Dallas vs. Green Bay starts off a great Sunday of NFL Playoff action on January 11. Dallas beat Detroit due to a questionable pass interference call that ended up not being a pass interference call while Green Bay got to take the week off due to securing the second seed in the NFC Playoff.
Green Bay is very difficult to beat at home, but most experts feel that if any team can do it, it’s Dallas who has the requisite experienced QB and excellent rushing attack to battle Green Bay in the scoring department. Will Dallas have enough to upset Green Bay at Lambeau?
Analyzing The Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers NFC Divisional Playoff Betting Odds, My Predictions & TV Schedule
Matchup: Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers
Date: Jan. 11, 2015
Start Time: 1:05 p.m. ET
Location: Green Bay, Wisconsin
Stadium: Lambeau Field
TV Info: FOX
Stream: FOX Sports Go
Radio: Dallas Vs Green Bay
Point Spread: Packers -6.5
Game Total: 53
Welcome to Tony Romo’s world. Romo has never been an expert on winning playoff games. But this is his year, and he joined the elite status in the NFL which he showcased in the Cowboys’ 24-20 victory over the Lions, which gave Romo his second career playoff victory and Dallas its first since the 2009 season. Romo had a horrendous start but still finished with 293 yards and two touchdowns.
Most game-winning drives in 4th quarter since 2006: (regular season and playoffs) pic.twitter.com/tbZVBYriy7
— NFL on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) January 6, 2015
The Cowboys now play Green Bay this Sunday for the right to move on to the NFC Championship against either Carolina or Seattle. Dallas has been on somewhat of a roll. Even though they lost against the spread to Detroit, the Cowboys have been hot when it comes to rewarding their backers. Before the Detroit loss ATS, the Cowboys had run off 4 straight against the spread victories including a 42 to 7 pasting of Indianapolis in Week 16.
The Cowboys are actually 7 and 1 against the spread on the road this season. They’re also undefeated straight up on the road, making them a tough out for Green Bay, right? Not so fast. Green Bay has been a different team defensively at home than on the road.
Sunday's Packers/Cowboys game will be the first time in playoff history that an 8-0 home team faces an 8-0 road team. pic.twitter.com/iwjQWSfJxc
— NFL on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) January 5, 2015
Since their bye week, Green Bay has held teams to an average of 22.4 points in each one of their home games. By contrast, the Packers have averaged 41.4 points in each one of those home contests. Not only have that, but QB Aaron Rodgers’ quarterback ratings in those 5 home games has been 145.8, 120.3, 112.6, 123.3 and 139.6. The 139.6 occurred against Detroit in Week 17. Rodgers threw for 226 yards and 2 touchdown passes. His yards per pass was an incredible 10.3.
Romo is undefeated on the road. Rodgers is undefeated at home. One of those won't be true after this weekend pic.twitter.com/vVsfnSBfnP
— PFTonNBCSN (@PFTonNBCSN) January 5, 2015
Nobody will ever confuse Dallas’ defense with Detroit’s. Dallas simply does not have the ability to rush the passer that Detroit has. If the Lions couldn’t get to Rodgers, what chance do the Cowboys have? They don’t have much of any shot at all.
The trends favor the Packers as well. Green Bay is 4 and 0 against the spread in their last 4 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The Packers are also 6 and 2 ATS in their last 8 playoff games while Dallas is 1 and 5 against the spread in their last 6 playoff road games.
On paper, these two teams appear evenly matched, but Aaron Rodgers is a super quarterback at Lambeau Field and Green Bay’s defense plays at a much higher level. The Packers should be able to get some separation from Dallas in this matchup. Green Bay could blow the Cowboys out on Sunday.