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Denver Broncos at Chicago Bears Spread, Predictions & ATS Pick

The Denver Broncos will have their first taste of life without Peyton Manning since 2012 when they visit the Windy City to face Da Bears. Kick-off is scheduled for this Sunday, November 22nd at 1:00 PM Eastern Time on CBS from Soldier Field. The NFL week 11 spread favors Chicago by 1.5-points to beat the Broncos.

A Closer Look At The Denver Broncos at Chicago Bears NFL Week 11 Spread & My Against The Spread Pick

What: Denver Broncos (7-2) at Chicago Bears (4-5)
When: Sunday, November 22, 2015
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET 
Where: Chicago, IL
Stadium: Soldier Field
Weather: 42° F | Cloudy
Spread: Chicago -1.5
Moneyline: Broncos +100 vs Bears -120
Game Total: 41
Watch: CBS
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Denver vs Chicago

Why Bet On The Denver Broncos Spread At +1.5

The Denver Broncos are 7-2 straight up and 5-3-1 against the spread this season. They average 22.8 points (17th), 245.7 passing yards (18th), 86.0 rushing yards (29th) per game. Last week, they lost their second game in a row as Peyton Manning threw 4 interceptions in the 29-13 home loss to the Chiefs. A day later the Broncos announced that Manning has a torn plantar fascia in his right foot and coach Gary Kubiak decided to hand the offense over to fourth-year QB Brock Osweiler.

“Guys want to play,” Kubiak said about Peyton. “That’s why he’s a great player. But as a football coach, sometimes you have to say, ‘No, I don’t think this is the right thing today.”

“This is on me. I probably shouldn’t have made a decision not to play him [Manning] in the game, and I needed to make that, tough decision there. He practiced Friday, you know, felt good. Came out of practice Friday and Saturday, as you all know his ribs were bothering him a little bit, and I probably should have right there said ‘no, he’s not going to go this week’” Kubiak continued.

WR Demaryius Thomas (68 rec, 816 yards, 1 TD) and Emmanuel Sanders (46 rec, 639 yards, 4 TDs) are two of the best deep ball threat combos in the league, but Peyton has been unable to get them the ball consistently. If Osweiler can’t succeed with these two catching the ball, he won’t succeed at all.

RB Ronnie Hillman (103 att, 426 yards, 5 TDs) has taken over as the top back in Denver. He is averaging 4.1 yards per carry and needs to the to be fed the ball more. Former starting rusher CJ Anderson (90 att, 324 yards, 1 TDs) has been a disappointment this season. Denver ranks 29th in rushing, averaging 86.0 yards and has gained 104 in the losses to Indianapolis and Kansas City.

Denver’s defense allows 18.7 points (3rd), 183.0 passing yards (1st) and 93.7 rushing yards (7th) per game. Brandon Marshall has 71 tackles, DeMarcus Ware has 6.5 sacks and Aqib Talib has three interceptions.

Why Bet On The Chicago Bears Spread At -1.5

The Chicago Bears are 4-5 straight up and 5-4 against the spread so fa this season. They average 22.1 points (20th), 238.0 passing yards (21st), 114.6 rushing yards (14th) per game. They are riding a two game win streak after beating the St. Louis Rams 37-13 last week. Guided by head-coach John Fox and offensive coordinator Adam Gase, who were together in Denver the last four seasons, the Bears are 3-0 against the AFC West.

Fox took over the Bears sideline four days after he and the Broncos mutually parted ways during this past off-season. He brought Gase with him. From 2011-14 with Denver, Fox went 46-18, won four division titles and reached the Super Bowl once.

“When you’ve been doing this for 26 years, you kind of run into a lot of people you know,” Fox said. “When you’re with your eighth team, you end up playing your ex-team a bunch.

QB Jay Cutler (2045 yards, 13 TDs & 5 INTs) has thrown for five touchdowns and just one interception in the last two games. His smart and turn-over free football is the top reason the Bears are competitve this season. In his most recent wins over San Diego and St. Louis, his passer rating was over 100.0.

WR Alshon Jeffery (36 rec, 515 yards, 2 TDs) had an off game last week, but he is a top tier pass catcher in the league. TE Martellus Bennett (48 rec, 399 yards, 3 TDs) is the team’s next target with WR Eddie Royal injured. Backup TE Zach Miller (10 rec, 165 yards, 3 TDs) has recorded three touchdowns over the last two weeks.

The Bears are uncertain if RB Matt Forte (136 att, 548 yards, 2 TDs) will be back this week with knee issues. Backup rusher, rookie Jeremy Langford (65 att, 225 yards, 4 TDs) has rushed for 145 yards, caught 10 passes for 179 and scored three TDs while replacing Forte. Langford is the Bears back of the future.

“In this league, it’s about the more the merrier,” Bears coach John Fox said in the press conference. “You try to build competition within your own team. I think it makes everybody on your squad better. We’ll welcome Matt back with open arms.

Chicago’s defense allows 26.0 points (24th), 217.0 passing yards (4th) and 118.6 rushing yards (26th) per game. Christian Jones has 52 tackles, Pernell McPhee has five sacks and Kyle Fuller has five passes deflected.

Betting Trends Related To This Matchup:

  • Denver Broncos 3-1-1 On Road this season
  • Denver Broncos 7-5-1 On Road since last season
  • Chicago Bears 1-3 At Home this season
  • Chicago Bears 4-8 At Home since last season
  • Denver Broncos 3-1 As Underdog or PK since last season
  • Denver Broncos 3-0 When Line was 39.5 to 42.5 since last season
  • Denver Broncos 3-2 O-U On Road this season
  • Denver Broncos 2-0-1 O-U When Line was 39.5 to 42.5 since last season
  • Chicago Bears 1-0 O-U When Line was 39.5 to 42.5 since last season
  • Denver Broncos 6-5-1 O-U vs Teams Averaging 21 to 25 PPG since last season

The Broncos are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU loss, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

The Bears are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 home games, 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0, 5-23-1 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

My NFL Week 11 ATS Pick: Bears -1.5.

  • Denver: Peyton Manning.
  • Chicago: Matt Forte, Jacquizz Rodgers, Ego Ferguson.
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