Historical betting trends never lie, here’s why Green Bay will win Super Bowl 51!
The New England Patriots will kick off the 2016 NFL season as consensus Super Bowl favorites at every major sportsbook in the world. Strangely enough, the NFL betting public is backing another team, the Green Bay Packers.
Here is a complete list of Super Bowl odds.
The Patriots are listed at 6-1 odds to win Super Bowl 51. Deflategate scape goat Tom Brady will miss the first four games and backup Jimmy Garoppolo will start in his stead. Even with a backup starting the season, more money has been bet on New England to win the Super Bowl than any other team at multiple sportsbooks.
However, significantly more bets have been placed on the Packers, who are among the second tier of Super Bowl favorites at 8-1. Some sportsbooks have taken up to twice as many tickets on Green Bay winning Super Bowl 51.
The Seattle Seahawks (8-1) and Arizona Cardinals (8-1) also are in the second tier of Super Bowl favorites, followed by the Pittsburgh Steelers (10-1) and Carolina Panthers (12-1). The defending Super Bowl champion Denver Broncos are 25-1.
With that said, you’re going to find out exactly why the Green Bay Packers are the pick to win Super Bowl 51.
Let’s get started.
Why Is Everyone Betting On Green Bay To Win Super Bowl 51?
Super Bowl Debuts!
Since 2010, no team has made its inaugural Super Bowl appearance. That means bye-bye Cleveland, Detroit, Jacksonville and Houston.
A .500 Finish!
Just three teams (six percent) have ever won the Super Bowl a year after finishing below .500 the previous season. The 1981 San Francisco 49ers, 1999 St. Louis Rams and 2001 New England Patriots all accomplished the feat, but all three had Hall of Fame caliber quarterbacks in Joe Montana, Kurt Warner and Tom Brady.
This means, good-bye to Baltimore, Chicago, Dallas, New Orleans, the New York Giants, Oakland, Los Angeles, San Diego, Tampa Bay and Tennessee.
Returning Starting Quarterback
No team has ever won consecutive Super Bowl titles with a different starting quarterback the year after winning it all, meaning, no matter how much you like Trevor Siemian, the Broncos are not winning Super Bowl 51.
Playoff Appearance or Bust!
Since the Patriots won their first title in 2001, no team that wasn’t coming off a playoff appearance the previous season or a Super Bowl title inside the last five years has ever won a Super Bowl title. Sorry, but goodbye Philly and Buffalo.
Super Bowl Losers Beware!
No team, since the 1972 Miami Dolphins has ever won a Super Bowl title after losing in the big game the previous season. Sorry cam Newton lovers, but this rules out the Carolina Panthers.
No team has ever won a Super Bowl on its home field and no team has ever won the NFL championship after hosting the game the previous season, meaning buh-bye San Francisco.
No Lyin’ Ryan!
While disgraced American swimmer Ryan Lochte’s name is now synonymous with lying, it’s the truth, the whole truth and nothing but the truth when I say that no player with the name Ryan has even won a Super Bowl title. I’m sorry Matt Ryan, Ryan Fitzpatrick and Ryan Tannehill, but apparently, it’s not going to happen.
No Thanksgiving Turkey, Thank You!
Did you know that no Thanksgiving Day road team has won a Super Bowl in four decades? This age-old fact rules out Minnesota,, Pittsburgh and Washington.
Championship Blowout Losers
I’m sorry to tell Arizona Cardinals fans and betting backers, but no team that has ever lost a conference championship game by at least four touchdowns has ever reached the Super Bowl the following season.
Everything’s Fine Than A 39er!
No quarterback age 39 or older has ever led a team to a Super Bowl win. While Peyton Manning did accomplish the feat just last season, Manning also shared time with former backup Brock Osweiler and wasn’t named the postseason starter until just before the start of the playoffs. This rules out New England and 39-year-old Tom Brady.
The last seven seasons have produced seven winning teams from seven different divisions, with only the AFC South failing to field a team that won it all. While it’s possible the Indianapolis Colts could win it all in 2016, but I say, not likely by any stretch of the imagination.
No Division Dominance
No teams from the same division have managed to win consecutive Super Bowl titles, so this rules out one of my favorite 2016 contenders, the Kansas City Chiefs.
No team has split outcomes in consecutive Super Bowl appearances and then won it all two years later. This rules out Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks, leaving the Green Bay Packers as the undisputed winner of Super Bowl 51!