Expert Picks NFL Week 1

Dolphins Vs Chargers Odds & Analysis

Expert Picks NFL Week 1

NFL Week 1 betting odds have been out since the schedule was released. Now with the first game kicking off in a handful of days, it is time to start making your picks.

Can the Atlanta Falcons pick themselves up off the mat after their embarrassing Super Bowl 51 collapse?

Will the Miami Dolphins rue signing cry-baby quitter Jay Cutler before midseason and last but not least, how will the Dallas Cowboys adjust to life without Ezekiel Elliott?

As usual, if you’ve got questions, I’ve got answers.

2017 NFL Week 1 Expert Picks

Atlanta Falcons at Chicago Bears
When: Sunday, September 10, 2017 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Soldier Field, Chicago, Illinois
NFL Odds: Atlanta -7
Total: 51

Analysis: The Chicago Bears have looked pretty good in going 2-1 through three preseason games. Matt Ryan and the Atlanta Falcons are 0-3 this scrimmage season. Still, I’m going to advise you to back the reigning NFC champion Falcons to win and cover the spread in their 2017 regular season opener, likely by simply outscoring their NFC conference rivals.

The Bears have an abundance of question marks they need to answer, starting at quarterback, where rookie No. 2 overall pick has looked much sharper than veteran Mike Glennon who they brought in to be their starter this season. While they’ve gone-half speed all preseason, you can expect to see Julio Jones and the rest of Atlanta’s explosive offensive stars going all out in Week 1 to beat an inferior Bears team that looks like they may have trouble scoring this coming season.

The Falcons are 8-1 ATS in their last nine road games while Chicago has gone 0-7 ATS in their last seven games in the month of September.

2017 NFL Week 1 Expert Pick: Atlanta Falcons -7 Points

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Miami Dolphins
When: Sunday, September 10, 2017 at 1:00 PM ET
Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, Florida
NFL Odds: Tampa Bay -2.5
Total: 45.5

Analysis: Tampa Bay won nine games in 2016 to nearly reach the playoffs while the Miami Dolphins won 10 to make the postseason party for the first time in a decade. Unfortunately, a lot has changed since last season ended. The Bucs made a series of smart offseason decisions that brought them speedy veteran wide receiver DeSean Jackson and rookie tight end O.J. Howard while Miami was busy signing washed-up former Bears starter Jay Cutler after losing Ryan Tannehill, like for the season, in training camp.

Now, my mindset is…anytime you’re forced to go out and sign Jay Cutler, you’re pretty much screwed. Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in their last six road games while Miami has gone 1-5 ATS in their last six games in the month of September.

2017 NFL Week 1 Expert Pick: Bucs

Giants at Cowboys
When: Sunday, September 10, 2017 at 8:30 PM ET
Where: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas
NFL Odds: Dallas -3.5
Total: 47.5

Analysis: The Dallas Cowboys had a terrific 2016 as rookies Ezekiel Elliott and Dak Prescott both took the league by storm. Still, despite winning 13 games a year ago, the Cowboys have some issues heading into their 2017 regular season opener – particularly against a New York Giants team that beat them twice last season.

Dallas is 3-1 this preseason, but they still have shown themselves to be vulnerable against the pass so far this preseason and I believe Eli Manning and the pass-happy Giants are going to exploit Dallas’ weakness of not being able to stop the pass. New York added veteran wide receiver Brandon Marshall to go along with Odell Beckham Jr. and New York drafted a sure-handed tight end in Evan Engram.

With Ezekiel Elliott out of the lineup, I’m expecting the Cowboys to really struggle to find the balance they’ll need in order to deal with a New York defense that was really good last season. Dallas is a discouraging 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against their NFC East division rivals and 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall. Conversely, the Giants are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games on FieldTurf.

Simply put, I like New York to make it three straight over the Cowboys!

2017 NFL Week 1 Expert Pick: New York 28 Dallas 24