Welcome back Tony Romo. How the Dallas Cowboys have missed thee. They haven’t won a game since Romo got hurt in Week 2 and their playoff hopes are all but a distant hope. Romo will be coming back on to the field to face the struggling Miami Dolphins. The NFL week 11 odds list the Cowboys as 1-point road-favorites to beat the Dolphins. Who should you bet on? Let’s find out.
A Closer Look At The Dallas Cowboys at Miami Dolphins NFL Week 11 Odds & My In-depth Betting Tips.
What: Dallas Cowboys (2-7) at Miami Dolphins (4-5)
When: Sunday, November 22, 2015
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET
Where: Miami, FL
Stadium: Sun Life Stadium
Weather: 83° F | Decrasing Cloudiness
Spread: Cowboys -1
Moneyline: Cowboys -120 Vs Dolphins +100
Game Total: 47.5
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: Dallas vs Miami
Why Bet On The Dallas Cowboys Odds At -1
The Dallas Cowboys are 2-7 straight up and against the spread so far this season. They average 18.4 points (29th), 219.8 passing yards (26th) and 119.0 rushing yards (9th) per game. Last week, they lost to the Buccaneers by a 10-6 score, recording their 7th loss in a row. It’s their worst losing streak since dropping seven straight to end the 1989 season.
“I don’t think that anyone in this locker room thinks by any means that this season is over,” Romo said Wednesday. “You lose enough games, sometimes it can creep in where it feels that way, and I don’t think our team has not ever given 100 percent commitment. That’s exciting to see. That’s how you can turn it around.”
Romo (551 yards, 3 TDs & 2 INTs) and WR Dez Bryant (17 rec, 209 yards, 1 TD) a are working together for the first time since the first week of the season. Bryant missed five games after suffering a broken foot in Week 1. Romo missed Dallas’ seven-game losing streak with a broken collarbone. Romo had a 98.9 passer rating in the first two games.
“We’re going to let him practice,” coach Jason Garrett said about Romo. “And if he practices well, he’s going to play in the game. And we anticipate him practicing well. So we’re excited about that opportunity.”
TE Jason Witten (49 rec, 445 yards, 2 TDs) and Bryant will be happy to see Tony Romo under center. The Cowboys air attach suffered with backups Weeden and Cassel unable to move the chains. If the Dolphins focus on those two, WR Terrance Williams (25 rec, 373 yards, 2 TDs) could see a lot of one-on-one coverage.
RB Darren McFadden (130 att, 494 yards, 2 TDs) was limited in Thursday’s practice due to a groin strain. He is expected to start against the Dolphins. The Cowboys backfield is shallow with Lance Dunbar hurt and Jospeh Randle cut due to off the field issues.
The Dallas D allows 23.8 points (18th), 241.0 passing yards (14th) and 108.6 rushing yards (15th) per game. Barry Church has 73 tackles, the embattled Greg Hardy has four sacks and Morris Claiborne has six passes deflected.
Since the Cowboys’ Week 6 bye, they’ve allowed just 225 yards per game and two total TDs to QBs, tied for the fewest in the league in that span. In fact, Dallas is just one of five teams not to allow more than two passing scores in a game this season, and the only QB to top 300 yards against the Cowboys is Drew Brees.
Why Bet On The Miami Dolphins Odds At +1
The Miami Dolphins are 4-5 straight up and against the spread so far this season. They average 21.5 points (24th), 247.2 passing yards (17th) and 103.0 rushing yards (19th) per game. Last week, they beat the Eagles by a 20-19 score.
“It’ll be good to get back home in front of our crowd,” interim coach Dan Campbell said Monday. “Bottom line we’ve got another game. Whether it’s there or here or in the parking lot, we’ve got to go win.”
QB Ryan Tannehill (2452 yards, 15 TDs & 9 INTs) completed 21 of 36 passes for 217 yards, and two scores against the Eagles last week. Tannehill posted a 94.3 passer rating in the win last week.
WR Rishard Matthews (42 rec, 647 yards, 4 TDs) and Jarvis Landry (59 rec, 585 yards 3 TDs) are two great pass catchers for the Dolphins.
RB Lamar Miller (107 att, 521 yards, 5 TDs) ran for 43 yards in 16 carries without a touchdown. It was Miller’s first game without a touchdown in the last five outings. He ran for a season-high 175 yards in week 1 but has been limited to 2.8 yards per carry since.
Miami’s defense allows 25.0 points (21st), 255.0 passing yards (20th), 135.6 rushing yards (31st) per game. Reshad Jones has 83 tackles, Ndamukong Suh has four sacks and Brent Grimes has nine passes deflected.
Betting Trends Related To This Matchup:
- Dallas Cowboys 1-3 On Road this season
- Dallas Cowboys 2-4 As Underdog or PK this season
- Dallas Cowboys 0-3 When Line was 46 to 49 since last season
- Dallas Cowboys 1-2 As Road Underdog this season
- Miami Dolphins 1-0-1 As Home Underdog since last season
- Dallas Cowboys 4-5 O-U All Games this season
- Miami Dolphins 4-4-1 O-U All Games this season
- Dallas Cowboys 1-3 O-U On Road this season
- Miami Dolphins 7-3 O-U At Home since last season
- Miami Dolphins 5-3 O-U When Line is 45 to 48 since last season
- Dallas Cowboys 3-4 O-U When Line was 46 to 49 since last season
The Cowboys are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss, 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in November, 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
The Dolphins are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win, 13-37-1 ATS in their last 51 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall and 17-40 ATS in their last 57 games as a home favorite.
My NFL Week 11 Betting Pick: Cowboys.
PLAYERS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:
- Dallas: Lance Dunbar, Mark Nzeocha.
- Miami: Cameron Wake.