The New England Patriots are clearly the team to beat after a 6-0 start including a 2-0 record against AFC East opponents. This week they face another AFC East opponent, the Miami Dolphins. The Pats can essentially eliminate the Dolphins with a win. The Patriots host the Dolphins on Thursday night, looking to end Miami’s recent hot streak.
The NFL week 8 odds put the Patriots as 7.5-point favorites to beat the Dolphins. Can Miami push their win streak to 3? Will New England lay to waste another opponent? Should you bet the Pats or back the Dolphins. Answers to those questions and more…
A Closer Look At The Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots NFL Week 8 Spread & My Betting Analysis
What: Miami Dolphins (3-3) at New England Patriots (6-0)
When: Thursday, October 29, 2015
Kickoff: 8:25 PM ET
Where: Foxboro, MA
Stadium: Gillette Stadium
Weather: 69° F | Tons of Rain
Spread: Patriots -7.5
Moneyline: Miami +190 vs New England -230
Game Total: 51
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: Miami vs New England
If You Are Betting On The Miami Dolphins Odds At +7.5
The Miami Dolphins are 3-3 straight up and 4-2 against the spread so far this season. The Dolphins average 24.6 points (9th), 248.5 passing yards (13th) and 117.5 rushing yards (14th) per game. They are riding a modest two game win streak after opening the season 1-3. A win this week will put them at .500 for the first time this season. Last week they bullied the Houston Texans by a 44-26 score. The Dolphins led 41-0 at halftime, allowing Brian Hoyer to throw three meaningless touchdown passes.
QB Ryan Tannehill had a perfect passer rating last week after completing 18 of 19 passes for 282 yards and four scores vs the Texans. That pushed his season totals to 1628 yards, 13 TDs, and 7 INTs.
Rookie WR Rishard Matthew (26 rec, 438 yards, 5 TDs) leads the team in receiving catching yards and touchdowns. Top wide-out Jarvis Landry (36 rec, 395 yards, 2 TDs) caught five passes for 83 yards and his first two touchdowns of the season last week.
RB Lamar Miller (70 att, 419 yards, 2 TDs) had 236 all-purpose yards, and two touchdowns against Houston.175 of his 236 yards came rushing the football.
Miami’s defense allows 22.8 points (9th), 241.0 passing yards (14th), and 129.2 rushing yards (29th) per game. Reshad Jones leads Miami with 59 tackles; Jelani Jenkins and Koa Misi have 40 tackles each.
— FOX Sports: NFL (@NFLonFOX) October 27, 2015
If You Are Betting On The New England Patriots Odds At -7.5
The New England Patriots are 6-0 straight up and 4-2 against the spread so far this season. Their offense average 35.5 points (1st), 327.3 passing yards (2nd), and 83.7 rushing yards (31st) per game. They are coming off a 30-23 win over the Jets where they ran the football only nine times.
QB Tom Brady is having one of the best seasons of his career after fending off off-season controversy. So far the has thrown for 2054 yards, 16 touchdowns, and one interception. Brady is completing 68.9% of his passes while recording an 113.2 passer rating.
TE Rob Gronkowski (34 rec, 533 yards, 6 TDs) is the team’s leader in receiving yards and touchdowns. WR Julian Edelman (45 rec, 503 yards, 4 TDs) and Danny Amendola (25 rec, 289 yards, 2 TDs) have also been more than reliable. Deep threat WR Brandon LaFell (2 rec, 8 yards, 0 TDs) dropped six passes last week, his first game this season.
RB Dion Lewis (40 att, 201 yards, 2 TDs) was inactive against the Jets last week because of an abdominal injury. RB LeGarrette Blount (52 att, 246 yards, 4 TDs) had -3 rushing yards against the NY Jets who boast the top rush D.
New England’s defense allows 21.0 points (12th), 248.0 passing yards (18th), and 110.3 rushing yards (19th) per game. Jamie Collins leads the team with 49 tackles, Chandler Jones has 6.5 sacks, and Patrick Chung has seven passes deflected.
Betting Trends Related To This Matchup:
- New England Patriots 2-1 O-U At Home this season
- New England Patriots 9-4 O-U At Home since last season
- Miami Dolphins 1-0 O-U When Line is >48 since last season
- New England Patriots 6-5 O-U When Line is >48 since last season
- Miami Dolphins 5-2 O-U vs Teams Averaging >25 PPG since last season
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami’s last five games. Miami is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games, 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing New England, 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing New England, 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New England and 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New England.
My NFL Week 8 Betting Pick: Miami +7.5.
PLAYERS OUT OR DOUBTFUL:
- Miami: Jay Ajayi.
- New England: Chris Jones, Dane Fletcher.