Both the Indianapolis Colts and Tennessee Titans lost and failed to cover the NFL betting spread last week. While the Titans are 1-1 and surprisingly competitive, the Colts are desperate for a win with a 0-2 record. A big win by the Colts in this AFC South matchup could vault Indy into the division lead. That is if the Jaguars lose to the Patriots in New England.
This was the season the Colts were going to blow the league away with the additions of Frank Gore and Andre Johnson. They have fell flat and most of the blame has come down on Stanford alum QB Andrew Luck.
Coach Pagano was quick to toss his star QB under the bus after the game with a thinly veiled shot at his Stanford education. "You just gotta take care of the football," he said after the game. "Make great decisions, take care of the football. It’s not that hard. It’s not trigonometry."
Luck went 21 of 37 for 250 yards, 1 TD & 3 INTs in the 20-7 loss to the NY Jets on Monday Night Football. The Jets pass rush was relentless. The Colts run game was a flash-back to the Trent Richardson days. Luck’s 3 INTs were more costly than his 0 sack night.
Marcus Mariota is the man under center for the Titans. Can he bounce back from a mediocre performance versus the Browns after lighting up the Bucs. Mariota still needs to develop his NFL game. Even though he has yet to throw an interception, his two fumbles and 7 sacks last week were costly.
An In-Depth Look At The Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans NFL Week 3 Betting Stats & Trends
What: Indianapolis Colts (0-2) at Tennessee Titans (1-1)
When: Sunday, Sept. 27th, 2015
Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
Where: Nashville, TN
Stadium: Nissan Stadium
Weather: 82° F/A Mixture of Sun and Clouds
Spread: Colts -3.5
Moneyline: Colts -175 vs Titans +155
Game Total: 45
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Indianapolis vs Tennessee
Indianapolis is 0-2 both straight up and against the spread because they can’t move the ball. They are averaging a paltry 245.0 passing yards per game (23th). Luck (493 yards, 3 TDs & 5 INTs) is facing a lot of pressure to help the Colts become the first team to start 0-2 in successive years and still make the postseason. He is missing his top target T.Y. Hilton due to injury and new-comer Andre Johnson is showing his age. Luck’s top target has been WR Donte Moncrief (13 rec, 168 yards 2 TDs).
The Colts running game is averaging just 78.5 rushing yards per game (26th) with new-comer Frank Gore (23 att, 88 yards, 0 TDs) as the lead rusher.
The big problem is the offensive line that hasn’t been average since Peyton’s days in a Colts uniform. Indianapolis started 11 different offensive line groups last season. Luck has been blitzed on 47.9 percent of his dropbacks, which is the third-highest rate in the NFL, according to ESPN’s Stats & Information, this season.
Add all of that up and two weeks into the season, Indy is averaging 10.5 points per game which is dead last in the league. A big surprise from the top passing offense in the league last year.
Indy’s defense is at the middle of the pack. The Colts are allowing 23.5 points and 343 yards per game. D’Qwell Jackson leads the Colts with 18 tackles, Henry Anderson has a sack and Mike Adams has an interception. Defensive injuries are starting to pile up with D’Joun Smith, Vontae Davis and Darius Butler are questionable. Defensive tackle Arthur Jones is out for the season with an ankle injury. Free agent signing Nate Irving still has to suit up after a knee injury.
Colts V Titans Betting Trends Quick Look:
- Tennessee Titans 1-7 At Home since last season
- Indianapolis Colts 10-6-1 As Favorite since last season
- Tennessee Titans 4-11 As Underdog or PK since last season
- Tennessee Titans 3-4 When Line was 43.5 to 46.5 since last season
- Tennessee Titans 1-4 As Home Underdog since last season
- Tennessee Titans 3-5 O-U At Home since last season
- Tennessee Titans 2-3 O-U When Line is 45 to 48 since last season
- Tennessee Titans 3-7 O-U When Line was 43.5 to 46.5 since last season
- Indianapolis Colts 4-5 O-U vs Teams Averaging <21 PPG since last season
- Tennessee Titans 2-4 O-U vs Teams Averaging >25 PPG since last season
The Titans are 1-1 both straight up and against the spread. The offense is ranked 24th, averaging 202.2 passing yards per game ran. Mariota (466 yards, 6 TDs & 0 INTs) has stepped up to the NFL level and is the envy of all GMs and coaches. His top target has been WR Kendall Wright (6 rec, 113 yards, 1 TD). The over-achieving rushing attack is posting 145.0 yards per game (6th). Sophomore RB Bishop Sankey (24 att, 116 yards, 1 TD) has showed flashes of play that made him a top fantasy choice last year. The offense is averaging 28.0 points per game (7th) after two games.
Tennessee’s total defense ranked 4th. The team is allowing 170.0 passing yards per game (3rd), 104.0 rushing yards per game (16th), and 21.0 points per game (tied-11th).
The Titans are 4-15-2 ATS in their last 21 games following a S.U. loss, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss, 6-18-2 ATS in their last 26 home games, 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog, 1-10-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 3-16-2 ATS in their last 21 vs. AFC, and 16-34-4 ATS in their last 54 games overall.
The Colts 18-4 ATS in their last 22 games following a S.U. loss, 16-4-1 ATS in their last 21 games following an ATS loss, 21-9-1 ATS in their last 31 games as a favorite, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 3, 18-8-1 ATS in their last 27 vs. AFC, and 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 vs. AFC South.
Players Out or Doubtful:
- Indianpolis: Greg Toler, D’Joun Smith.
- Tennessee: David Cobb