After losing two games in a row to better teams, the Green Bay Packers are blessed with a gimme game against NFL North rival Detroit Lions. The game kicks off on FOX this Sunday, November 15th at 1:00 PM ET. How much of a one-sided game is this? The NFL week 10 odds favor the Packers by 13-points to beat the Lions at Lambeau.
A Closer Look At The Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers NFL Week 10 Spread & My Betting Preview
What: Detroit Lions (1-7) at Green Bay Packers (6-2)
When: Sunday, November 15, 2015
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET
Where: Green Bay, WI
Stadium: Lambeau Field
Weather: 49° F | More Sun Than Clouds
Spread: Packers -13
Moneyline: Detroit +550 vs Green Bay -800
Game Total: 47.5
Stream: Fox Sports Go
Listen: Detroit vs Green Bay
If You Are Betting On The Detroit Lions Odds At +13
The Detroit Lions are 1-7 straight up and against the spread so far this season. They average 18.4 points (31st), 268.1 passing yards (9th) and 69.6 rushing yards (32nd) per game. They are coming off a bye week which was preceded by a 45-10 drubbing at the hands of the Chiefs in London.
“Not a good outing, obviously. An understatement,” Lions coach Jim Caldwell said. “We ran the ball decently early on, but we reached the point where we wouldn’t be able to regain lost ground quickly enough to keep running.”
QB Matthew Stafford has thrown 2083 yards, 13 TDs & 11 INTs while completing 64.5% of his passes so far this season. His passer rating is 84.1. Last week he threw for 217 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions.
— TMZ (@TMZ) November 7, 2015
Last week was the Lions first game since offensive coordinator Jim Bob Cooter took over for the fired Joe Lombardi. The offense had an open drive reminiscent of the days when the mention of Stafford and Megatron shook the fantasy halls, it stalled horribly after that.
WR Calvin Johnson (48 rec, 659 yards, 3 TDs) is averaging 82.4 yards per game this season; too low for his standards. WR Golden Tate (40 rec, 377 yards, 1 TD) is on a touchdown slump, missing the end zone over the last two games.
Rookie RB Ameer Abdullah (63 att, 225 yards, 1 TD) has been the team’s best rusher but averaging 3.6 yards per carry and has ball security issues. Joique Bell (30 att, 99 yards, 1 TD) has failed to live up to expectations when he was given the starting gig in August. Injuries haven’t helped.
Detroit’s defense allows 30.6 points (32nd), 252.0 passing yards (18th) and 133.8 rushing yards (30th) per game. Stephen Tulloch has 63 tackles, Ezekiel Ansah has seven sacks, and Darius Slay has nine passes deflected.
If You Are Betting On The Green Bay Packers Odds At -13
The Green Bay Packers are 6-2 straight up and 5-3 against the spread so far this season. They average 25.4 points (10th), 225.3 passing yards (26th) and 115.3 rushing yards (13th) per game. They are coming off two straight losses against the Denver Broncos and the Carolina Panthers. Both opponents were undefeated at game time. It’s the first time since October 2010 the Packers have dropped two straight with Rodgers under center. They last lost three in a row with him in 2008 — his first full season as the starter.
QB Aaron Rodgers has thrown 1937 yards, 19 TDs & 3 INTs while completing 64.7% of his passes. Rodgers has averaged 223.0 yards with four TDs and 1 INTs in his two losses over the last two weeks.
WR James Jones (24 rec, 483 yards, 6 TDs) has been Rodger’s best target, but he hasn’t found the end zone on the last two games. WR Randall Cobb (40 rec, 476 yards, 5 TDs) hasn’t broken out as many expected after given the starting job after Jordy Nelson went down for the year in the preseason. He has been slowed due to a sore shoulder and is averaging just 59.5 receiving yards per game.
“Everybody’s mad,”Jones told the Packers’ official website. “We’re 6-2. Ain’t no playoffs guaranteed unless we start winning some ballgames.”
Making things worse is that the Packers run game is struggling. They are averaging 95 yards on the ground in the past four contests after recording 136.3 in the first four. Rusher Eddie Lacy 83 att, 308 yards, 2 TDs) who ran for at least 1,100 yards in his first two seasons while scoring 20 touchdowns, has averaged 3.7 per carry while gaining 308 with two scores in 2015. He left last weekend’s game with a groin injury and coach Mike McCarthy declared James Starks (78 att, 334 yards, 1 TD) as the starter on Wednesday.
— Sports Illustrated (@SInow) November 11, 2015
Green Bay’s defense allows 20.9 points (12th), 257.0 passing yards (23th) and 125.1 rushing yards (28th) per game. Ha Ha Clinton-Dix has 53 tackles, Julius Peppers has 5.5 sacks and Damarious Randall has 10 passes deflected.
Betting Trends Related To This Matchup:
- Detroit Lions 1-3 On Road this season
- Detroit Lions 4-9 On Road since last season
- Green Bay Packers 3-1 At Home this season
- Green Bay Packers 9-4 At Home since last season
- Detroit Lions 1-5 As Underdog or PK this season
- Detroit Lions 3-9 As Underdog or PK since last season
- Green Bay Packers 5-3 As Favorite this season
- Green Bay Packers 8-5 O-U At Home since last season
- Detroit Lions 4-0 O-U When Line is 45 to 48 this season
- Detroit Lions 7-3-1 O-U When Line is 45 to 48 since last season
- Green Bay Packers 6-3 O-U When Line is 45 to 48 since last season
- Detroit Lions 4-3-1 O-U When Line was 46 to 49 since last season
- Green Bay Packers 6-5 O-U When Line was 46 to 49 since last season
The Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 11-25-1 ATS in their last 37 games in November, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC.
The Packers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss, 27-12-1 ATS in their last 40 games as a favorite, 35-16-2 ATS in their last 53 home games, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Week 10, 22-10-1 ATS in their last 33 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game and 39-17 ATS in their last 56 vs. NFC North.
My NFL Week 10 Betting Pick: Packers -13.
PLAYERS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:
- Detroit: Zach Zenner, James-Michael Johnson, Alex Carter.
- Green Bay: Andrew Quarless.