The headliner NFL week 3 betting tilt features Buffalo’s stubborn defense going head-to-head against the most relentless offense in the league when it hosts the 1-point favorite New England Patriots.
Pats head-coach Bill Belichick has a winning 9-4 record against the Bills new coach, Rex Ryan. But those stats date back to the latter’s time with the New York Jets. Ryan used similar defensive schemes then, but not to the extent he showed last week. The Bills are also a much better team than the Jets were.
Even with the winning head-to-head record, Tom Brady’s passer rating against Ryan’s defenses in his career is 88.9. Compare that to a 16-season average passer rating of 96.1.
When reporters asked Belichick about the phenomenon, he gave a an answer only he could.
“Well I think our record against him has been OK,” Belichick said on a conference call with Buffalo reporters Wednesday morning. “I’ll take it.”
Your turn, Rex.
“It’s easy to say the Patriots have been the most dominant team in the National Football League the past 10 years, but this year is a different year,” Ryan said.” I’m going to put that caveat out there. It’s a different year and we’ll see who is the king of the mountain at the end of this season.”
How I Am Betting The New England Patriots Vs Buffalo Bills NFL Week 3 Line & My Final Score Prediction
What: New England Patriots (1-0) at Buffalo Bills (1-0)
When: Sunday, Sept. 20th, 2015
Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
Where: Buffalo, NY
Stadium: Ralph Wilson Stadium
Weather: 65 °F/ Rain Early
Wind: NorthWest 10mph
Game Total: 45
Stream: CBS Sports
Listen: New England vs Buffalo
If you didn’t roll with my Week 1 pick for a Buffalo Bills upset over Indianapolis, then shame on you. I won’t hold that against you – as long as you’re ready for my selection on Buffalo’s Week 2 matchup against AFC East division rival New England.
Buffalo looked fantastic on both sides of the ball as they picked up a solid 27-14 win over Andrew Luck and the Colts on Sunday to cash in as 1-point home underdogs. New starting quarterback Tyrod Taylor completed 14 of 19 passes for 195 yards with one touchdown while running back Karlos Williams rushed six times for 55 yards with one touchdown.
Bills make no secret that they hate the Patriots http://t.co/Zmoz6Ee2lT
— ProFootballTalk (@ProFootballTalk) September 15, 2015
New England picked up a convincing 28-21 win over Pittsburgh on Thursday night, though they fell just short of covering the spread as 7-point home favorites. Tom Brady went 25-for-32 for 288 yards and tossed four touchdown passes in the win, including three to tight end Rob Gronkowski.
"It was a pretty special night," said Brady. "I was excited. Our whole team was excited. We haven’t had one of these games in a long time."
How To Bet This Game:
57 percent of the betting public likes New England to cover the spread while 59 percent of public bettors also like the Over.
For this Week 2 AFC East pairing, I’m going with the Buffalo Bills to bring home the bacon for the second straight game, by getting the outright win. By now, every football fan knows that Bills head coach rex Ryan has been masterful when matched up against Tom Brady and the Pats. I’m banking on the Bills’ voracious defense – and some steady play from underrated quarterback Tyrod Taylor to lead Buffalo to victory.
The Patriots are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games in the month of September while Buffalo has gone 4-0 ATS in their last four games against tams with a winning record and an impressive 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.
I’m also going against the public when it comes to the Over/Under Total for this AFC East showdown. While the Over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings between these teams, the Under is 5-2 in New England’s last seven Week 2 games and 6-0 in Buffalo’s last half-dozen home games. The Under is also 7-1 in Buffalo’s last eight games against their AFC conference rivals and a consistent 16-5 in their last 21 games overall.
To summarize I am picking the Buffalo Bills plus the points the Over 45 as the smart bet. My final score prediction is New England 21, Buffalo 27.