Both teams have separate goals in this Thursday Night Football tilt. The 3-point underdog Denver Broncos need to right the ship and assure fans and backers that it’s business as usual after last week’s disappointing performance. While the Kansas City Chiefs need to prove that they are a top tier talent and have the chops to get to the Super Bowl.
“I don’t think they necessarily get in our head,” Chiefs quarterback Alex Smith said about the Broncos. “Certainly these guys are the division champs since we’ve all been here together. … We’ve gone in (and) two times having fourth-and-goal and the chance to win the game and didn’t get it done. We talk about what we want to do in winning the division and going to the playoffs. And it starts with your division.”
Betting Trends That Influenced My Opinion:
- Kansas City Chiefs 6-2 At Home since last season
- Kansas City Chiefs 6-3 As Favorite since last season
- Denver Broncos 0-1 When Line was 40.5 to 43.5 since last season
- Kansas City Chiefs 5-1 As Home Favorite since last season
- Denver Broncos 8-8-2 O-U All Games since last season
- Kansas City Chiefs 6-11 O-U All Games since last season
- Denver Broncos 3-4-1 O-U On Road since last season
- Kansas City Chiefs 3-5 O-U At Home since last season
- Denver Broncos 0-0 O-U When Line is <45 since last season
- Kansas City Chiefs 4-7 O-U When Line is <45 since last season
- Denver Broncos 0-0 O-U When Line was 40.5 to 43.5 since last season
- Kansas City Chiefs 4-4 O-U When Line was 40.5 to 43.5 since last season
An In-Depth Look At The Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs NFL Week 2 Line, My Pick & How To Watch
What: Denver Broncos (1-0) at Kansas City Chiefs (1-0)
When: Thursday, Sept. 17th, 2015
Kickoff: 8:30 p.m. ET
Where: Kansas City, MO
Stadium: Arrowhead Stadium
Weather: 85° F/ Scattered Clouds
Wind: South 14mph
Spread: Chiefs -3
Game Total: 42
Watch: CBS/NFL Network
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Denver vs Kansas City
The high-flying, quick scoring Denver Broncos are winners of four straight AFC West championships. But, in their season opener they looked out of their league for the first time since Manning’s arrival. Peyton is throwing from behind a a rebuilt offensive line while implementing new head-coach Gary Kubiak’s new run-heavy offense. He can’t feel his fingers and still wards off questions about deteriorating arm strength. What would of happened if the Broncos had lost last week?
Manning was 24 of 40 for 175 yards and was sacked four times. The rushing duo of CJ Anderson and Ronnie Hillman combined for a paltry 69 yards. So much for Gary Kubiak’s run-heavy scheme.
"We better figure out something, and fast," star receiver Demaryius Thomas was quoted by Mike Silver. "We can’t really rely on the defense scoring more points than the offense every week. We haven’t scored a touchdown, [shoot], in this new offense, even in the preseason. We’ve gotta figure it out very soon."
— Sports Illustrated (@SInow) September 17, 2015
In six games vs. Kansas City since 2012, Manning has averaged 289 passing yards per contest while throwing 16 touchdown passes against just three interceptions. The Chiefs have sacked him a total of three times in those bouts.
It’s a good thing defense win’s championships.
Last week, the Denver D sacked former Super Bowl MVP QB Joe Flacco twice while holding him to 117 yards passing, 33 of those coming in the Ravens’ last possession of the game.
“If you’re playing a lot of man coverage and those guys get out, it’s obviously a factor,” Broncos coach Gary Kubiak said. “We were worried about it last week too with Joe [Flacco] and his ability to run. He doesn’t run as much as Alex does, but he has the ability to do that … There are a lot of challenges.”
The prognosis for the Broncos doesn’t get better with a short week and a competitive division rival that has improved since their last meeting. They will face the Kansas City Chiefs who won all four preseason games and their season opener. Last week they stole a game on the road by beating the Texans 27-20.
If the Chiefs are ever going to beat Manning, this is the week to do it. Home field advantage, a suspect offensive line, and a new run-heavy offense bode well for KC.
All eyes will be on star running back Jamaal Charles, who wasn’t a huge factor last week with 103 yard from scrimmage and zero scores. But, it will be former No. 1 overall pick (same draft class as Aaron Rodgers) Alex Smith has to find his shiny new WR Jeremy Maclin. Last week Smith had an impressive game, completing 22 of 33 passes for 243 yards & 3 TDs.
TE Travis Kelce had two touchdown catches and amassed 106 yards on six catches, while Maclin added five receptions for 52 yards.
“We’re more balanced,” said Smith, who was 22 for 33 for 243 yards. “I think we have a lot of weapons, a lot of guys who can do multiple things, so I think that presents a lot of different problems for defenses.”
— NFL Total Access (@NFLTotalAccess) September 16, 2015
Since Peyton Manning joined the Broncos, he’s 6-0 against the Kansas City Chiefs while the Broncos are 4-2 against the spread in those games. The Chiefs haven’t beat the Broncos at home since the 2010 season. This game is only the second in that span where the Chiefs open as favorites; the first was their last meeting in 2014 where Denver won 29-16 and covered as 1 point underdog.
I am picking the Denver Broncos plus the points and the Over-41 as the smart bet. My final score prediction is Denver 25, Kansas City 27.
Players Out or Doubtful:
- Denver: Derek Wolfe, Marvin Austin.
- Kansas City: Sean Smith