Denver Broncos at Cleveland Browns Odds, Pick & Betting Preview

Denver Broncos at Cleveland Browns Odds, Pick & Betting Preview

Denver Broncos at Cleveland Browns Odds, Pick & Betting Preview

The undefeated Denver Broncos head to FirstEnergy Stadium to face the 4-point underdog Cleveland Browns. The game kicks off on CBS this Sunday, October 18th at 1:00 PM ET. Cord-cutters can stream the game live via CBSsports.com.

Historically, no team has dominated the Browns more than Broncos. They are 22-5 all-time against Cleveland and have won 10 straight in the series. This year, things may be a bit different. The Broncos are 5-0 yet haven’t dominated a single opponent like years past and Browns are coming off an emotional win in Baltimore. Could this be the game that betting on the Browns to win may be profitable?

A Closer Look At Denver Broncos at Cleveland Browns NFL Week 6 Odds & My Betting Analysis

What: Denver Broncos (5-0) at Cleveland Browns (2-3)
When: Sunday, October 18, 2015
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET 
Where: Cleveland, OH
Stadium: FirstEnergy Stadium
Weather: 50° F | Scattered Clouds
Spread: Broncos -4
Moneyline: Denver -200 vs Cleveland +170
Game Total: 42
Watch: CBS
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Denver vs Cleveland

If You Are Betting On The Denver Broncos Odds At -4

The Denver Broncos are 5-0 straight up and 4-1 against the spread so far this season. They average 22.6 points (17th), 231.0 passing yards (23rd), 71.6 rushing yards (30th) per game. Last week the Broncos slipped past the young and hungry Raiders by a 16-10 score without scoring an offensive touchdown.

QB Peyton Manning, the face of Papa Johns and the team, is having his worst statistical season since his rookie year. He has thrown for 1234 yards, 6 TDs & 7 INTs, posting a 77.3 passer rating (his worst since his rookie season). Manning has thrown at least one interception in each of the first five games for the first time since 1999. It was his second season in the league when he went on to toss a pass to an opposing defender in six straight to open the year.  Questions about his arm strength come up every game day, but Manning continues to win games with his mental game rather than his laser-rocket right arm. 

Good news for Manning is that he is 6-0 versus the Browns and he throws to probably the best wide-receiving duo in the NFL with Emmanuel Sanders (34 rec, 418 yards, 2 TDs) and Demaryius Thomas (38 rec, 416 yards, 1 TDs). Surprisingly, both have struggled to find the end zone this season.

Why are the Broncos struggling? Most point to their run game. Which is surprising since head-coach Gary Kubiak’s offense is centered around the run. RBs Ronnie Hillman (46 att, 212 yards, 2 TDs) and CJ Anderson (54 att, 139 yards, 0 TD) have both been highly ineffective at running the football.

Denver’s defense allows 15.8 (2nd) points, 193.0 passing yards (5th), and 85.2 rushing yards (5th) per game. Brandon Marshall leads the Broncos with 41 tackles, DeMarcus Ware has 4.5 sacks and Chris Harris Jr. has two interceptions.

If You Are Betting On The Cleveland Browns Odds At +4

The Cleveland Browns are 2-3 straight and 3-2 against the spread so far this season. They are averaging 23.6 points (13th), 289.0 passing yards (6th), 88.4 rushing yards (28th) per game. Last week they won an emotional game against the Baltimore Ravens by a score of 33-30.

QB Josh McCown has thrown 1203 yards, 6 TDs & 1 INTs while completing 67.8% of his passes this season. Last week McCown threw for a Browns regular season-record 457 yards and two touchdowns. He ran for another TD while completing 36 of his career-high 51 attempts.

The top two pass-catchers for the Browns have been relative unknowns outside of Ohio. WR Travis Benjamin (22 rec, 411 yards, 4 TDs) caught six passes for 83 yards off 12 targets in OT alone last week. TE Gary Barnidge (24 rec, 374 yards, 3 TDs) is a former fifth-round Panthers’ pick and a rare eighth-year breakout.

The Browns’ achilles heel is their rushing attack with RBs Isaiah Crowell (62 att, 240 yards, 1 TD) and rookie touchdown vulture David Johnson (18 att, 91 yards, 3 TD).

Cleveland’s defense gives up 26.4 points (22nd), 251.0 passing yards (18th) and 149.4 rushing yards (31st) per game. Karlos Dansby leads the Browns with 40 tackles, Armonty Bryant has 3.5 sacks and Tramon Williams has three pass deflections. 

Betting Trends Related To This Matchup:

  • Denver Broncos 3-0 On Road this season
  • Denver Broncos 7-4 On Road since last season
  • Denver Broncos 3-1 As Favorite this season
  • Denver Broncos 3-0 When Line was 41 to 44 this season
  • Denver Broncos 4-2 When Line was 41 to 44 since last season
  • Denver Broncos 5-3 As Road Favorite since last season
  • Denver Broncos 1-2 O-U On Road this season
  • Denver Broncos 4-6-1 O-U On Road since last season
  • Cleveland Browns 4-6 O-U At Home since last season
  • Denver Broncos 1-3 O-U When Line is <45 this season
  • Denver Broncos 1-3 O-U When Line is <45 since last season
  • Denver Broncos 1-2 O-U When Line was 41 to 44 this season
  • Denver Broncos 1-2 O-U When Line was 41 to 44 since last season

The Broncos are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0, 21-8 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in October, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.

The Browns are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game, 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a home underdog, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win, 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following an ATS win, 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games in October, and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

My NFL Week 6 Betting Pick: Broncos -4.

PLAYERS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:
  • Denver: DeMarcus Ware, Marvin Austin.
  • Cleveland: Joe Haden, Ifo Ekpre-Olomu, Charles Gaines, Randall Telfer, Glenn Winston.

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