Detroit Vs New England Week 12 Expert Pick

Detroit Vs New England Week 12 Expert Pick

After a disappointing loss last week to the league leading Arizona Cardinals, who won with QB Drew Stanton at the reins, Matthew Stafford, Megatron and the Detroit Lions will take on arguably the hottest team in league this Sunday, when they visit Gillette Stadium to take on Tom Brady, Gronk and the New England Patriots at 1 PM ET.

The week 12 NFL betting lines have the Patriots as seven-point favorites, and the game total is at 48 points.

Matchup: Detroit Lions vs New England Patriots
Date: Sunday, Nov. 23
Start Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
Location: Foxboro, MA 
Stadium: Gillette Stadium
TV Info: FOX
Live Stream:
Radio: Detroit Vs New England
Point Spread: Patriots -7
Game Total: 48

Analyzing My Detroit Lions at New England Patriots Week 12 Expert Pick

The Lions lost to the Cardinals 14-6 last week dropping to 7-3 in the season and 3-2 away from home. Detroit’s offense ranks 22nd in the NFL averaging 332.3 yards per game, scoring 18.8 points every Sunday. QB Matthew Stafford has completed 226 passes of his 369 attempts this season for 2679 yards with 13 TDs & 9 INTs. WR Golden Tate leads the team with 68 catches, 950 yards and 3 TDs while WR Calvin Johnson has 34 receptions, 520 yards and 3 TD. The Lions are the second worst offense running the ball, averaging 79.8 yards per Game and RB Joique Bell has 442 yards & 3 TDs while RB Reggie Bush has 191 yards & 1 TD.

Detroit’s defense is tops in the league for total defense in the NFL allowing 290.3 yards per game and 15.6 points per game. The Lions are 5th defending the pass (221.5 YPG) and first stopping the run (68.8 YPG). Their defensive unit has forced 16 takeaways this season (12 INTs & 4 fumbles), 14th best in the league.

The New England Patriots beat the Indianapolis Colts 42-21 last week on Sunday Night Football. They have 7th total offense in the NFL averaging 380.6 yards per game and the second best scoring unit with 32.3 points every week. QB Tom Brady has thrown 2649 yards, 24 TDs and 5 INTs. TE Rob Gronkowski leads all team’s receivers with 53 receptions 734 yards and 9 TDs and now RB Jonas Gay is the go to guy running the football, averaging 4.8 yards per carry with 332 yards in 69 rushing attempts and 4 TDs.

The Lions are 5-5 against the spread this season, and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 10-23-1 ATS in their last 34 games in November, but 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

The Patriots are 6-4 ATS in 2014 and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game, 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games, 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in November, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall, and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Detroit is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games when playing New England. The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit’s last five games on the road, but it has gone OVER in 5 of New England’s last 5 games.

My NFL Week 12 Expert Pick: Patriots -7.

Posted in NFL