Houston Texans vs Dallas Cowboys – NFL Week 5 Betting Trends & PicksAndrew Price
Its the Texas Bowl in NFL week 5 betting action when the Houston Texans visit the Dallas Cowboys. Both teams have started with 3-1 records. The Cowboys are the favored by seven points, and the game total is currently at 46.5 points.
The Dallas Cowboys have surprised the entire league winning three of their last four games and covering the spread in those three matchups. Dallas’s wins came against Tennessee and St. Louis, but none of them as impressive as the one sided victory on Sunday Night against the New Orleans Saints 38-17.
Heading into the final quarter the Cowboys were up 31-3 and how many times have we heard that since the Aikman/Smith era?
Surprisingly, Dallas has been winning on the strength of their running game powered by the oft injured DeMarco Murray, who leads the NFL in rushing yards with 534 in the season and 5 TDs. The Texas defense has struggled against the run, allowing 130 yards per game, ranked 24th in the NFL.
Cowboys QB Tony Romo has looked better in the last few games after offseason back surgery; against the Saints had his best game of the season completing 22 of 29 passes for 262 yards, 3 TDs and 0 INTs. He also ran for 20 yards, which should give the Dallas organization a lot of peace, knowing that his back is not an issue anymore.
— Dallas Cowboys (@dallascowboys) October 4, 2014
The Texans are 3-1 as well, but they don’t feel as hot as the Cowboys as they struggled against the Buffalo Bills in the 23-17 victory from last week. Houston defense gets all the credit for that win because QB Ryan Fitzpatrick threw two interceptions and the running game barely recorded 37 yards on the day.
Texans coach Bill O’Brien referred to RB Arian Foster (hamstring) on Monday as "day to day." Foster had eight carries for six yards against the Bills last weekend, and if he’s not 100% for this matchup against the Cowboys, Houston will have problems moving the ball.
Because this is an inter-conference game, the Texans and the Cowboys have only met three times with Dallas leading the straight and against the spread record 2-1. However, all three games were UNDER the game total established by the NFL betting lines.
— Houston Texans (@HoustonTexans) October 5, 2014
Keep in mind, the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas’s last six games and in in 5 of Houston’s last seven games.
In terms of the point spread, the Texans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win, 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS win, and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games.
The Cowboys 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 4-0 ATS in their last four games in October, but 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a SU win of more than 14 points.