Blake Bortles and the upstart Jacksonville Jaguars will look to pull off the upset of Aaron Rodgers and the Super Bowl hopeful Green Bay Packers when they host their NFC counterparts in a Week 1 showdown that is offering a ton of value.
Packers face potent combination in Jaguars' Blake Bortles, Allen Robinson https://t.co/4H8A0cCrjq
— ESPN Milwaukee (@ESPNMilwaukee) September 6, 2016
Now, let’s find out if the Jags have what it takes to get the upset win as 4.5-point NFL Week 1 betting odds home underdogs.
Green Bay Packers Vs Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Week 1 Odds
What: Green Bay Packers (0-0) at Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0)
When: Sunday, September 11, 2016
Start Time: 1:00 PM ET
Where: Jacksonville, FL
Stadium: EverBank Field
Spread: Packers -4.5
Moneyline: Green Bay -220 at Jacksonville +180
Game Total: 48
Watch: FOX Sports
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: Green Bay vs Jacksonville
Bet The Jacksonville Jaguars at +4.5 Because…
The Jaguars (5-11 SU, 7-8-1 ATS) went 1-3 in the preseason and have won just 12 games in three seasons under head coach Gus Bradley.
Still, the Jags have talent and hopes of improving under quarterback Blake Bortles. Jacksonville ranked a respectable 14th in scoring last season (23.5 ppg) and could be even better in 2016 as youngsters T.J. Yeldon, Allen Robinson and Allen Hurns will all be a year older and wiser.
Defensively, the Jaguars need to improve a unit that ranked a dismal 31st in points allowed (28.0 ppg). The good news is that Jacksonville drafted a pair of rookies that will both play right away in cornerback Jalen Ramsey and linebacker Myles Jack while adding veteran cornerback Prince Amukamara I free agency and getting back 2015 first round pick Dante Fowler Jr. after he missed all of his rookie season a year ago.
Bet The Green Bay Packers at -4.5 Because…
The Packers (11-7 SU, 11-7 ATS) went 3-1 in the preseason and enters the 2016 regular season looking to get their NFC North division title back while making an extended playoff run.
Veteran quarterback Aaron Rodger is back and he’ll be throwing early and often to veteran Randall Cobb, although the Packers really need No. 1 wideout Jordy Nelson to return to full health. Running back Eddie Lacy has played very well during the preseason and looks poised for a 1,000-yard campaign and that’s a good thing seeing as how the Packers ranked a modest 15th in scoring last season (23.0 ppg).
Defensively, the Packers ranked 15th in the NFL last season in total yards allowed and 12th in points allowed (20.2 ppg). Green Bay drafted defensive tackle Kenny Clark out of UCLA to shore up a unit that still has some playmakers in veteran defensive end Julius Peppers, cornerback HaHa Clinton-Dix and linebacker Clay Matthews.
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction
I know the Packers are on the road in this regular season opener, but I’m still a bit surprised that the spread is only 4.5 points. Still, I don’t think this is a trap game and believe the Packers are going to win and cover the NFL betting line with room to spare.
Green Bay has gone 5-1 ATS in their last six road games and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Conversely, the Jaguars are just 10-21-1 ATS in their last 32 home games and 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games overall.
Yes, I know the Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings against Jacksonville, but they’re getting the easy touchdown win in this one!