Expert NFL Picks Week 4 – Up-Temp Eagles Visits Desperate 49ersNoah Williams
The high-scoring Philadelphia Eagles will look to remain unbeaten when they visit the desperate San Francisco 49ers in a Week 4 matchup that looks as intriguing as any contest on the Week 4 schedule.
Now, let’s take a look at which team is going to come out on top in this matchup.
Philadelphia at San Francisco
Date: Sept. 28
Start Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
Location: Santa Clara, California
Stadium: Levi’s Stadium
TV Info: Fox
Live Stream: DirecTV NFL Sunday Ticket or NFL Game Rewind immediately following the game.
Radio: Click here for 49ers radio affiliates here for Eagles radio affiliates
Spread: San Francisco -4
Expert NFL Picks Week 4 Preview – Eagles vs 49ers
Philadelphia has reached the 30-point in winning all three of their games this season, including their thrilling 37-34 win over Washington in Week 3. The Birds failed to cover the spread as a 4-point home favorite to snap their two-game ATS winning streak, but enter this matchup as one of just three remaining undefeated teams.
Not only that, but Philly became the first team in league history to win its first three games after trailing by at least 10 points in each.
"We stick together and there’s a great camaraderie," said Eagles quarterback Nick Foles. "In the locker room during games like that, we lean on each other instead of blaming each other."
Philadelphia is ranked sixth in total offense (419.0 ypg), second in passing (310.3 ypg) and second in scoring (33.7 ppg).
Foles completed 28 of 42 passes for 325 yards and three touchdowns against Washington while hooking up with wide receiver Jeremy Maclin eight times for 154 yards and a touchdown and rookie Jordan Matthews another eight times for 59 yards and two more scores.
"We can score quick and we can score in bunches," said Maclin.
— Philadelphia Eagles (@Eagles) September 25, 2014
San Francisco is 1-2 for the second consecutive year, but it’s how, they’ve gotten to this point that is upsetting to the Niners players and their faithful fan base.
The 49ers have been absolutely man-handled in their last two games in losing to Chicago 28-20 in week 2 and 23-14 to Arizona last weekend.
Quarterback Colin Kaepernick completed 29 of 37 passes for 245 yards with one touchdown but the Niners failed to cover the NFL betting line as a 3-point road favorite against the Cardinals as they struggled to run the ball by gaining just 82 yards on 24 carries.
The 49ers led 14-6 at halftime against Arizona and 20-7 after three quarters one week earlier against Chicago. Frisco is the only team in the league to fail to score a single point in the fourth quarter.
"We’ve been in this position before where there is an ebb and a flow to the season. We’re in it now," coach Jim Harbaugh said. "That’s the great challenge for our football team and I have great confidence that we’ll attack it."
— San Francisco 49ers (@49ers) September 25, 2014
Analysis: The Philadelphia Eagles might be a perfect 3-0 right now, but they’ve also been living on the edge all season long which leads me to believe that the Birds are about due for a loss in this Week 4 matchup, particularly against a desperate 49ers teams that is riding a two-game losing streak coming into this meaningful contest.
While the majority of head-to-head trends almost emphatically point to a Philly ATS cover at the very least, the Eagles are just 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games in September and 1-4 ATS in their last five games against their NFC counterparts.
The San Francisco 49ers are 24-8-3 ATS in their last 35 games following an ATS loss and 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following an SU loss.
I know the Eagles look like the clearly better team after three games, but I think Frisco’s sheer desperation will give them the impetus to get the SU home win and narrow ATS cover.