NFL Week 11 Betting Cheat Sheet

How To Bet The Green Bay V Denver Sunday Night Football Spread

Sunday Night Football features two teams that began the season with Super Bowl aspirations and both have lived up to expectations, going 6-0.

The Green Bay Packers visit the Denver Broncos in what will be the most talked about game all week. This is the fourth time in NFL history two teams with perfect records will face off this late in the season. Even with the identical records, the NFL week 8 odds list the Packers as 2.5-point favorites to beat the home town Broncos.

The Broncos have gone undefeated on the back of their elite defense that has scored a touchdown in four of six games while racking up 18 takeaways and 26 sacks by a dozen players. While five time MVP QB Peyton Manning has played the worst football since his rookie season. He has thrown more interceptions than touchdowns this season, including three to be returned for TDs by opposing teams.

Aaron Rodgers and the Packers have won three straight against the Packers. Rodgers has thrown 15 touchdown passes and just two interceptions and just ONE pick-6 in his career. Manning has thrown 25.

A Closer Look At The Green Bay Packers at Denver Broncos NFL Week 8 Sunday Night Football Spread & My Betting Analysis

What: Green Bay Packers (6-0) at Denver Browns (6-0)
When: Sunday, November 1, 2015
Kickoff: 8:30 PM ET 
Where: Denver, CO
Stadium: Sports Authority Field at Mile High
Weather: 65° F | Passing Clouds
Spread: Packers -2.5
Moneyline: Green Bay -150 vs Denver +130
Game Total: 45.5
Watch: NBC
Stream:  NBC Sports Live Extra
Listen: Green Bay vs Denver

If You Are Betting On The Green Bay Packers Odds At -2.5

The Green Bay Packers are 6-0 straight up and 5-1 against the spread this season. Their offense averages 27.3 points (5th), 236.8 passing yards (22nd), 127.3 rushing yards (8th) per game. They are coming off a bye week after holding on to a 27-20 win at Lambeau over the tenacious Chargers.

QB Aaron Rodgers has thrown 1791 yards, 15 touchdowns, and two interceptions this season while completing 68.1% of his passes. Rodgers has an 115.9 passer rating, second best in the NFL. 

WR James Jones (21 rec, 424 yards, 6 TDs) has been Rodgers’ most reliable target after injuries to most of the starting wide receiving corps. With the Packers coming off of a bye week, WR Randall Cobb (30 rec, 350 yards, 4 TDs) should be refreshed. Davante Adams is also inching closer to a return after missing nearly four full games because of a sprained left ankle. TE Richard Rodgers (21 rec, 189 yards, 2 TDs) bails out his quarterback from time to time. 

RB James Starks (63 att, 286 yards, 1 TD) has taken over with a banged up Eddie Lacy (67 att, 260 yards, 1 TD). While Lacy, who was hampered by an ankle injury, has returned to practice this week, Starks was mysteriously absent. He was injured while rushing for 112 yards and a touchdown against San Diego, and his status is uncertain.

Green Bay’s defense allows 16.8 points (1st), 237.0 passing yards (12th) and 118.5 rushing yards (22nd) per game. Ha Ha Clinton-Dix leads the team with 43 tackles, Julius Peppers has 5.5 sacks, and Sam Shields has eight passes deflected. 

If You Are Betting On The Denver Broncos Odds At +2.5

The Denver Broncos are 6-0 straight up and 4-1-1 against the spread so far this season. Their offense averages 23.2 points (14th), 240.8 passing yards (18th) and 85.0 rushing yards (30th) per game. Last week they barely survived an OT tilt against the Browns. Pulling out a 26-23 victory even after Manning threw an early pick in extra time.

Manning is having his worst season since his rookie year. He has thrown for 1524 yards, seven touchdowns and ten interceptions while completing 61.6% of his passes. Manning has posted a 72.5 passer rating this season, the second worst in the league only behind the now unemployed Ryan Mallett.

WRs Demaryius Thomas (48 rec, 527 yards, 1 TD) and Emmanuel Sanders (38 rec, 527 yards, 3 TDs) are a great pass catching duo who Manning can’t get the ball to.

The Broncos were labelled a rushing threat with the off-season hiring of head-coach Gary Kubiak. He has only led the Broncos to the 30th-ranked rushing offense at 85.0 yards per game C.J. Anderson (67 att, 180 yards, 0 TDs) has been largely ineffective, and Ronnie Hillman (66 att, 323 yards, 2 TDs) seems to have taken over the No. 1 job after running for 111 yards against the Browns. The bye week should help the Broncos’ banged-up offensive line return to form.

Denver’s defense allows 17.0 points (2nd), 192.0 passing yards (1st), 89.2 rushing yards (4th per game. Brandon Marshall leads the team with 48 tackles, DeMarcus Ware has 4.5 sacks, and Aqib Talib has three interceptions, two of which were returned for a TD.

Betting Trends Related To This Matchup:

  • Denver Broncos 5-6 At Home since last season
  • Green Bay Packers 5-1 As Favorite this season
  • Green Bay Packers 13-6-1 As Favorite since last season
  • Green Bay Packers 3-1-1 When Line was 44 to 47 since last season
  • Green Bay Packers 4-2-1 As Road Favorite since last season
  • Green Bay Packers 1-2 O-U When Line is 45 to 48 this season
  • Denver Broncos 0-3 O-U When Line was 44 to 47 this season
  • Denver Broncos 1-4 O-U When Line was 44 to 47 since last season

The Packers are 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 games following an ATS loss, 27-10-1 ATS in their last 38 games as a favorite, 5-0 ATS in their last five games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0, 23-9-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 4-0 ATS in their last four road games.

The Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss, 4-1 ATS in their last five games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game, and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games following a bye week.

My NFL Week 8 Betting Pick: Packers -2.5.

  • Green Bay : Andrew Quarless.
  • Denver: Shane Ray, Marvin Austin.
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