NFL Game Picks – Oakland Raiders vs New England PatriotsNoah Williams
Rookie quarterback Derek Carr and the rebuilding Oakland Raiders will look to get their first win of the season when they visit Tom Brady, Bill Belichick and the New England Patriots in a Week 3 NFL matchup that is offering far more value than fun-filled glamour.
— New England Patriots (@Patriots) September 19, 2014
Let’s take a look at which team is going to come out on top in this matchup.
Oakland at New England
Time: 1:00 PM
Spread: New England -14.5
NFL Game Picks – Oakland Raiders vs New England Patriots
Preview: New England lost its regular season opener in a shocker as they got man-handled by Miami 33-20 in Week 1 while failing to cover the NFL betting line as a 3.5-point road favorite.
The Patriots bounced back nicely to pound the rebuilding Minnesota Vikings 30-7 winner in Week 2 and cash in as a(1-1 SU,1-1 ATS) 3.5-point road fave.
Despite their convincing win over the Vikings, New England clearly isn’t firing on all cylinders offensively right now. Tom Brady completed 14 of 21 passes for 149 yards and one touchdown while running back Stevan Ridley added 101 rushing yards on 25 carries and an additional score.
New England picked off Minnesota quarterback Matt Cassel four times in the win and returned a blocked field for a touchdown in the win. The Pats rank 27th in total yards and passing and ninth in scoring (25.0 ppg).
"Our passing game hasn’t been stellar to this point. We have to keep going after it," Brady said. "Guys will get opportunities to get more balls, and I need to do a better job of finding those guys when they’re open."
Oakland played a competitive game in its 2014 opener but fell to the Jets 19-14 after a late comeback fell just short. The Raiders failed to build on their Week 1 performance in their humbling 30-14 Week 2 loss to Houston while never coming close to covering the spread as a 3-point home underdog.
Oakland’s (0-2 SU,1-1 ATS) promising rookie signal-caller Derek Carr struggled in completing just 27 of 42 passes for 263 yards with one touchdown and two costly interceptions. Carr also led the team in rushing by picking up 58 yards on four carries.
— OAKLAND RAIDERS (@RAIDERS) September 18, 2014
The Raiders are ranked a dismal 31st in total yards and rushing yards while also ranking 23rd in passing and just 29th in scoring (14.0 ppg). Things are only slightly better on the defensive side of the ball where Oakland ranks 22nd in total yards (364.5) and points (24.5) allowed. The Raiders rank dead last against the run, allowing a whopping average of 200 yards per game.
"You can’t allow a team to just run the football down the field on you," Oakland head coach Dennis Allen said. "That has to change. Like I told the players, run defense is a mentality. Run defense is about lining up across from somebody, hitting them in the mouth, knocking them back, getting off a block, and making a play."
"We’re two weeks into the season. At the same time, you don’t want to bury your head in the sand," Allen said. "We’ve got to get better. We need to do it fast."
This contest is a virtual lock for New England as I expect the Pats to cover the spread with just a bit of room to spare.
Oakland is 1-5 ATS in its last six games and has lost 12 of its last 13 road games. New England has gone 4-2 ATS in its last six games and a near-perfect 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games.