The Chris Christie powered Dallas Cowboys visit frigid Lambeau today to face the high-octane Green Bay Packers to decide which of the two will head the NFC divisional finals. The home town Packers are a one TD favorite of the Cowboys. Will Dallas be able to pull of an ATS betting upset of Green Bay? Let’s find out.
— PFTonNBCSN (@PFTonNBCSN) January 9, 2015
A Closer Look At Dallas Cowboys Vs Green Bay Packers NFC Divisional ATS Upset Pick & TV/Streaming Info
The Dallas Cowboys may have gotten a ‘fortunate’ 24-20 Wild Card win over Detroit last weekend, but they’re going to find beating Green Bay a lot tougher in their NFC divisional matchup on Sunday.
"You just have to stay in the moment and understand the game," Romo said. "It doesn’t end after the first quarter, second quarter. You just have to keep calm. I’ve played enough games to understand that. Maybe I didn’t do that as well when I was younger."
Matchup: Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers
Date: Jan. 11, 2015
Start Time: 1:05 p.m. ET
Location: Green Bay, Wisconsin
Stadium: Lambeau Field
TV Info: FOX
Stream: FOX Sports Go
Radio: Dallas Vs Green Bay
Point Spread: Packers -7
Game Total: 53
Veteran signal-caller Tony Romo is undoubtedly having one of his best seasons, but I still say that the bigger the game and more pressure there is, the more likely it is that Romo chokes. However, Romo now has a 2-3 playoff record and with hopes to push it to .500 and to avoid losing thier first road game fo the season.
However, the task is anything but easy for the Cowboys as they will face the MVP leading candidate Aaron Rodgers and a Green Bay Packers team that went 8-0 at home while averaging 39.7 points per game.
Aaron Rodgers has completed a blistering 66 percent of his passes with 19 touchdowns and just five interceptions in 10 career playoff games (6-4) while Romo has completed just 59.6 percent of his passes in five career playoff games while throwing six touchdown passes and two interceptions.
If Green Bay can keep Murray mostly in check (he was held to less than 80 rushing yards in two of the Cowboys’ four regular season losses) and stop Dez Bryant and Terrance Williams from burning them deep, then they’ll win with room to spare.
My money is on Aaron Rodgers and the Packers to win their fourth straight game against the Cowboys and narrowly cover the spread.
Dallas has posted a discouraging 1-5 ATS record in their last six road playoff games while Green Bay has gone 6-2 ATS in its last eight playoff games and a bankroll-boosting 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 home games overall.
The Cowboys defense allowed 307 passing yards from Matthew Stafford and the Lions on Sunday, but facing QB Aaron Rodgers, who finished the season with 4381 yards, 38 TDs & just 5 INTs on the season will be a far more complicated scenario.
Rodgers is battling a calf injury and has missed practices over the bye week the Packers earned to finish as the number 2 seed in the NFC. Head Coach Mike McCarthy already said he’s not concern about his star player.
"Aaron? Practice reps? No, I’m not concerned. He’s already started the preparation process. There’s some things we went through today, self-scout and correction that we want to go [with], so he’ll be prepared. I think the biggest thing is for him to rep the things that he feels that he may need another rep on. There won’t be a bunch of new ideas or things that he hasn’t seen or things he doesn’t have the reps with his teammates with. So I’m not really concerned," the coach said.
Tony Romo is 2-3 in his career against the Green Bay Packers while Aaron Rodgers is 2-2 the Dallas Cowboys. Head coach Mike McCarthy leads the series against Jason Garrett 1-0.
The Cowboys are:
- 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0
- 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games
- 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall
- 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog
- 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games in January.
The Packers are:
- 34-16-2 ATS in their last 52 home games
- 22-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record
- 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games in January
- 7-3 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC teams
- 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall.