After beating the Patriots last week, the Denver Broncos are suddenly the other team to beat. And this week, AFC West rival San Diego Chargers have their opportunity to beat the Broncos.
The NFL week 13 betting odds favor the Broncos by 3.5-points to beat the Super Chargers. While on paper this is a game that Denver should win easily after an adrenaline pumping OT win last week, can San Diego shock the Broncos and win? Or will the victory go to the Broncos who are back on track with unproven QB Brock Osweiler at the helm?
A Closer Look At The Denver Broncos at San Diego Chargers NFL Week 13 Betting Odds, My Predictions & Free Picks
What: Denver Broncos (9-2) at San Diego Chargers (3-8)
When: Sunday, December 6, 2015
Kickoff: 4:05 PM ET
Where: San Diego, CA
Stadium: Qualcomm Stadium
Weather: 74° F | More Sun Than Clouds
Spread: Broncos -3.5
Moneyline: Broncos -225 vs Chargers +185
Game Total: 43
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Denver vs San Diego
Why Bet On The Denver Broncos Odds At -3.5
The Denver Broncos are 9-2 straight up and 6-4-1 against the spread this season. They average 22.9 points (16th), 244.0 passing yards (18th), and 102.1 rushing yards (17th) per game. Last week, they handed the Pats their first loss of the season by beating them by a score of 30-24 in overtime last week.
QB Brock Osweiler (666 yards, 4 TDs & 2 INTs) is looking for his third straight win in as many games. The fourth-year quarterback has been more efficient than future hall-of-famer Peyton Manning (2180 yards, 9 TDs & 17 INTs) since taking over for the injured incumbent, posting an 88.4 passer rating compared to Manning’s NFL-worst 67.6. Osweiler has lead the Broncos to wins in each of his first two career starts on the heels of back-to-back losses with Manning at the helm.
“Peyton just had some great ideas about what he saw watching what was going on,” coach Gary Kubiak said Monday. “He had our game plan with him. He started pointing out some things to me about some of the things that he felt good about, and he was echoing that to Brock.”
The Broncos have the most envious pass-catching duo in Demaryius Thomas (72 rec, 911 yards, 2 TDs) and Emmanuel Sanders (52 rec, 752 yards, 4 TDs) and there are hopes of the two putting up numbers similar to previous years now that the Kubiak offense is taking shape in Mile High.
Rusher Ronnie Hillman (138 att, 587 yards, 6 TDs) is currently the starter but RB C.J. Anderson (117 att, 496 yards, 3 TDs) had his best game of the season last week that was capped by his OT walk-off TD. He totaled 113 yards and two touchdowns on 15 carries.
Denver’s defense is tops in the league. They allow 18.8 points (4th), 197.0 passing yards (1st) and 88.7 rushing yards (1st) per game. Brandon Marshall has 81 tackles, Von Miller has 7.0 sacks and Aqib Talib has 11 deflected passes.
Why Bet On The San Diego Chargers Odds At +3.5
The San Diego Chargers are 3-8 straight up and 4-7 against the spread this season. They average 22.2 points (19th), 308.7 passing yards (2nd) and 81.7 rushing yards (30th) per game. Last week they snapped a gut-wrenching six-game losing streak thanks to the Jags, at least temporarily quieting the noise that suggested coach Mike McCoy’s job may be in jeopardy.
“We finally got a victory. We just want to build on it,” said Antonio Gates, who caught two TDs against the Jaguars and had three in last year’s series with the Broncos. “What better team to come in to get our second win in a row, a Denver Broncos team that’s playing at a high level. If they’re not playing the best football in the league, they’re one of the top three teams in my opinion right now. We definitely have to be efficient offensively because that defense is flying around and making a lot of plays.”
QB Philip Rivers (3511 yards, 23 TDs & 8 INTs) completed 29 of 43 passes for 300 yards, and four touchdowns against the Jags. He became the fourth-fastest player to reach 40,000 passing yards for his career. He’s one TD toss away from passing Vinny Testaverde’s 275 for No. 11 all-time.
RB Danny Woodhead (52 rec, 569 yards, 3 TDs) leads the team in passing yards and receptions. With a banged up offense, WR Stevie Johnson (45 rec, 497 yards, 3 TDs) is Rivers’ top option in the passing game. TE Antonio Gates (33 rec, 371 yards, 4 TDs) is slowly returning to form after a season opening 4-game PED suspension.
Without a blocking tight end or big full back to follow, rookie rusher Melvin Gordon (143 att, 510 yards, 0 TDs) has largely disappointed this season. The Bolts have just two rushing TDs, both Woodhead.
San Diego’s defense allows 27.9 points (30th), 254.0 passing yards (22th), and 123.7 rushing yards (26th) per game. Eric Weddle has 64 tackles, Jeremiah Attaochu has 4.5 sacks, and Jason Verrett has deflected eight passes.
Betting Trends Related To This Matchup:
- Denver Broncos 3-4-1 As Favorite this season
- Denver Broncos 4-5-1 When Line was 41.5 to 44.5 since last season
- Denver Broncos 0-3 When Line was 41.5 to 44.5 past month
- San Diego Chargers 5-4 O-U When Line is <45 since last season
- San Diego Chargers 4-3 O-U When Line was 41.5 to 44.5 since last season
- San Diego Chargers 3-2 O-U vs Teams Averaging 21 to 25 PPG this season
The Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 13, 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win, 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games in December, 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 vs. AFC West and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
The Chargers are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog, 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 13, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win, 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, and 3-13 ATS in their last 16 vs. AFC.
My NFL Week 13 Betting Pick: Broncos -3.5
PLAYERS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:
- Denver: Peyton Manning.
- San Diego: Branden Oliver, Keenan Allen, Darius Philon.