The NFL week 1 betting odds list the San Diego Chargers as 3-point favorites over the Detroit Lions. The season opener for both squads kicks off FOX this Sunday, Sept 13th, 2015 at 4:05 PM ET at Qualcomm Stadium. Cord-cutters can stream the game live via Fox Sports Go.
Weather should not be a factor, with a forecast of sunny and around 80 degrees expected for game day.
Betting Trends Regarding This Matchup:
- Detroit Lions 3-6 On Road since last season
- Detroit Lions 2-4 As Underdog or PK since last season
- Detroit Lions 1-2 When Line was 44 to 47 since last season
- Detroit Lions 2-4 As Road Underdog since last season
- Detroit Lions 1-8 O-U On Road since last season
- San Diego Chargers 3-5 O-U At Home since last season
- San Diego Chargers 2-3 O-U When Line is 45 to 48 since last season
- Detroit Lions 3-5-1 O-U When Line was 44 to 47 since last season
- San Diego Chargers 3-5 O-U When Line was 44 to 47 since last season
- Detroit Lions 0-7 O-U vs Teams Averaging 21 to 25 PPG since last season
Analyzing The Detroit Lions at San Diego Chargers NFL Week 1 Spread, My ATS Pick & How To Watch
Matchup: Detroit Lions at San Diego Chargers
Date: Sunday, Sept 13th, 2015
Start Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
Location: San Diego, California
Stadium: Qualcomm Stadium
Spread: Chargers -3
Game Total: 45.5
TV Info: FOX
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Radio: Detroit Vs San Diego
These two franchises have faced off 10 times with the Super Chargers leading the head-to-head series by a 6 to 4 mark. Their last meeting was in 2011 at Ford Field in Detroit where the Lions demolished the Bolts by a 38-10 score, covering the 1-point spread as underdogs. Before that, the Chargers had won six straight during a stretch that spanned the 1981-2007 seasons. The Chargers are 4-0 against the Lions in games played in San Diego.
— NFL (@NFL) September 8, 2015
Last season the Lions offense finished the season ranked 19th overall, 12th through the air and 28th rushing. This year the Detroit brain-trust hopes to of solved both issues. Calvin Megatron Johnson (71 rec, 1077 yards, & 8 TDs) is back and healthy. The coaching staff has pushed Matthew Stafford (4257 yards, 22 TDs & 12 INTs) can rebound from a below par season by focusing on receivers other than Megatron. Golden Tate (99 rec, 1331 yards & 4 TDs) is on top of that list.
The backfield is now manned by Joique Bell (223 att, 860 yards, 7 TDs) and rookie rusher Ameer Abdullah (2nd round pick out of Nebraska) after they let Reggie Bush walk to the Bay.
|2014 Offensive Leaders||2014 Defensive Leaders|
|QB Matthew Stafford (4257 yds, 22 TDs, 12 INTs)||S DeAndre Levy (151 tackles)|
|RB Joique Bell (860 yds, 7 TDs)||LB Glover Quin (7 INTs)|
|WR Golden Tate (1331 yds, 4 TDs)||DT Ndamukong Suh (8.5 sacks)|
This may be the last home opener for the Bolts at Qualcomm Stadium. It may not matter since home field advantage has meant little to this team recently. San Diego failed to cover the NFL betting spread its last five home games last year. Then losing their the final two home games against the New England Patriots and Denver Broncos that left them out of the post season.
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) September 4, 2015
QB Phillip Rivers (4286 yards, 31 TDs & 18 INTs) had been one of the steadiest players at his position ever since he joined the league. But a lack of late/post season success has dogged him his whole career. The Chargers recent woes have had more to do with personnel and injury issues.
WR Malcom Floyd (52 rec, 856 yards & 6 TDs) and TE Antonio Gates (69 rec, 821 yards, 12 TDs) were his top two targets last season. Gates will miss four games for violating the NFL’s policy on performance enhancing substances. Speedy receiver Stevie Johnson should help this offense.
The run game was the biggest liability for San Diego last year. Diminutive rusher Branden Oliver (160 att, 582 yards, 3 TDs) took over for injured starter Ryan Mathews (74 att, 330 yards, 3 TDs) only to fight the injury bug all season himself. Spark plug Danny Woodhead also had his season cut short after breaking his leg in week 3 last season. The Bolts brain-trust spent an early round pick to draft rusher Melvin Gordon. While Gordon has been less than revolutionary in the preseason, he has the skills to be the back of the future for the Chargers.
|San Diego Chargers|
|2014 Offensive Leaders||2014 Defensive Leaders|
|QB Philip Rivers (4286 yds, 31 TDs, 18 INTs)||S Eric Weddle (114 tackles)|
|RB Branden Oliver (582 yds, 3 TDs)||CB Brandon Flowers (3 INTs)|
|WE Malcom Floyd (856 yds, 6 TDs)||DE Corey Liuget (4.5 sacks)|
The Lions defense was one of the best in 2014, ranking 2nd. They were ranked 13th against the pass and 1st at stopping the run. Both should drop this year after they lost defensive tackles Ndamukong Suh and under-performing DT Nick Fairley. Can their rush defense recover?
The Chargers’ D was ranked 9th last season, 4th against the pass and 26th at stopping the run.
Detroit is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games on grass, but 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 1, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
San Diego is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games, 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall, 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games on grass, but 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 games in September.
I am picking the Chargers as a smart ATS bet at -3 in NFL week 1 action. My final score prediction is Detroit 20, San Diego 27.
Players Out or Doubtful:
- Detroit: Haloti Ngata, Jason Jones, Kyle Van Noy.
- San Diego: Antonio Gates, Tourek Williams.