NFL Defensive POY Expert Picks

NFL Defensive POY Expert Picks

NFL Defensive POY Expert Picks

The NFL Defensive Player of the Year Award has been won by J.J. Watt the past 2 seasons. In fact, Watt has won the award in 3 out of the past 4 seasons. The only player to beat out Watt was Robert Quinn from the then St. Louis Rams in 2013. Watt is, once again, the favorite to take home the NFL Defensive Player of the Year Award. But is Watt a shoo-in for the award?  Who might stand in Watt’s way for the hardware? Keep reading for answers to those questions and more.

2016 NFL Defensive Player of the Year Picks

Last season, Texans defensive end J.J. Watt beat out Aaron Donald and Luke Kuechly to take home the 2015 Defensive Player of the Year. This was the second consecutive year that Watt was named DPOY; joining former Giants star Lawrence Taylor as the only three time winner. For what it’s worth, Watt was +150 to win the award in 2015 and +550 to win the award in 2014.

The Odds-On Favorite To Win The 2016 NFL Defensive POY:  J.J. Watt +200

Watt is not only the best defensive player in the NFL, but he’s become one of the most popular players in the league. Watt has the ability to change a game with his play. There’s a good chance that Watt gets close to his 57 total tackles and 17.5 sacks from 2015.  There’s no doubt that Watt might remain the best defensive player in the NFL. But, man, the odds are low. Also, taking 2 to 1 odds on a player to win the same award 3 years in a row is asking a lot. I’m looking elsewhere  

The Smart Bet To Win The 2016 NFL Defensive POY:  Kahlil Mack +650

Mack has everything required to be an incredible force for the Oakland Raiders this season. Last season, he had an awesome year where he had 57 solo tackles, 15 sacks and 2 forced fumbles. The Raiders’ defense should be much improved. Oakland used its first 3 picks on defenders. Not only that, but they signed cornerback Sean Smith away from Kansas City. Playing with better players could help Mack increase all of his totals from 2015. I think he gets at least 17 to 18 sacks this season while going for 60 solo tackles. The odds are over 4 times those on Mack from what bettors get on Watt.  

The Longshot Bet To Win The 2016 NFL Defensive POY:  Luke Kuechly +1000

Kuechly is a long shot at double-digit odds to win the NFL Defensive Player of the Year Award. From my perspective, he’s not too much of a long shot. I think that if Keuchly just gets 1 more interception last season, he may have taken it from Watt. Kuechly secured 4 picks in 2016. He also had 76 solo tackles. The single sack did him no good. I think that Kuechly is worth a long look at the odds. He’ll be super effective against the offenses in the NFC South this season.

2016 NFL Defensive Player Of The Year Odds

PLAYER Odds (4/28)
JJ Watt +225
Von Miller +550
Khalil Mack +600
Luke Kuechly +900
Richard Sherman +1200
Josh Norman +1600
Aaron Donald +1800
Clay Matthews +2000
Kawann Short +2000
Earl Thomas +2500