Houston Texans V Miami Dolphins Spread, Predictions, ATS Pick & Betting Preview

A Closer Look At The Houston Texans at Miami Dolphins NFL Week 7 Spread & My Betting Preview

Houston Texans V Miami Dolphins Spread, Predictions, ATS Pick & Betting Preview

After a losing trip to London, a bye week and firing their head-coach, the Miami Dolphins looked like a different team in interim head-coach Dan Campbell’s debut. Can they keep it up when they host the Houston Texans?

The visiting Texans are 4.5-point NFL week 7 betting underdogs at Sun Life Stadium. The game kicks off on CBS on Sunday, October 25th at 1:00 PM.

A Closer Look At The Houston Texans at Miami Dolphins NFL Week 7 Spread & My Betting Preview

What: Houston Texans (2-4) at Miami Dolphins (2-3)
When: Sunday, October 25, 2015
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET 
Where: Miami, FL
Stadium: Sun Life Stadium
Weather: 83° F | Scattered Clouds
Spread: Dolphins -4.5
Moneyline: Houston +190 vs Miami -230
Game Total: 43
Watch: CBS
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Houston vs Miami

If You Are Betting On The Houston Texans Odds At +4.5

The Houston Texans are 2-4 straight up and against the spread so far this season. The Texans average 21.3 points (21st), 297.8 passing yards (4th) and 96.0 rushing yards (23rd), per game. Last week they beat the Jacksonville Jaguars by a 31-20 score. 

QB Brian Hoyer has thrown 1073 yards, 8 TDs & 2 INTs, completing 63.4% of his passes. Hoyer has posted a 103.0 passer rating this season. Last week he threw three touchdown passes on third down, two to breakout WR DeAndre Hopkins.

Hopkins (52 rec, 726 yards, 5 TDs) is leading the NFL in receiving with almost 100 yards more than number two. He’s averaged 10 catches and 158 yards in the last three games. WR Cecil Shorts III (26 rec, 299 yards, 1 TD) is the team’s other starting receiver.

Rusher Arian Foster (45 att, 104 yards, 0 TD) scores his first touchdown of the season on a passing play against the Jaguars. He missed the start of the season after groin injury during the pre-season. RB Alfred Blue (57 att, 226 yards 1 TD) is the change of pace RB. 

Houston defense allows 25.8 points (21st), 240.0 passing yards (13th), 109.0 rushing yards (17th) per game. Brian Cushing leads the team with 52 tackles, JJ Watt has four sacks and Johnathan Joseph has eight ball deflected. 

If You Are Betting On The Miami Dolphins Odds At -4.5

The Miami Dolphins are 2-3 straight up and against the spread so far this season. The Dolphins average 20.6 points (24th), 247.2 passing yards (16th) and 91.2 rushing yards (26th) per game. Last week they finally showed up to play for the first time this season. They dismantled the Titans by a score of 38-10.

QB Ryan Tannehill has thrown for 1346 yards, 9 TDs, and 7 INTs so far this season. His 59.5 completion percentage is one of the worst in the NFL. He has also has thrown all seven of his interceptions in the last three games. 

Rookie WR Rishard Matthew (23 rec, 363 yards, 3 TDs) leads the team in receiving catching yards and touchdowns. The number one receiver, Jarvis Landry (31 rec, 312 yards, 0 TDs) caught eight passes in each of the first three games only to catch a total of seven in the last two. Good things happen when he gets the ball.

RB Lamar Miller (56 att, 244 yards, 1 TDs) is coming off his best game of the season, recording 113 yards and one touchdown in 19 carries against the Titans. Miller has proven that he’s capable of handling a heavy workload. In fact, he seems to get into a rhythm when he’s handed the ball more often.

Miami’s defense allows 20.6 points (24th), 238.0 passing yards (12th), and 141.0 rushing yards (31st) per game. Reshad Jones leads Miami with 51 tackles, Jelani Jenkins has 37 tackles, and Koa Misi has 37. 

Betting Trends Related To This Matchup:

  • Houston Texans 1-2 On Road this season
  • Houston Texans 1-3 As Underdog or PK this season
  • Houston Texans 4-6-1 As Underdog or PK since last season
  • Houston Texans 1-2 When Line was 43 to 46 this season
  • Houston Texans 3-4 When Line was 43 to 46 since last season
  • Miami Dolphins 4-2 When Line was 43 to 46 since last season
  • Houston Texans 1-2 As Road Underdog this season
  • Miami Dolphins 5-7-1 O-U When Line is <45 since last season
  • Miami Dolphins 3-5-1 O-U When Line was 43 to 46 since last season
  • Miami Dolphins 0-4 O-U vs Teams Averaging 21 to 25 PPG since last season

The Texans are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game, 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0, 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win, 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win and e 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.

The Dolphins 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win, 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC, 16-40 ATS in their last 56 games as a home favorite and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 14 points.

My NFL Week 7 Betting Pick: Dolphins -4.5

PLAYERS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:
  • Houston: Ryan Griffin, Kareem Jackson, Lonnie Ballentine, Benardrick McKinney.
  • Miami: Jay Ajayi.