The Hard Knock Houston Texans are on the verge of clinching the AFC South and the fourth seed in the AFC playoffs. Standing in their way are division rival Jacksonville Jaguars who would like nothing else but to play spoiler.
Despite starting four different quarterbacks this season, Houston will turn back to the one that got them here in Brian Hoyer who returns from concussion protocol. The Texans lock up the division with a win or tie, a loss or tie from Indianapolis.
The game will kicks off on CBS this Sunday, January 3 at 1 PM ET from the NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas.
A Closer Look At How To Bet The Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans NFL Week 17 Odds
The NFL Week 17 betting odds favor Houston by 6.5-points to beat Jacksonville. If you are betting the moneyline straight up then the Jags pay 240 on 100 while the Texans pay 100 on 280. The game total is 45.5.
What: Jacksonville Jaguars (5-10) at Houston Texans (8-7)
When: Sunday, January 3, 2016
Kickoff: 1:00 PM ET
Where: Houston, TX
Stadium: NRG Stadium
Spread: Texans -6.5
Moneyline: Jacksonville +240 vs Houston -280
Game Total: 45.5
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Jacksonville vs Houston
Why Bet The Jacksonville Jaguars +6.5 Over the Texans Odds
The Jacksonville Jaguars are 5-10 straight up and a bettor’s delight 7-7-1 against the spread this season. They average 24.7 points (10th), 261.7 passing yards (10th), 96.1 rushing yards (20th) per game. Last week, they lost their second game in a row after losing to the Saints by 38-27.
QB Blake Bortles (4189 yards, 35 TDs & 16 INTs) breakout sophomore campaign has quelled the need for a franchise QB in Jacksonville. The 23-year-old ranks second in the league with a franchise-record 35 touchdown passes and sits 179 yards shy of breaking Mark Brunell’s team season mark of 4,367 yards set in 1996.
Bortles’ emergence as a reliable starting QB has alot to do the Twin Allen Towers. Second year wide-outs Allen Robinson (75 rec, 1292 yards, 14 TDs) and Allen Hurns (61 rec, 1014 yards, 10 TDs) have also broken out as reliable pass-catchers in the league. Robinson’s 14 TD catches are tied for the league lead and he’s had at least one in five straight games, while Hurns has 10 after recording two along with 107 yards on eight receptions in last week’s 38-27 loss at New Orleans. After missing most of the season due to injury, the addition TE Julius Thomas (44 rec, 443 yards, 5 TDs) will make this passing offense dangerous for years to come.
Rookie rusher T.J. Yeldon (182 att, 740 yards, 2 TDs) hasn’t been asked to do much this season.
Jacksonville’s defense allows 27.9 points (31st), 270.0 passing yards (29th) and 103.3 rushing yards (13th) per game. Telvin Smith has 128 tackles, Jared Odrick has five sacks, and Davon House has 21 deflected passes.
Why Bet The Houston Texans at -6.5 Over the Jags Odds
The Houston Texans are 8-7 straight up and against the spread this season. They have overcome a 1-4 start with resiliency and defensive dominance. The Texans average 20.6 points (24th), 239.4 passing yards (18th), 104.7 rushing yards (16th) per game. Last week, they beat the Tennessee Titans by a 34-6 score.
QB Brian Hoyer (2357 yards, 18 TDs & 6 INTs) had his best game of the season against in a week 6 tilt versus the Jags, throwing for 293 yards and three scores.
WR DeAndre Hopkins (106 rec, 1432 yards, 11 TDs) has been unstoppable no matter who has thrown the ball to him this season. Fellow wide-out Nate Washington (46 rec, 652 yards, 4 TDs) has been a really good number two option for the Texans this season.
The Texans rushing game has struggled without Arian Foster who was lost for the season due to a torn Achilles heel. In his stead it has been rushers Jonathan Grimes (52 att, 256 yards, 0 TDs) and Chris Polk (96 att, 330 yards, 1 TDs) splitting carries.
Houston’s defense allows 20.5 points (11th), 212.0 passing yards (3rd) and 104.3 rushing yards per game. Brian Cushing has 104 tackles, J.J. Watt has 14.5 sacks, and Johnathan Joseph has 18 deflected passes.
Betting Stats & Trends Related To This Matchup:
- Houston has covered each of its eight wins while failing to cover each of its seven losses.
- The Jaguars are giving up an average of 30 points over their past five games.
- The Texans have won four straight division games after losing to Indianapolis in Week 5
- Jacksonville has lost six straight on the road to AFC South foes since a 13-6 decision at Houston on Nov. 24, 2013.
- Jacksonville committed three turnovers in the first meeting.
- Texans have forced 15 turnovers in their last eight games.
- The favored team is 1-5 ATS in its last six games in this matchup.
- The Texans are 6-2 SU and ATS in their last eight games.
- The Jaguars are 1-6 on the road and have dropped 15 of 16 as the visitor.
Expert Pick & Final Score Prediction
The Jaguars have lost four of five and want to salvage the final week of the season.
If the Texans can protect Hoyer and give him the time to find Hopkins downfield, the Jags will end their season with a loss. Hopkins has 11 receiving touchdowns and six games over 100 yards.
The Texans have won four straight division games after losing to Indianapolis in Week 5, while Jacksonville has lost six straight on the road to AFC South foes since a 13-6 decision at Houston on Nov. 24, 2013.