Green Bay Packers vs Seattle Seahawks Updated Odds, Final Score PredictionNoah Williams
Welcome to the 2015 NFC Championship game when Aaron Rodgers’ torn calf and the Green Bay Packers try to achieve the impossible when they visit Century Link Field to face the defending Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks.
The Seahawks have won their past eight home playoff games. In the three seasons that Russell Wilson has been Seattle’s quarterback, the Seahawks are 25-2 at home in all games and are 3-0 at CenturyLink Field in the postseason.
The NFC Championship odds have the Packers as 7.5 point road underdogs over the Seahawks. The game opened at a whopping +8.5 which is largest number of points a Rodgers led offense had been given since he became the starter for Green Bay.
Seattle opened the season with zero signs of a Super Bowl hangover and walloped Green Bay in the season opener for both teams to the tune of 36-16, but this Packers team has won 12 of 14 games and dominated the league.
— NFL on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) January 16, 2015
Will the Packers high-octane offense be able to move the ball against Seattle’s league leading defense with the 12th man standing tall with the Seahawks? Or will the one-two punch of Russell Wilson and Beast Mode knock the Pack on their keister before they can get on the board?
A Closer Look At The Green Bay Packers vs Seattle Seahawks Updated Odds & My Final Score Prediction
Matchup: Green Bay Packers at Seattle Seahawks
Date: Jan. 18, 2015
Start Time: 3:05 p.m. ET
Location: Seattle, Washington
Stadium: CenturyLink Field
TV Info: FOX
Stream: FOX Sports Go
Radio: Green Bay Vs Seattle
Point Spread: Seahawks -7.5
Game Total: 47
After watching the Packers 26-21 ulcer inducing victory over the Dallas Cowboys last week, the only person who doesn’t believe Aaron Rodger’s calf is limiting his play is Seahawks’ safety Earl Thomas.
— NFL (@nfl) January 17, 2015
“I’m not falling into that,” Thomas said. “I’m on my own road regardless. I’m on my road regardless.”
The deeper message from Thomas may be that he’s not going to allow himself to think that he’ll be facing anything other than a fully-functioning Aaron Rodgers.
“We know he’s a little banged up but he looks just fine to me in that last game — he was making most of his throws, he didn’t scramble as much and get out of the pocket as he’s done in the past, but for the most part, he’s making all of his throws and he looks just fine,” linebacker K.J. Wright told reporters. “So we’re going to treat him like he’s healthy and like he’s 100 percent.”
Added safety Kam Chancellor: “That’s the mentality you’ve got to have. . . . You don’t want any surprises so just go in with that mentality, and you won’t be surprised.
It’s smart to assume Rodgers will be healthy, since it’ll be much easier to adjust to Rodgers being less mobile than it will to be to adjust to quarterback who can both throw and run at the highest levels.
Last week Rodgers completed 24 of 35 passes for 316 yards, 3 TDs & 0 INTs; he also went 10-10 in the last two Packer drives in the late victory over the Cowboys. You hve to admit, any QB in the league would take those stats week-in-week out when actually healthy.
Rodgers was limited in practice all week and he will limp into the game against the league’s top defense, but make no mistake about it, he will be ready.
"I think I got 120 minutes left in me," Rodgers said.
"A little bit worse, yeah," Rodgers said of how his calf felt as the game progressed. "Hard to say, see how it feels in the morning."
— PFTonNBCSN (@PFTonNBCSN) January 16, 2015
In the season opener for both squads, Rodgers avoided throwing to opinionated Seahawks CB Richard Sherman a mistake Panthers QB Cam Newton made early last week. It will be exciting to see if Rodgers will test Sherman as he has 2 of the league’s top 10 receivers in the league, by any one’s standards, and breakout rookie Davante Adams.
Packers also have running back Eddie Lacy who averaged 5.2 yards per carry over the past 5 games and he’s fresh – he’s only cracked the 20-carry threshold once in those 5 contests.
The Seahawks are the hottest team in football. After a 6-4 start they haven’t lost since. Every one of their seven wins in a row has been by double digits, and Carolina’s final meaningless touchdown in the division round marked the first time a team has scored more than 14 points against Seattle in that streak. This team looks primed for a repeat.
— PFTonNBCSN (@PFTonNBCSN) January 16, 2015
But what makes this offense go is the running game. Wilson has run for 849 yards (best among NFL QBs) and Marshawn Lynch ran for 1,306 yards and tied for an NFL-best 13 rushing scores. Green Bay allowed nearly 120 yards per game on the ground and just gave up 145 last week to the Cowboys.
Wilson and Rodgers have faced each other two times, both in Seattle and both with wins by the Seahawks, although there was plenty of controversy by the Fail Mary victory in the 2012 season.
Russell Wilson is 9-0 against Super Bowl-winning QBs (incl. 2-0 vs. Rodgers, 1-0 vs. Brady). pic.twitter.com/tpA7z92cH7
— NFL on ESPN (@ESPNNFL) January 17, 2015
Green Bay scored the most points in the league at 30.4 and Seattle allowed the fewest (15.9). The Pack gives up 21.8 ppg.
The Packers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS loss, 7-2-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games as an underdog, but 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog.
The Seahawks are 37-16-2 ATS in their last 55 home games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 playoff games, 19-6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in January, and 37-14-1 ATS in their last 52 vs. NFC teams.
Of note, the Packers and Seahawks have met twice in playoffs; the home team won both times (2004, 2008).