.
Indianapolis’ defense gives up 23.2 points (15th), 268.0 passing yards (24th), and 119.5 rushing yards per game (25th). D’Qwell Jackson leads the Colts with 47 tackles, Dwight Lowery has two interceptions and Darius Butler has two forced fumbles.
If You Are Betting On The Houston Texans
Houston is 1-2 straight up and 2-2 against the spread so far this season. Last week they were humiliated by the Falcons who went up by four touchdowns in the first half to Houston’s zero. after leaving Atlanta humiliated with a 48-21 loss against the Falcons. Starting QB Ryan Mallet (720 yards, 3 TDs & 3 INTs) was benched for backup Brian Hoyer after the Falcons built a 42-0 lead. Mallet will start this game.
The Texans top pass catcher is WR DeAndre Hopkins (31 rec, 409 yards, 3 TDs) who has embraced the starting gig along WR Cecil Short III (22 rec, 236 yards, 1 TD).
Long time star RB Arian Foster (8 att, 10 yards, 0 TD) played his first game last week after sitting out all of the preseason and the first three games of the season with a groin injury. RB Alfred Blue (51 att, 204 yards, 1 TD) still leads the team in carries and yards.
"I want him. I'm all in for Arian Foster…Foster is going to put up double-digit fantasy points this week." pic.twitter.com/V060KOsmVl
— NFL Network (@nflnetwork) October 7, 2015
The Texans average 19.2 points (24th), 284.5 passing yards (6th), 99.8 rushing yards (21st) per game.
Houston allows 27.0 points (25th), 229.0 passing yards, and 115.3 rushing yards (23rd) per game. Brian Cushing leads the Texans with 32 tackles, J.J. Watt has four sacks and Jadeveon Clowney has two tackles for loss.
Betting Trends Related To This Matchup:
- Indianapolis Colts 0-4 All Games this season
- Houston Texans 1-3 All Games this season
- Indianapolis Colts 6-6 On Road since last season
- Houston Texans 5-5 At Home since last season
- Houston Texans 7-3 As Favorite since last season
- Houston Texans 4-5-1 O-U At Home since last season
- Indianapolis Colts 0-2 O-U When Line is <45 since last season
- Indianapolis Colts 0-3 O-U When Line was 43 to 46 this season
- Indianapolis Colts 2-3 O-U vs Teams Averaging 21 to 25 PPG since last season
Indianapolis is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Houston and 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Houston. The Texans are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games when playing Indianapolis.
My NFL Week 5 Betting Pick: Colts
Players Out or Doubtful:
- Indianapolis: D’Joun Smith.
- Houston: Cecil Shorts, Ryan Griffin, Mike Mohamed