Super Bowl 52 Odds & Picks

Detroit Vs Minnesota Spread & My ATS Pick

Neither team can afford to lose two games in a row to start the season. Historically, 0-2 don’t make the post-season. The 3-point underdog Detroit Lions will storm into Minneapolis to face the Minnesota Vikings. 

An In-depth Analysis Of The Detroit Lions Vs Minnesota Vikings Spread & My ATS Pick

What: Detroit Lions (0-1) at Minnesota Vikings (0-1)
When: Sunday, Sept. 20th, 2015 
Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET 
Where: Minneapolis, MN
Stadium: TCF Bank Stadium
Weather: 72°F/ Scattered Clouds
Wind: South 9mph
Spread: Vikings -3
Moneyline: Lions +120 Vs Vikings -140
Game Total: 44
Watch: FOX
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: Detroit vs Minnesota

Minnesota (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS), disappointed me on Monday night as they clearly weren’t prepared for a San Francisco 49ers team that jumped all over them in Week 1. Teddy Bridgewater and the Vikings went down hard in their season-opening 20-3 loss to the Niners and now they’ll look to bounce back and to avoid the dreaded 0-2 start.

Bridgewater completed 22 of 32 passes for 231 yards with one interception, but simply didn’t make the impact that many are expecting from him this season. Future Hall of Fame running back Adrian Peterson was held to 31 rushing yards on 10 attempts in his first regular season game in almost a year and the Vikings defense got shredded for 168 rushing yards by Niners’ running back Carlos Hyde.

"Maybe we’re just not ready for prime time yet," Vikings coach Mike Zimmer said. "This performance leads me to believe in that. Everybody’s been talking about us for 11 months, and maybe we thought we were a little bit better than what we were."

Detroit (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS), dominated the first half in their Week 1 matchup against San Diego, but fell to the Chargers 33-28 and failed to cover the NFL betting line as a 3.5-point underdog.

Matthew Stafford completed 19 of 30 passes for 246 yards with two touchdowns but tossed two costly interceptions in the loss after the Lions had a 21-10 first half lead. Rookie running back Ahmad Abdullah rushed seven times for 50 yards and one touchdown. 

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How To Bet The Spread:

68 percent of the betting public likes Detroit to cover the spread despite being on the road in this contest, but I’m going to disagree simply because I expect to see a much better effort from the Vikings in this huge Week 2 NFC North divisional showdown.

NFL pundits everywhere, myself included, expected Minnesota to be a lot better this season and I believe they will be in spite of their opening night failures. If the Vikings can limit Matthew Stafford and the explosive Lions from topping the 30-point plateau, while scoring somewhere in the neighborhood of 28 points themselves, I believe they’ll win this huge Week 2 matchup.

Both of these teams are looking to avoid going 0-2, but Minnesota is paying at home where they’ve gone 4-1 ATS in their last five home games.

Detroit is 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 Week 2 games while the Vikings have compiled a consistent 11-4 ATS mark in their last 15 games following an SU loss and encouraging 8-3 ATS mark in their last 11 games overall.

63 percent of the betting public likes the Over and so do I.

The Over is 7-2 in Detroit’s last nine road games against a team with a losing home record and a perfect 5-0 in Minnesota’s last five games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night game.

To summarize, I am picking the Vikings at -3 to cover the spread and the Over 44 as the smart bet. My final score prediction is Detroit 22, Minnesota 27.

Posted in NFL